Bond

Senators Call For Labor Dept Probe Into Wells Fargo As Warren Buffett Vows To Keep Silent Until After Election

That did not take long. Just hours after a CNN report suggested that Wells Fargo was retaliating, and firing, company whistleblowers who had spoken out against the company's illegal "account creation" practices (while blaming them of being "tardy"), moments ago Reuters reported that Senators have asked the Labor Department to investigate Wells Fargo for potential violations of Fair Labor Standards

Just Plain Pathetic

We are speaking, of course, of the Fed’s decision to punt yet again, and for a reason that is not mysterious at all. To wit, our financial rulers are petrified of a stock market hissy fit, and will go to any length of dissimulation and double-talk to avoid triggering a crash of the very bubbles their policies have inflated.

Why Futures Are Surging Again: RBC Explains

And just like that: risk-parity / various other leveraged ‘target risk’ strategies (S&P Target Risk Aggressive Index saw its best day since first week in July yesterday) are back in the driver’s seat, as the Fed and BoJ went back to their “happy place” of a vol-suppression kind of world.  That is exactly who / what we are seeing in equities futures, UST futures / curves right now.  Lever it up again!

So What Do We Do Now That The Fed Stood Still

That dud landed with a thud. It fits the FOMC’s desired narrative to have the latest decision called a “hawkish hold.” That’s a very sympathetic description of the event. We’re supposed to take comfort that the economy really is (we promise) getting closer to meeting the necessary goals, all meetings are live and they’ve got December in their sights. I’m sure it is. But we’ve heard it all before, as well as the caveats.

Soothing Fed Sends Global Stocks, US Futures, Commodities Higher

Following the Fed's "hawkish hold" and the BOJ's "confused contradiction", global risk (and non-risk) assets got the green light, and as a result stocks and bonds rallied in Asia and Europe, with US equity futures rising another 0.4%, advancing with oil and industrial metals, as iron surged in Chinese trading.

Fed Chickens Out: 3 Presidents Dissent As Fed "Decides To Wait For Further Evidence" Of Strengthening Before Hiking

With rate hike odds tumbling post-J-Hole thanks to Brainard (but up to 24% today), macro data deteriorating, European banks tumbling, and China money markets turmoiling, expectations were low for a 'surprise' rate hike today. And sure enough, they didn't...

  • *FED: DECIDED TO WAIT ‘FOR THE TIME BEING’ FOR MORE EVIDENCE
  • *FED SAYS GEORGE, MESTER, ROSENGREN DISSENTED IN FAVOR OF HIKE (most dissents sine Sept 2014)

No addition of "Risks are balanced" language and cuts the long-run growth rate for the US economy below 2% for the first time ever.

SEC Charges Hedge Fund Icon Leon Cooperman With Insider Trading

When it rains - for hedge fund managers, it pours - If it's not lack of alpha, it's insider trading. Moments ago, the SEC charged iconic hedge fund manager, Omega Advisors' Leon Cooperman with insider trading, accusing him of generating substantial illicit profits by purchasing securities in Atlas Pipeline Partners (APL) in advance of the sale of its natural gas processing facility in Elk City, Oklahoma.

FX & Bond Markets Ain't Buying What The Bank Of Japan Is Selling

Equity markets are stronger on the back of financials  - helped by BoJ's plan to steepen the Japanese bond curve - but judging by the strengthening in the Yen, FX markets are non-believers. The lack of additional easing is largely being heralded as a disappointment (no lower NIRP and no increased buying) and many are questioning the kneejerk bounce in stocks (as bank balance sheets face trauma from the 'reverse twist' effect on the long bonds).

Frontrunning: September 21

  • Bank of Japan's policy reset muddies markets' risk mood (Reuters)
  • BOJ overhauls policy focus, sets target for government bond yields (Reuters)
  • BOJ Shifts Policy Framework to Targeting Japan’s Yield Curve (BBG)
  • Fed Focus Turns to Dots as Hike Odds Fade: Decision-Day Guide (BBG)
  • Oil jumps after surprise drop in U.S. crude inventories (Reuters)

"Disappointing And Underwhelming" - An Unhappy Wall Street Reacts To The BOJ's Latest Announcement

Just after midnight east coast time, the BOJ presented its new and improved monetary policy dubbed “QQE with Yield Curve Control,” in which the central bank said it would buy JGBs such that 10-year yield remain at the current level of around zero percent. The BOJ will also buy JGBs at designated yields, and generally steepen the curve even as it failed to lower rates or add more QE. Wall Street took one look at what the BOJ came up with... and hated it immediately.