ETC
Can We See A Bubble If We're Inside The Bubble?
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/13/2016 16:55 -0500We want this time to be different so badly, we can almost taste it. But this time is only different on the margins; the flavor of the bust remains the taste of ashes.
Guest Post: 2016 - Year Of The 'Epocalypse'
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/12/2016 21:20 -0500- Afghanistan
- Apple
- Australia
- Auto Sales
- Baltic Dry
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Bear Market
- Black Swan
- Black Swans
- Bond
- Brazil
- Central Banks
- China
- Consumer Confidence
- Creditors
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- default
- Demographics
- ETC
- Eurozone
- Fail
- Federal Reserve
- Federal Reserve Bank
- Fisher
- France
- Free Money
- Germany
- Global Economy
- Great Depression
- Greece
- Guest Post
- Housing Market
- Housing Prices
- International Monetary Fund
- Iran
- Iraq
- Japan
- Meltdown
- Middle East
- Money Supply
- North Korea
- Obama Administration
- Poland
- President Obama
- Reality
- Recession
- recovery
- Richard Fisher
- Risk Management
- Saudi Arabia
- Student Loans
- Switzerland
- Turkey
- Ukraine
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Yuan
As the towering forces that are prevailing against failing global economic architecture and the pit of debt beneath that structure, as laid out below, it is clear that the 'Epocalypse' - encompassing the roots "economic, epoch, collapse" and "apocalypse" - is here, and it is everywhere. The Great Collapse has already begun. What follows are the megatrends that will increasingly gang up in the first part of 2016 to stomp the deeply flawed global economy down into its own hole of debt.
The International War On Cash
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/12/2016 19:00 -0500When we first wrote on the subject, there was considerable criticism as to the possibility that such a program would ever be attempted, let alone succeed. And, granted, it was so Orwellian that it was understandably seen as a crackpot idea. But since that time, the program has been developing extremely rapidly. In the last six months alone, it has become so visible that it has even garnered a name - "the War on Cash." Once complete, state wealth control will exist.
"Panic Is Building" BofA Admits; Asks "How Bad Could This Get?"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/11/2016 17:15 -0500"Panic is building, most likely setting the stage for a rally, but the missing ingredient here is growth. With analysts cutting estimates at an accelerating rate, increasing China risks and no apparent floor for oil prices, we remain cautious on our near term outlook for stocks."
According To SocGen The Problem Is Not "China", It's This
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/11/2016 15:24 -0500"... after four long years without any profits growth, the risk is that MSCI World mean-reverts to its original 2011 PE multiple, which would imply a further 50% decline from here. Even decline back to average would imply a 15% drop."
"Nothing Is Risk-Free In This System Of Chaos"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/11/2016 15:05 -0500Risk is now everywhere. If you invest in the markets, there is risk of temporary or permanent loss of capital. Even if you do nothing and simply hold cash in a bank, there is bail-in risk and financial repression. This is our reality now...Nothing is risk-free in this system of chaos. In a way, today’s mad scientist central bankers have engineered financial dinosaurs back into our time. They think they can control the system. But judging just from the first chaotic week in financial markets so far in 2016, life is finding a way.
Noble Group's "Margin Call" Part II: The Enron Moment
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/10/2016 21:17 -0500Our balance sheet - the strongest in recent history - represents a significant advantage as we continue to identify high value growth opportunities across the products and geographies we operate in. Maintaining out investment grade rating with the international rating agencies is a vital part of this strategy.
- Noble Group 2014 Annual Report, p. 27
Taiwan Election: How a DPP Win Would Tick Off China
Submitted by EconMatters on 01/09/2016 00:49 -0500Time Magazine cover says she could lead the only Chinese democracy. The same woman also said "Violence Is Normal in a Democratic Society"
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Islamic Radicalism: A Consequence Of Petro-Imperialism
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 19:01 -0500The mainspring of Islamic extremism and militancy isn’t the moderate and democratic political Islam, because why would people turn to violence when they can exercise their right to choose their rulers? The mainspring of Islamic militancy is the despotic and militant political Islam of the Gulf variety. The Western powers are fully aware of this fact, then why do they choose to support the same forces that have nurtured jihadism and terroris?
Cultural Marxism Explained In 7 Minutes
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/08/2016 18:30 -0500To understand the growth of movements like political correctness, modern feminism, pansexualism, multiculturalism, "whiteness studies," one must understandthe history and nature of Cultural Marxist
"A Sad State Of Affairs" - Two-Thirds Of Americans Have No Emergency Savings
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 11:40 -0500"When 63% of all Americans can’t handle a $500 emergency, and 46% of households making over $75,000 can’t handle a $500 emergency, then they are just plain stupid, frivolous, and incapable of distinguishing between wants and needs. Delayed gratification is a trait almost non-existent among Americans today."
2016 Theme #3: The Rise Of Independent (Non-State) Crypto-Currencies
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 20:05 -0500The invention of the blockchain and crypto-currencies such as Bitcoin have opened the door to non-state, non-central-bank currencies - money that is global and independent of any state or central bank, or indeed, any bank. This doesn't just open the possibility of escaping the debt-serfdom of central and private banks - it opens the door to an entire global economy that's free of the inequality and concentration of wealth and power that is the only possible output of central bank created and distributed money.
A Disturbing Warning From UBS: "Buy Gold" Because A 30% Bear Market Is Coming
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 13:35 -0500As Wall Street axioms (Santa rally, January effect, as goes January etc.) are rapidly falling by the wayside at the start of 2016, following a chaotic but return-less 2015, the UBS analysts who correctly forecast last year's volatility are out with their forecast for 2016. It's simple - Sell Stocks, Buy Gold... expect a Fed u-turn.
How Iceland Escaped From The One Bank
Submitted by Sprott Money on 01/06/2016 05:59 -0500Iceland refused to be blackmailed. Iceland refused to take on the extra debt (and debt slavery) that came with the blackmail. Iceland refused to touch its social programs. Iceland has the strongest economy in the Western world.
Why $1.5 Billion Nevsky Capital Is Shutting Down: The Full Letter
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 15:45 -0500"It is time to accept that what we have done has worked brilliantly for twenty years but does not work anymore and move on. We are confident our process will eventually work again – for the laws of economics will never be repealed – but for now they are suspended and may be for some time; an indefinite period involving indeterminate levels of risk during which we think it would be wrong for us to be the stewards of your money."




