• Phoenix Capital...
    07/02/2015 - 11:09
    This process has already begun in Europe. It will be spreading elsewhere in the months to come. Smart investors are preparing now BEFORE it hits so they are in a position to profit from it...

Bond

Tyler Durden's picture

Liquidity And Manipulated Prices Are Not An Economy And Never Will Be





The Greek case offers quite a relevant view into the world of 21st century monetary alchemy, because that is what it really amounts to.  What is left, however, is the worst of all cases; no recovery, no lending and now just more financial imbalance piled onto the same negative pressures and imbalances that never really went away. What is amazing is how short the attention of “investors” may be, and how they allow themselves to think monetary complexity passes for proficiency or even expertise despite all and continued observation otherwise.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Cities, States Shun Moody's For Blowing The Whistle On Pension Liabilities





In the wake of the Chicago downgrade, state and local governments are moving away from Moody's as the ratings agency questions pension fund return assumptions. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"The Fed Has Wreaked Havoc" Ron Paul Warns Markets' "Day Of Reckoning" Looms





"I am utterly amazed at how the Federal Reserve can play havoc with the market," Ron Paul exclaimed on CNBC's "Futures Now" referring to Thursday's surge in stocks, warnings that he sees it as "being very unstable." As Paul rages, "the fallacy of economic planning" has created such a "horrendous bubble" in the bond market that it's only a matter of time before the bottom falls out. And when it does, it will lead to "stock market chaos."

 
Phoenix Capital Research's picture

The Truth About Greece… and What It Means For Larger Problem Countries





The situation in Greece has very little to do with politics or economics. Instead it is entirely focused on just one thing.

 
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Alexis Tsipras' Open Letter To The Germans: "Duty Rests On All Our Shoulders"





As so often, Mr. Tsipras makes a number of fair points. However, it seems to us that everybody is skirting the main issues. Greece cannot become a “socialist Utopia”, unless its citizens are happy with being condemned to a hand-to-mouth existence for a long, long time indeed. Whether or not Greece defaults, the one thing the government will be unable to fund is the very socialism that is its basic ideology.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Why Greek Government Bonds Are Not Crashing (Spoiler Alert: There's NO Trading)





A glance at a chart of 5Y Greek Govvies shows the last trade at a 16% yield, well below the worst 20% yields - suggesting yet another storm in a teacup as "markets know best." However, this is entirely wrong! Greek government bond trading has stopped... 5Y bonds have not traded since April 24th. In fact given current equity levels, 5Y yields would be closer to 22% - as bad they have been ever. The entire fixed income market in Greece has died with CDS liquidity having collapsed and only sporadic longer-dated bonds trading.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bonds, Banks, & Bears





History tells us two related facts. Central banks are always defeated by markets in the end, and central bankers have a touching faith that next time they will retain control over markets. But if we accept the lessons of history, we must dismiss complacency over systemic risk to the financial system. We can go even further, and begin to expect that of all the risks that will eventually trigger a widely expected financial crisis, it will be an old-fashioned bear market in bonds.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Stock Buybacks To Grind To A Halt Following Massive Credit Fund Outflows, "Bond Carnage"





There is hardly a better signal that inflection points in asset classes have been reached than major shifts in capital in/outflows. As a reminder, Bank of America has practically made a career of dragging out the old "great rotation" canard every time there has been a, well, great rotation, out of bonds and into stocks for the past 4 years... only to always top (and bottom) tick said capital flows. Overnight it did it again, when it reported that based on EPFR data, bond funds just suffered the biggest weekly outflow in 2 years of some $10.3 billion matched by a $10.8 billion inflow into stock funds: the largest since March.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

"Calm Reigns" Everywhere As Greece Inches Closer To Default, China Crashes





European shares remain higher, close to intraday highs, with the autos and travel & leisure sectors outperforming and basic resources, utilities underperforming. Meeting of finance officials to reach a deal over Greek aid ended in frustration, forcing leaders to call for an emergency summit for Monday. ECB plans to hold an emergency session of its Governing Council on Friday to discuss a deterioration in liquidity at Greek banks, three people familiar said. German airwave auction raises $5.7b to top 2010 sale. Bank of Japan leaves monetary policy unchanged as forecast. Shanghai Composite Index capped its worst weekly decline in seven years.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

China Is Turmoiling





For the 2nd time in a month, China's Shanghai Composite entered a correction, plunging 10% from local highs as headlines of delayed IPOs and large-scale steel 'dumping' at a loss combined with global monetary policy fireworks and European event risks. The rest of the more highly sensitive and manic Chinese equity markets are also plunging with CHINEXT and CSI-300 down over 7% in the last month (and 17% from the highs in the case of the former). Chinese stocks have gone nowhere in a month...and are now in fact notably lower in June.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

IMF Previews The Market's Final Days: Central Banks "May Have To Become Market Makers"





"The time it takes for the global regulatory community and central banking world to find a solution this time may be longer than the time where one episode of big illiquidity happens. Then the question is what to do. In my view the only thing that can be done at that time is that central banks should become again market makers of last resort."

 
Phoenix Capital Research's picture

The Fed is Now Officially in VERY Serious Trouble





This is the REAL issue with interest rates, NOT the economy. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

George Soros Warns Washington To "Mend Relations With China" Or Face World War 3





"Both the US and China have a vital interest in reaching an understanding because the alternative is so unpalatable," Soros wrote in an article for the New York Review of Books, with the danger imminent if Chinese economic reforms fail forcing President Xi Jinping to "foster some external conflicts to keep the country united and maintain himself in power." These "conflicts" would present themselves in the form of a Sino-Russo alliance which could draw the entire world into war.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Dollar Tumbles After Fed Whiffs Again; More Cracks Appear In Chinese Stock Bubble





All those saying the Fed will never be able to raise rate are looking particularly smug this morning, because if the market needed a green light that despite all the constant posturing, pomp and rhetoric, the US economy is simply (never) ready for a rate hike, it got it late last night when Goldman is pushing back its forecast for the first Fed rate hike from  September to December 2015 saying that "in large part this reflects the fact that seven FOMC participants are now projecting zero or one rate hike this year, a group that we believe includes Fed Chair Janet Yellen. We had viewed a clear signal for a September hike at the June meeting as close to a necessary condition for the FOMC to actually hike in September, but the committee did not lay that groundwork today."

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Another Fed "Insider" Quits, Tells The Truth





"The Fed is allowing the [market] tail to wag the [monetary policy] dog... The Fed's credibility itself is at stake... they have backed themselves into a very tight corner... the tightest ever... The hope today is that the current era of easy monetary policy will have no deep economic ramifications. Such thinking, though, may prove to be naive... All retirees’ security is thus at risk when the massive overvaluation in fixed income and equity markets eventually rights itself."

 
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