Bond

To RBC, This Is The Single Largest Risk To The Market Right Now

The US Dollar is the “grand unifying theory asset” for nearly any and all “profile” global macro or thematic equities trades in the marketplace right now, as it represents investors being long this “new” version of “economic growth.”  As such, performance is significantly tied to the direction in the US Dollar.

Fed Remits Only $92 Billion To Treasury In 2016, Lowest Since 2013

The world was reminded of the cozy relationship between The Fed and The Treasury again today as Janet sent Jack $92.0 billion of freshly ponzi'd net income for 2016 providing the federal government with an important source of funding. This, however, is down almost 6% from 2015 and despite a considerably larger balance sheet is the lowest remittance since 2013 due to doubling the handouts to the major banks to $12 billion last year.

For Bill Gross, This Is The Only Thing That Matters For The Market Right Now

"This is my only forecast for the 10-year in 2017. If 2.60% is broken on the upside – if yields move higher than 2.60% – a secular bear bond market has begun. Watch the 2.6% level. Much more important than Dow 20,000. Much more important than $60-a-barrel oil. Much more important that the Dollar/Euro parity at 1.00. It is the key to interest rate levels and perhaps stock price levels in 2017." - Bill Gross

Frontrunning: January 10

  • Immigration in focus as U.S. Senate confronts Trump nominees (Reuters)
  • Jeff Sessions to Be Grilled on Race in First of Hearings (WSJ)
  • Libya Ramps Up Oil Production, Threatening OPEC Plans (WSJ)
  • Valeant to sell assets for $2.12 billion to ease debt load (Reuters)
  • Industry Lobbyists Champ at the Bit, Awaiting Business-Friendly Policies (WSJ)
  • Yahoo to be named Altaba, Mayer to leave board after Verizon deal (Reuters)

Why Morgan Stanley Threw Up All Over Those "Great" Rising Earnings

"The increase in average hourly earnings since the beginning of 2015 has been mostly due to the fact that average weekly hours have fallen. Remember, average hourly earnings is a ratio of average weekly earnings to average weekly hours. The ratio has been going up because the denominator has been going down - not because the numerator has been going up!"

EconMatters's picture

Banks are cheap for a reason, they are not going to be high growers because of longer term structural changes in the Finance world some of which are fallout from the excesses of the Financial Crisis, and some have to do with technological and structural changes within financial markets themselves.

Party Like The Dow Is 19,999: US Futures Dip As Global Currencies Stumble; Oil Down, Gold Up

European, Asian stocks fall and U.S. equity-index futures traded mixed on Monday with fresh memories of the Dow Jones rising to under 1 point of 20,000 on Friday. The dollar has rebounded on fresh geopolitical concerns, while the pound extends its decline from Friday and has slide to 10 week lows on a Sunday interview from Theresa May which suggested a "Hard Brexit" may be in the cards.