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1987 Versus 2017: Will History Repeat Or Just Echo?

"...no single event can be blamed for the crash that occurred on October 19, 1987, rather a confluence of factors and events caused a rapid erosion in market confidence. The same can be said in 2017. No single factor indicates conclusively that a stock market correction is imminent, but the risks are out there and merit continued attention..."

Chinese Economic Data Misses Across The Board As Credit Impulse Slump Kicks In

The brief encounter with a 'recovery' that China's economic data enjoyed in the first half of 2017 has evaporated as the reality of a collapsing credit impulse strikes across the board. Retail Sales, Fixed Asset Investment, and Industrial Production all missed expectations  and slowed dramatically.

Oh Canada - Reflections On An Economic Experiment

"...the real problem is with the Fed’s unwillingness to surprise markets. They are convinced that moves should be telegraphed well in advance.. the Fed is a slave to market expectations...Well, Bank of Canada Governor Poloz is willing to take the other side of this view. Arguing that in normal times, there is no need for such guidance..."

Is It (Seasonally) Time To Turn To Steepeners?

"I am a big, huge, Alaskan Peninsular grizzly of a bear when it comes to fixed income, but sometimes I need to find ways to express that view without just putting it all on the dark side. "

SocGen: "Now Entering Dangerous Volatility Regimes"

"Equity volatility troughed in February 2007, around eight months ahead of the US equity market peak. The current level of equity volatility is very similar to what we saw in February 2007. Equity market volatility started to rise in the subsequent months."

Forget Tulips & Bitcoin - Here's The Real Bubble

While the broader market for Swiss stocks has risen modestly this year, one 'entity' has outperformed its peers by such a staggering margin, it has left bamboozled market experts struggling for an explanation...

The Most Important Paper Of The Next Decade

"Whenever I tell people the next big crisis will come from inflation, not deflation, the looks of disgust are worse than when someone says Justin Bieber’s music is not that bad... and I must admit, I have always had difficulty articulating how inflation would manifest... until now!"

Key Events In The Coming Week: BOE, SNB, Inflation And Retail Sales

In a somewhat quieter week for economic news, this week's focus is on BoE and SNB policy meetings as well as on inflation releases in US, UK, China and others. Other releases of note include retail sales in the US, UK and China along with industrial production in US, Eurozone & China.