Bond

BOE Keeps Rate At 0.25%, Warns Rates May Rise Faster In Case Of "Smooth" Brexit

"...the Committee judges that, if the economy follows a path broadly consistent with the May central projection, then monetary policy could need to be tightened by a somewhat greater extent over the forecast period than the very gently rising path implied by the market yield curve underlying the May projections."

Europe, US Futures Slip Despite Brent Bouncing Back To $51

Asian stocks rise lifted by commodity names; European equites trade mostly lower but with little in the way of conviction or firm direction while the Italian banking index is at the highest level in a year following domestic earnings; S&P index futures are modestly in the red after the cash market closed at a record high Wednesday and investors prepared for earnings from retailers.

Goldman Asks If Yellen Has Lost Control Of The Market, Warns Of Fed "Policy Shock"

"Despite two rate hikes and indications of impending balance sheet runoff, financial conditions have continued to ease over the past six months. Does this mean that 1) monetary policy has lost its ability to affect financial conditions or 2) Fed officials just need to deliver more rate hikes if they want to bring about an FCI tightening?"

Gundlach: "The VIX Is Insanely Low"

"I think the VIX is insanely low. Anytime the VIX is below 10, if you could actually buy it, you should. But people can't buy the VIX. A regular Joe can't go long the VIX."

Reporter Arrested For Shouting Questions At Health Secretary Price

Dan Heyman, a reporter for Public News Service, was arrested Tuesday at the West Virginia Capitol for allegedly causing a disturbance and yelling questions at federal leaders in town, court records show. According to WSAZ, the altercation happened during a visit from U.S. Secretary of Health and Human Services Tom Price and Special Counsel to the President of the United States Kellyanne Conway.

Global Markets Thrown For A Loop After Comey's Shocking Sacking

“There is no doubt that Trump is dominating proceedings this morning after the sacking of Comey. This is a political story rather than a market story, but yet again it creates uncertainty in the market, which leaves everything the president does with a cloud floating over it" said James Hughes of GKFX.

Chinese Stocks Slide Again: One Trader Thinks It's All About The Financial Deleveraging

After two days of disappointing macro data out of China, with trade numbers missing expectations on Tuesday following by another drop and miss in producer prices overnight, the "great decoupling" between China stocks and both the S&P500 as well as the rest of the world continued, and the Shanghai Composite dropped another 0.9% to 3,052 to the lowest level since October.

Are US Taxpayers Now On The Hook For Risky Wall Street Real-Estate-Backed Bonds?

This is not a joke... "The BPOs are key elements in securitizations, determining basic figures such as how much rent to charge tenants, how much leverage and risk is embedded in the deal and how much investors could recover if the bonds go sour. Many of the securities were assigned AAA grades and sold off to investors such as pension funds." Is this 2006 or 2017?

Frontrunning: May 9

  • Yates warned Trump over Flynn blackmail fears (Reuters)
  • Former Trump security aide was Russia blackmail risk: ex-U.S. official (Reuters)
  • Visiting the White House Can Boost Your Stock Price. So Who’s Visiting Trump? (BBG)
  • Investors Lighten Up on U.S. Stocks, Betting on Europe (WSJ)
  • Oil steadies but rattled by concern about OPEC's clout (Reuters)

SocGen: Beware The Ghost Of 1993

"The comparison with 1993 is worthwhile too - it ended badly for asset markets, after all. Whether the Fed should worry about over-frequent excursions to the zero lower bound, or focus on financial sector stability, the risk is plain – super-easy monetary policy is creating artificially low volatility and driving money into trades and investments that are mispriced as a result."

Crushed Vol Boosts Dollar, Commodities; Futures Flat

Asian stocks declined, while European stocks rose to the highest since 2015, led by a rebound in commodities and basic resource stocks. U.S. stock-index futures were little changed at 2,395 - just shy of all time highs - as investors focused on corporate earnings after the French election, while the VIX hovered near its lowest level since 1993.

Bill Blain: "What's Going On In Equity Markets Should Serve As Something Of A Warning"

Most of the recent gains have been concentrated in a very small number of the mega-cap tech stocks – Apple, Google, Facebook and Amazon. Despite the absence of any real selling pressure (yet!), the rest of stocks are struggling to keep up the momentum. A handful of mega-cap stocks are masking underlying weakness. Near 1/3 of the rest of the SPX are in bear phase.