Economic principles explain why the Saudis began, in late 2014, to pump crude as fast as they could – or close to as fast as possible. In fact, there is a good reason why the Saudi princes are panicked and pumping.
Angela Merkel sought to temper pressure from Paris, Brussels and her own government to force Britain into negotiating a quick divorce from the EU, despite warnings that hesitation will let populism take hold. Eurosceptics in other member states applauded Britons' decision to leave the European Union in a referendum that sent shockwaves around the world, with far-right demands for a similar vote in Slovakia underlining the risk of a domino effect. Meanwhile, the EU is urging Cameron to promptly trigger Article 50, even as nobody really knows what the UK will do next...
Looking at the UK, Goldman says "we expect a recession – albeit mild by historical standards – in the first half of next year. The weaker outlook will also weigh on the inflation outlook. Meanwhile, back in the US, "our forecasted path for the funds rate now looks quite unlike any tightening cycle in modern Fed history—one increase, followed by an extended pause, followed by gradual but steady increases over the subsequent three years."
Fourth Turnings never peter out. They intensify to a crescendo of turmoil, chaos, violence, war, and bloodshed. This Fourth Turning intensification just got turned up dramatically. It will eventually be turned up to 11.
Nmerous traders have suggested, that Brexit - should Remain indeed be victorious - could be one of the more significant "sell the news" events in recent years. However, an even more interesting hypothesis was proposed by Gregory Peters, senior investment officer at Prudential Fixed Income, who told Reuters on Tuesday that he thinks U.S. stocks and bonds are a "great" buying opportunity if Britain votes to exit the European Union.
On the day voting for the UK referendum finally began, what started off as a trading session with a modest upward bias, promptly turned into a buying orgy in painfully illiquid markets shortly after Europe opened as an influx of buy orders pushed European stocks 2% higher, propelled by cable which was above 1.49 for the first time since December and USDJPY climbing over 1.05 in sympathy, following the release of the final Ipsos Mori poll which showed Remain at 52% to 48% for leave.
Following a scathing speech by Hillary Clinton yesterday, in which the Democratic candidate warned a Trump presidency would unleash a recession, Trump on Wednesday retaliated with a blistering attack of his own on Hillary Clinton, assailing her as “a world class liar” and failed secretary of state who can’t be trusted on issues ranging from the turmoil in the Middle East to immigration and trade. His resounding punchline was that “Hillary Clinton may be the most corrupt person to ever seek the presidency of the United States,” during a speech in his hotel in SoHo, reading from a teleprompter in his first major speech of the general election.
It is a rare moment in history. The British haven’t had their say since they voted to join the European Community back in 1975. What was initially thought of as a project to unite Europe into one common market, with the benefits of free trade and great promises of increasing national wealth, has mutated into a completely different entity. The British have, instead, found themselves being dragged into a regional economy of zero growth, a weak currency and heavily indebted states. You may have come across the arguments of both camps, but here we wish to address what a “Brexit” or “Bremain” scenario would mean for Britain.
"we curiously wonder out loud: if Tesla can acquire SolarCity, amid what we believe are signs of an existential crisis, then – if TSLA were to ever get into trouble – could taxpayers possibly be on the hook (i.e., could SpaceX, funded by US taxpayers, follow the same dubious corp. governance norms exhibited by TSLA/SCTY & bail out TSLA)? While we have neither the answer, nor the legal savvy, we do believe this proposed acquisition suggests SCTY is worth little value"
Ever had to testify in a trial involving your father's dealings in corrupt activities, and as a result had your tax records leaked for all of the public to see? Sergio Machado, the ex-head of Credit Suisse's Brazil fixed-income business has, and now everyone knows how much he made in 2015.
Global equities rallied and the pound strengthened the most since 2008, soaring by 300 pips since the Friday close as polls signaled the campaign for the U.K to stay in the European Union was gaining momentum. Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index surged by the most since February as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced with S&P 500 futures. Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped.