Your Last Minute FOMC Preview: "Will It Be A Dovish Hike Or Not"

The FOMC is expected to raise its overnight federal funds rate (FFR) target by 25bps to 1.00% to 1.25%, in what would be its second hike of 2017. Fed Funds Futures were pricing in a 95% implied probability that rates will be lifted – at one point last week, that probability was over 99%.

The Dead Giveaways Of Imperial Decline

Nothing is as permanent as we imagine... especially super-complex, super-costly, super-asymmetric and super-debt-dependent state/financial systems.

Citi Warns 'Inversion' Looms As Treasury Yield Curve Slumps To 8-Month Lows

Since The Fed began its 'tightening cycle' in December 2015, the Treasury yield curve (2s10s) has flattened dramatically, tumbling back today towards cycle lows (and well below Trump-election-hope lows). What is perhaps more worrisome is the historical trend strongly suggests this trend is far from over and an inverted yield curve looms.

The Math Of Bitcoin And Why One Analyst Says It's Not Yet In A Bubble

"I have read many articles lately claiming that Bitcoin is in a bubble similar to the famous Great Tulip bubble of 1637... but that comparison is only for those who do not understand the significance of what is happening currently with blockchain technology... The bubble is the dollar... And thus there is no store of value to be found. This is a terribly ugly situation for people who believe in hard work and saving to get ahead"

Debt Has No Consequences? Color Us Skeptical

"The entire status quo is based on the delusion that rapidly rising debt will never generate any negative consequences. Color me skeptical of that working out in the real world."