ETC

It's Bubble Time

Wisdom & discipline will separate winners from victims...

German 2Y Yield Plunges To Record -0.95%: Citi Explains Why It Will Keep Dropping

With the German Schatz plunging to a record -0.85%, Citi analysts write that the German 2Y yield will likely make new historic lows, no matter what happens in French politics, because the ECB needs to buy around EU80b 1-6y Germany by year-end, and as a result traders will keep frontrunning ECB purchases, pushing the Schatz well below -1.00%

When Was America's Peak Wealth?

"...was America at its richest right before or right after Nixon took the country off the gold standard in 1971?"

The Market Is Not The Economy, But Earnings Are (Closer)

"... share prices, in general, operating on the far end of the probability spectrum; where everything has to go just right in the near future, including whatever may come out of Trump “stimulus” and economic policies. EPS, however, suggests, as the calculations for GDP potential, that that would be a very low probability outcome, including a high risk of “something” going wrong all over again just like it was in 2014."

Dazed & Confused... Treasury Buying Versus Asset Valuations?

"I'm dazed & confused...economists and the consensus all acknowledge 2001 and 2007 were low interest rate, debt driven financial and economic bubbles.  However, somehow today's even lower interest rate environment resulting in an additional $9.5 trillion in equity valuation from the last bubble peak...this one is legit and isn't a bubble???"