Bond

Puerto Rico Bonds Jump As Supreme Court Strikes Down Debt Restructuring: Only Congress Can Bail Them Out Now

"Our constitutional structure does not permit this court to rewrite the statute that Congress has enacted," explained Justice Clarence Thomas, siding with bondholders challenging the law, the court ruled 5-2 that the measure was barred under federal bankruptcy law. Puerto Rico bond prices are rallying on the news. The decision leaves Puerto Rico dependent on Congress to extricate the island from its difficulties.

€348 Million: ECB Releases First Total Of Corporate Bond Purchases

As part of today's update of the ECB's asset purchases, the central bank announced for the first time, in addition to its various other sovereign and covered-bond purchases, just how many corporate bonds it had bought in the open market under its infamous CSPP, or corporate bond buying program, which officially launched on June 3. The result: a mere €348 million in purchases on the first day in which the program was operational.

"Summer Of Shocks" - 6 Scenarios That El-Erian Sees Slamming Stocks

Most agree that there is a limit to how far central banks can decouple asset prices from fundamentals. With an increasing number of billionaire investors from George Soros to Stan Druckenmiller calling for that reality gap to collapse (amid BofA's "summer of shocks"), it is the timing of that convergence that matters -- particularly when it comes to pinpointing events that could be catalysts for a correction....

Global Stocks Plunge; US Futures, Oil Slide As Brexit Fears "Jolt Markets"

Right now it is all about the immediate fate of the UK, and as Bloomberg explains the "jolted markets" and overnight plunge in global risk assets, "growing anxiety over the prospect of the U.K. exiting the European Union dominated financial markets, sending global stocks down for a third day and the British pound to an eight-week low while boosting demand for havens such as the yen and gold."

Markets In Turmoil As Brexit Fears Mount And Japan, China Data Tumbles

FX, equity, and bond markets are in turmoil as Asian markets begin trading with Japan ugly, Sterling getting spanked, China devaluing FX (stocks down hard), and crude ($48 handle) and US equity futures (Dow -70) extending losses (as bond markets are all tumbling to record low yields). The hangover from further brexit concerns is not helped by the weakness in Japanese and Chinese data tonight.

This Is What The Unprecedented Chinese M&A Scramble In America Looks Like

The level of Chinese cross-border M&A chasing after US targets is literally off the charts. Notably, China has accounted for 26% of global cross-border activity YTD, which is nearly 3x higher than the next highest year. At $28 bn YTD, US-inbound deal flow from Chinese acquirers is already a record level and nearly 2x last year’s volumes

Paul Singer Joins Icahn, Soros; Warns "It's A Very Dangerous Time To Be In The Market", Buys Gold

"The cure for the crisis — for the debt crisis, the financial crisis — has been deemed by the developed world governments to be more debt. There has not been a deleveraging. And after seven and a half years and counting of this mix of policies, at the moment we’re either in a stage of stagnation or rollover, possibly in the early stages of a global recession. So I think it’s a very dangerous time in the financial markets."

About That US Economic Rebound...

The Goldman Sachs Economics US Current Activity Indicator (CAI) is a proxy for real-time GDP growth and the metric has slowed to 1.3%. Our economics colleagues expect GDP growth will accelerate to a 3.2% pace in 2Q and average 2.3% during 2H 2016. This was the lowest print in over five years.

Goldman Warns Of "Upward Shock" To Rates, Hints At Trillions In Losses

According to Goldman, here is the unpleasant choice facing the world: continue slowly sinking into a deflationary singularity, coupled with ever greater systemic leverage which makes escape from the ZIRP/NIRP trap impossible as social unrest builds up and ultimately spills over into the streets, or unleash an inflationary impulse, one which crushes countless debt holders, leads to trillions in losses, and requires yet another consolidated bailout.... oh, and also more social unrest.

What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

So we have a booming market in opaque, complicated financial instruments involving layers of risk, leverage and maturity mismatches.  We have unsophisticated investors and issuers, both seeking to avoid government regulations and expecting to be bailed out in the worst case. We have cross-holdings and backdoor exposures to regular credit channels.  We have all of this taking place in an environment of booming credit expansion, a deteriorating economy and financial repression. We hate to repeat ourselves, but really... WHAT COULD POSSIBLY GO WRONG?

Pictet: "The Pricing And Valuation Of Bonds No Longer Reflects Fundamentals" - Why This Matters

"Wicksellians believe that in today’s climate, where markets are being swamped with money pumped in by central banks via QE, long-term sovereign bond yields need to rise steeply to revert to their ‘natural’ rate of interest. An unexpected spike in inflation might be the trigger for this upward movement. According to proponents of this scenario, bonds would then be sent crashing. Conversely, the Fisherian camp believes that low government bond yields essentially reflect the anaemic state of the economy. Wicksellians are duly offloading their positions in government bonds, whereas Fisherians are building up theirs."