Bond

World's Most Bearish Hedge Fund Says Active Manager Capitulation Is "Getting Close"

"Ultimately everyone is forced in. Sometimes this happens through capitulation by previously sceptical investors, or sometimes it happens through pure greed as fear of missing out takes over. The big question is, how close are we to that moment? I think we are indeed getting close. Goldman Sachs data on hedge funds show that top 10 positions for average hedge funds make up 70% of long positions."

Goldman Downgrades S&P 500, Stoxx 600 To Sell, Cites "Elevated Valuations And The Risk Of Shocks"

After tactfully warning clients for months that staying invested in US stocks and bonds is an unacceptable risk, overnight Goldman's Peter Oppenheimer finally changed Goldman's official "tactical" bias, and as of this moment recommends selling not only bonds, as well as the S&P500 and Europe's Stoxx 600 "due to elevated valuations across assets and the risk of shocks."

US Futures; Euro Stocks Slide On Deutsche Bank Liquidity Fears; Bonds Bid

Following yesterday's paradoxical US stock surge catalyzed by a bevy of bad macroeonomic news, the overnight session has seen some good old "risk off" mood which hit European shares as a result of the previously reported $14 billion DOJ claim against Deutsche Bank, which sent Europe's biggest bank tumbling, dragging the banking sector lower, while a continued drop in the price of oil pushed energy companies lower.

Bernanke Urges Use Of Negative Rates When Next Recession Strikes

"the fact that negative rates would be temporary and deployed only during severely adverse economic conditions would be an advantage. Like quantitative easing, which was also unpopular in many quarters, a period of negative rates would probably be tolerated by politicians if properly motivated and explained" - Ben Bernanke

5 Core Economic 'Facts'

Scores of economic figures go screaming across our screens every day, many of them contradicting yesterday’s figures, and perhaps half of them based upon lies. On top of that, we have dozens of economic theorists arguing back and forth. In the end, it’s all too muddled for most of us to make out. We each have our guesses, but none of them are terribly certain. So, this week we’d like to point out the central economic facts of the moment, five fundamental conditions that we should all be clear on...

Taper Tantrum II: "There's No Simple, Painless Solution"

It is time for central banks to start acknowledging their limitations, and doing so by acting and not talking about their future intentions. It is also time for investors to stop believing that central banks had the answers to begin with.

Frontrunning: September 15

  • Global stocks struggle for footing after bond slip (Reuters)
  • Mobileye says Tesla was 'pushing the envelope in terms of safety' (Reuters)
  • Donald Trump is a problem for the whole world, EU's Schulz says (Reuters)
  • Stuck on Ship, One Gloomy Hanjin Crew Waits to Learn Its Fate (WSJ)
  • U.K. Approves EDF’s £18 Billion Hinkley Point Nuclear Project (BBG)

Bank of England Keeps Rate, QE Unchanged As Expected, Hints May Cut More

As was expected by the consensus of economists, and facilitated by the recent surge of positive economic data out of the UK, moments ago the BOE did not surprise, when it kept its interest rate at 0.25% after a unanimous 9-0 vote, which also included keeping the BOE's government bond and corporate bond purchases unchanged at GBP 435 and 10bn, respectively.