Bond

Weekend Reading: The Trump Effect

It has been interesting to watch market participants swing from “Trump The Terrible” to “Trump The Great” in relation to the markets and economy and he isn’t even in office yet. But while Trump certainly has an extensive list of actions for his first 100-days, there are many headwinds to actual policy implementation and ultimately their success.

China Warns It Is Ready To Slow Yuan Plunge On Capital Outflow Fears

While Chinese policymakers have taken the yuan's recent slide in stride, they are getting ready to slow its descent - i.e., sell reserves -  for fear of fanning capital flight if the currency falls too quickly through the psychologically important 7-per-dollar level, Reuters reports citing policy advisers.

Regime Change? Yields Surpass Critical Level

For now, shareholders appear unphased by the fact that the cost of funding of the companies that they prize are soaring at an unprecedented speed. Nowhere is that more obviously disconnected than the congnitive dissonance between credit-sensitive small cap stocks and the plunge in high-yield corporate bonds. However, as we have begun to see today, rising yields are starting to weigh on stocks... but at what level does that "too much of a bad thing in bonds" slam stocks?

Frontrunning: November 18

  • Dollar heads for best fortnight vs. yen since 1988 (Reuters)
  • Jeff Sessions Said to Be Trump’s Pick for Attorney General (BBG)
  • Flynn set to be national security adviser (Reuters)
  • NATO Secretary General Expects to Speak With Trump ‘Very Soon’ (BBG)
  • Hensarling Could Be Wall Street’s Best Hope or Worst Nightmare (BBG)

Euro In Historic Slide As Dollar Surge, Bond Rout Continues

More of the same this morning as the dollar extended its advance on the still undeteremined Trump reflationary policy measures after Yellen signaled an interest-rate hike could be imminent, while bond yields around the globe rose again, metals declined,  European stocks advanced and futures were modestly in the red just shy of all time highs.

Totally Out Of Touch: Nicolas Sarkozy Seeks "Marshall Plan" For Africa

Does the average unemployed youth in Greece, Italy, or Spain give a rat’s ass about a Marshall plan for Africa? Hell no! They want a Marshall Plan for Greece, for Italy, and Spain. Sarkozy’s Marshall Plan for Africa idea shows how much out of touch these politically correct buffoons are.

3 Things: Retail Sales, Recurring Ignorance, & Return Reality

There was an awful lot of cheering about the recent retail sales report which showed an uptick of 0.8% which beat the analyst’s estimates of 0.6%. However, if we dig deeper behind the headlines more troubling trends emerge for the consumer which begins to erode the narrative of the "economy is doing great" and “there is no recession" in sight.