fixed

Frontrunning: April 26

  • Futures flat as Trump tax plan awaited (Reuters)
  • Trump’s 15% Tax Plan May Just Be His Opening Gambit (BBG)
  • Budget Director, After Health-Law Missteps, Preps for Spending Battle (WSJ)
  • 100 Days: Trump's victories dimmed by misfires (Reuters)
  • White House Intervened to Toughen Letter on Iran Nuclear Deal (WSJ)
  • Trump Changing Tactics on Tax After Health-Care Failure (BBG)

Is The Fed About To Drop The MOAB On Wall Street?

What all this warrants is extreme caution in Bubbleville. With geopolitical risk flashing bright red, half percent GDP growth, record high equity valuations and a delusional Fed that continues threatening interest rate normalization; the market’s reality check is surely imminent.

France Is 'Fixed'? - Credit Risk Collapses Most In History

French credit risk has collapsed by almost 40% this morning - the most ever - as it appears investors are satisifed that 1) Macron will win the presidency, and 2) Centrist banker/Hollande-lackey Macron will solve all of France's problems. The so-called "le spread" also plunged from EU crisis highs, but does remain somewhat elevated from recent norms...

Euphoria Returns: European Stocks Soar, Dax Hits Record; S&P Futs Surge In "French Relief Rally"

Risk is definitely on this morning as European shares soar, led by French stocks a new record high in Germany's Dax, and S&P futures up 1.2% after a "French relief rally" in which the first round of the country’s presidential elections prompted investors to bet that establishment candidate Emmanuel Macron will win a runoff vote next month. Asian stocks also surged, expect for China, which suffered its biggest drop of the year, down 1.4%, ending the streak of losses no greater than 1% going back to December.

Deutsche Bank: "It Was Good While It Lasted"

"It Was Good While It Lasted: Sit back, relax, the bear market in bonds may be over. It would not be unreasonable to expect at least a 50 bps decline from peak to trough in G3 yields following a peak in yield momentum."

The Last Time This Happened, The Market Crashed

A few days ago Charles Schwab, the investment brokerage firm, announced that the number of new brokerage accounts soared 44% during the first quarter of 2017. More specifically, Schwab stated that individual investors are opening up stock trading accounts at the fastest pace the company has seen in 17 years. Anyone remember what happened 17 years ago?