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Analyst Slams Tesla's Bid For SolarCity: "This Proposed Acquisition Suggests SCTY Is Worth Little Value"

"we curiously wonder out loud: if Tesla can acquire SolarCity, amid what we believe are signs of an existential crisis, then – if TSLA were to ever get into trouble – could taxpayers possibly be on the hook (i.e., could SpaceX, funded by US taxpayers, follow the same dubious corp. governance norms exhibited by TSLA/SCTY & bail out TSLA)? While we have neither the answer, nor the legal savvy, we do believe this proposed acquisition suggests SCTY is worth little value"

Why An Ex-Credit Suisse Banker In Brazil Made More Money Than The CEO

Ever had to testify in a trial involving your father's dealings in corrupt activities, and as a result had your tax records leaked for all of the public to see? Sergio Machado, the ex-head of Credit Suisse's Brazil fixed-income business has, and now everyone knows how much he made in 2015.

Imagine...

Now imagine what might happen next...

Global Stocks Soar, Pound Surges Most Since 2008 As Brexit Odds Tumble

Global equities rallied and the pound strengthened the most since 2008, soaring by 300 pips since the Friday close as polls signaled the campaign for the U.K to stay in the European Union was gaining momentum. Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped. The Stoxx Europe 600 Index surged by the most since February as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced with S&P 500 futures.  Haven assets including the yen, U.S. Treasuries and gold slumped.

The Problem With Corporate Debt

There are actually two problems with corporate debt. One is that there is too much of it... the other is that a lot of it appears to be going sour.

How The Welfare State Dies

Brexit has diverted attention from another little drama playing out in Europe. As of the time of writing, if you Google Hollande threatens to ban protests or variations thereof, you will find Russian, South African and even Iranian press reports on the topic. Otherwise, it’s basically crickets (sole exception: Politico).  Gee, we wonder why? Those who elected Mr. Hollande did so because they expected him to deliver the loot. His problem is that he’s running out of stuff to loot.

Janet Whiffs Again - Take Cover Now!

If Donald Trump has even a partial clue about the nation’s monumental economic mess one of his first acts will be to demand Janet Yellen’s resignation. And for sheer incompetence among countless other failings. She was out there again yesterday talking in completely incoherent circles. On the one hand, Yellen robotically insisted that the U.S. economy is moving steadily toward the Keynesian nirvana of full employment. At the same time, she struck a profile in cowardice that was downright pathetic.

Housing Bubble 1.0 Vs. Housing Bubble 2.0 - The Culprit Is "Shadow Demand"... Again!

"If 2006 was a known bubble with housing prices at “X”, affordability never better, easy availability of credit, unemployment in the 4%’s, total workforce at record highs, and growing wages, then what do you call today with house prices at X+ 5% to 20%, worse affordability and credit, higher unemployment, weakening total workforce, and shrinking wages? Whatever you call it, it’s a greater thing than “X”."

Global Stocks Continue To Plunge As Central Banks Disappoint, Brexit Looms

Futures on the S&P 500 slipped 0.3%, as U.S. equities are on track to extend losses for a sixth day.  Europe's Stoxx 600 fell to a four-month low, sliding 1% for its sixth decline in seven days, and U.S. crude retreated for a sixth day in the longest losing streak since February. Bond yields sank to records in Germany, Australia after Japan as Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen said next week’s U.K. vote on European Union membership was a factor in the decision to hold interest rates steady. The Yen surged more than 2% as the Bank of Japan refrained from adding any new stimulus,

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Says Labor Market "Will Strengthen" But Slashes Rates Hike Trajectory

With bonds and bullion remainig bid post payrolls, post May Minutes, post April FOMC, and post December's Fed rate-hike, it is clear that the market is losing faith in The Fed... and we suspect The Fed is losing faith in itself as it takes the ax (once again) to its growth and rate forecasts (the dot-plot).

  • *FED SAYS IT EXPECTS LABOR MARKET INDICATORS `WILL STRENGTHEN'
  • *FED: MEDIAN FED FUNDS EST. 1.6% END-2017 VS 1.9% IN MARCH
  • *FED SAYS PACE OF LABOR MARKET IMPROVEMENT HAS SLOWED

July rate-hike odds are at 18% (and Sept at 19%). Pre-Fed: S&P Futs 2082, 10Y 1.61%, EUR 1.1240, Gold $1285

Something Unexpected Emerges In China's Latest Money And Credit Data

China's corporate bond market, one of the fastest growing sources of cheap credit, did something in May it hasn't done in in six years: it shrank.  And then there was the record contraction in banker's acceptance bills, a pseudo currency used by companies for payments that have been the subject of several instances of massive fraud. Hopes for a big credit push are again being dashed.

Why Goldman Is No Longer Buying The Oil Bounce

One month ago there was some confusion when Goldman released a report in which it cut its 2017 oil price forecast due to expectations of slower market rebalancing, while at the same time boosting it near-term crude price projections due to short-term supply disruptions. To be sure, the media - and the market - focused only on the latter part while ignoring the former. To address this confusion, Goldman another report in which it explained why the firm is not "buying" the oil rally, and why it is time to focus on the big picture, one which Goldman does not find particularly optimistic.