Bond

US Macro Data Crashes Most In 7 Years - What Happens Next?

The last week or so has seen both 'hard' real economic data and 'soft' survey data disappoint notably. This has sent the Citi Macro Surprise Index plunging to 5-month lows with its biggest drop since 2010. The question is - what happens to the stock market next?

Global Stocks Slide As Iron Ore Crashes; Pound Jumps After UK Calls Snap Elections

European stocks slide  s traders return from a 4-day Easter holidays, Asian equities likewise drop pressured by the ongoing rout in iron ore, while U.S. stock-index futures point to a lower open. British markets were roiled after U.K. Prime Minister Theresa May said she would seek an early election on June 8. The FTSE 100 droped 1.3%, on the news, hitting the lowest since Feb. 24

Angst In America - Disappearing Pensions

The deeper you look, the worse this pension situation gets. Angst is a perfectly reasonable response for anyone who is retired or thinking about retiring in the next decade...

Soft Data Slump Begins - Empire Fed Plunges Most In A Year

And so it begins. After exploding higher post-election, it appears the 'soft' survey data hype has begun to fade. Empire Fed's manufacturing survey tumbled most since May 2016 in April, almost erasing the entire post-election surge. New Orders (current and expected) slumped and average workweek caved as Trump's 'plans' remain stymied.

Bond Bears Battered To 5-Month Lows But Rate-Hike Bets Top $3.2 Trillion

Since their peak 'shortedness' in mid-January, US Treasury bond bears have covered 500,000 10-year-equivalent contracts, reducing the net speculative short to its lowest since before Thanksgiving 2016. At the same time, however, Eurodollar shorts (bets on Fed rate hikes) have soared to a new record high (over $3.2 trillion notional).

Turkish Referendum Full Preview

On Sunday, Turkey will vote in a hotly contested referendum on the presidential system, whose outcome could place sweeping new powers in the hands of President Tayyip Erdogan and herald the most radical change to the country's political system in its modern history. Here is the full preview.