Abu Dhabi

Oil Slides After Saudis Suggest Early End To OPEC Deal

Following a brief spike overnight (as China intervened in its equity market), crude prices slipped lower, testing towards a $51 handle after Saudi Arabia says OPEC is on track to wrap up its production curbs by the middle of the year, potentially leaving its aim of clearing a global oil glut unfinished.

US Futures Flat Ahead Of December Payrolls; Dollar Rebounds

European shares fell modestly, Asian equities declined for the first day in three, and US equity futures were unchanged before the December U.S. nonfarm payrolls report. China’s offshore yuan fell the most in a year to pare a record weekly rally, while Mexico’s peso climbed after the central bank sold dollars. Oil was trading lower in early trading.

Frontrunning: December 2

  • Futures fall ahead of jobs report (Reuters)
  • Obama to Block Second Chinese Deal on Security Concerns (BBG)
  • Trump Exults in Victory and Mocks Critics at Ohio Rally (BBG)
  • China's Central Bank Is Facing a Major New Headache (BBG)
  • Trump considering Goldman Sachs COO Cohn for energy secretary (Reuters)

Frontrunning: December 1

  • Oil hits six-week high after OPEC deal, sterling jumps (Reuters), Oil Holds Gains After OPEC Deal (WSJ), Hangover Awaits as OPEC Celebrates (BBG)
  • Opec agreement: the winners and the losers (FT)
  • Russia’s Pledge to OPEC Will Mean ‘Herding Cats’ to Deliver Cuts (BBG)
  • Mnuchin Made Millions From Financial Crisis (WSJ); Trump reverses stance by turning to Goldman alumni for key roles (FT)
  • Treasury Pick Says ‘No Absolute Tax Cut’ for Wealthy (WSJ)

In "Seismic Shift" To Mid-East Regional Power, Saudis Halt Egypt Oil Supplies As Cairo Turns To Iran

Saudi Arabia has informed Egypt that shipments of oil products have been halted indefinitely, suggesting a deepening rift between the two nations. In response, an Egyptian delegation suggested late on Sunday evening that it would visit Iran, Saudi Arabia's main political rival, to try to strike new oil deals. Such a visit would cement a break in Egypt's alliance with Saudi Arabia and "mark a seismic shift in the regional political order."

Monte Paschi Plunges As Much As 39% On Debt-For-Equity Fears After Surging In Past Week

After a furious rally in the past week on hopes that Italy's oldest, and most insolvent, bank, Siena's Monte Paschi has turned the corner and would return to profitability while outside investors would finally help it in its seemingly endless quest to find $5 billion in outside capital, today BMPS shares plunged after first opening limit up in what can only be characterized as a roller coast market.

George Soros' False Flag Factories

Global hedge fund tycoon and political provocateur George Soros is leading a war of symbols, namely flags and banners either resurrected or conjured up by his myriad non-profit groups, to stir religious, racial, and ethnic tensions the world over.

Saudi Arabia Bails Out Banking System After Interbank Rates Hit 2009 Highs

Amid what some might call self-inflicted economic collapse, Saudi Arablia has announced a $5.3 billion bailout of its banking system as interbank borrowing rates near the highest since Lehman. In what the supposedly central bank calls "supportive monetary policy...on behalf of government entities," is easing liquidity constraints with 28-day repo agreements and is the second liquidty injection this year.

Oil Extends Losses As 'Short-Squeeze' Ammo Is Now Exhausted

WTI Crude is now down 6% from last week's highs, back below $47 as supply concerns (Abu Dhabi production rise and ConocoPhilips' CEO comments) and OPEC freeze talks doubts have combined with the biggest collapse in speculative short positions in history (following the Saudi statement) - removing the last 'short-squeeze' leg of support from this dead-cat-bounce.

Frontrunning: August 19

  • European shares, oil ease as markets return to Fed-watching (Reuters)
  • Brent crude slides, but on track for third week of gains (Reuters)
  • Rio 2016: Lochte’s Teammates, USOC Join With Police in Discrediting Robbery Story (WSJ)
  • OPEC Freeze Wouldn’t Be So Potent as Gulf Rivals Pump More (BBG)
  • Hackers targeted Trump campaign, Republican Party groups (Reuters)

Why Oil Under $40 Will Bring It All Down Again: That's Where SWFs Resume Liquidating

If oil were to drop back under $40, not only would it precipitate even more selling of oil as momentum strategies flip, but it would catalyze a liquidation by those SWFs who thought they were done selling equities, leading to a return of the same sellers that pushed the S&P back to the low 1,900s a short 6 months ago. So for all those curious where stocks are going next, the simple answer is: keep an eye on what oil does next.