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Greek, Italian Risks Weigh On European, Global Markets; Oil, Gold Slide

Tuesday's session started off on the back foot, with the Euro first sliding on Draghi's dovish comments before Europarliament on Monday coupled with a Bild report late on Monday according to which Greece was prepared to forego its next debt payment if not relief is offered by creditors, pushing European stocks lower as much as -0.6%. However the initial weakness reversed after Greece denied the Bild report. S&P futures are fractionally lower

Coach Acquires Kate Spade For $18.50 Per Share

In some good news for the distressed US retail sector, on Monday morning handbag retailer Coach confirmed long-running speculation, when it announced that it would acquire peer Kate Spade in a $2.4 billion deal. Coach will pay Kate Spade shareholders $18.50 a share in cash, a 28% premium to Kate’s closing price as of Dec. 27, the last trading day before the Wall Street Journal first reported that Kate was exploring a sale of the company.

Frontrunning: March 16

  • Fed's 'dovish hike' sends shares to record highs, dollar dips (Reuters); Markets Rally After Fed Rate Increase Decision (BBG)
  • Yellen Calms Fears Fed’s Policy Trigger Finger Is Getting Itchy (BBG)
  • Europe Gets Reprieve in Dutch Election, But the Center Fragments (BBG); Relief in EU capitals as Dutch PM sees off far-right's Wilders (Reuters)
  • Trump's first budget: military wins; environment, aid lose (Reuters)
  • Trump Says He Based Charge of Obama Wiretapping on Media Reports (BBG)

Frontrunning: December 29

  • Russia's Putin says Syrian government, opposition sign ceasefire deal (Reuters)
  • Snap’s IPO Pitch to Tout Service as ‘the Next Facebook’ (WSJ)
  • What History Has to Say About the Economy Trump Will Inherit (BBG) - zero mentions of the word "debt"
  • Trump tax reforms could depend on little-known 'scoring' panel (Reuters)
  • Debbie Reynolds Dies a Day After Daughter Carrie Fisher (BBG)
  • U.S. appeals court rejects SEC's use of administrative law judges (Reuters)

Frontrunning: October 5

  • MOAR: Euro-Area Growth Seen Slowing in Sign More Stimulus May Be Ahead (BBG)
  • MOAR: Japan's wage growth slows in August, keeping pressure on BOJ for more stimulus (Reuters)
  • MOAR: Stocks, Copper, Emerging Markets Jump as Fed Delay on Rates Seen (BBG)
  • And yet... Central Banks Lose Bond-Market Credibility as Woes Mount (BBG)
  • World Bank cuts Asia growth forecast on China and US rates (BBC)

Frontrunning: July 1

  • Tsipras backs down on many Greece bailout demands (FT)
  • Creditors skeptical of Tsipras' offer (Reuters)
  • Greek Pension Rationing Begins; Poll Shows Tsipras Backed (BBG)
  • Greek referendum poll shows lead for 'No' vote, but narrowing (Reuters)
  • Greek Bank Controls Heap More Pain on Crisis-Weary Citizens (BBG)
  • Greek Crisis Ripples Across European Companies as Markets Swing (BBG)
  • China Stocks Fall: Shanghai Composite Index Drops 5.2% (BBG)
  • China June factory, services surveys fuel hopes economy leveling out (Reuters)
  • Some Chinese Are Taking 22% Margin Loans to Finance Stock Purchases (BBG)

Frontrunning: May 1

  • Record month ends in pain as biotech, small-caps, Apple tumble (BBG)
  • Japan inflation rises for first time in nearly a year (WSJ)
  • US Navy starts to accompany ships in strait where Iran seized cargo carrier (WSJ)
  • Russia may be readying for new Ukraine offensive: NATO commander (Reuters)
  • Big banks use loophole to avoid ban (WSJ)
  • China April official PMI shows factories struggling to grow (Reuters)
  • CME suspends traders for alleged Sarao-like manipulation (BBG)

Frontrunning: September 24

  • A Month of Bombs Dropped in One Night of Strikes on Syria (BBG)
  • Air strikes in Syria hit Islamic State-held areas near Turkey (Reuters)
  • Pimco ETF Draws Probe by SEC (WSJ)
  • Shadowy al Qaeda cell, hit by U.S. in Syria, seen as 'imminent' threat (Reuters)
  • Yellen Warns on Market Calm Before ‘Considerable Time’ Up (BBG)
  • Dudley Says Fed Needs U.S. Economy to Run ‘A Little Hot' (BBG)
  • Websites Are Wary of Facebook Tracking Software (WSJ)
  • Just a joke now: Barclays Fined Twice in One Day for Compliance Failures (BBG)
  • Fired UPS worker kills two supervisors, self, in Alabama shooting (Reuters)

Frontrunning: February 12

  • Anti-Euro Party’s Le Pen Gains Supporters, French Poll Shows (BBG)
  • Carney Renews BOE Low-Rate Pledge to Fight Slack in Economy (BBG)
  • Bank of England hints at 2015 rate rise (Reuters)
  • ECB bond-buying intact and ready after court decision-Coeure (Reuters)
  • Canada scraps millionaire visa scheme, dumps 46,000 Chinese applications (SCMP)
  • Scrap this then? Vancouver facing an influx of 45,000 more rich Chinese (SCMP)
  • China's January Exports Power Higher, Up 10.6% (WSJ) ... and nobody believes the number
  • Emerging-Market Shakeout Putting Reserves Into Focus (BBG)
  • Wall Street's most eligible banker Fleming waits for suitor (Reuters)
  • Kazakh Devaluation Shows Currency War Stirring as Ruble Dips (BBG)

Frontrunning: January 7

  • Yellen’s Record-Low Senate Support Reflects Fed’s Politicization (BBG)
  • Euro-Zone Inflation Rate Falls in December, even further below ECB's target (WSJ)
  • Zambia politician charged for calling president a potato (AFP)
  • Blame gold: India Savings Deposit Scam Collapse Leaves Thousands Penniless (BBG)
  • Hedge Funds Raise Gold Wagers as Yamada Sees $1,000 (BBG)
  • George Osborne limits cuts options with pensions promise (FT)
  • Vietnam Raises Foreign Bank Ownership Caps to Aid System (BBG)
  • But they said buy a year ago... Goldman to JPMorgan Say Sell Emerging Markets After Slide (BBG)
  • SAC Trial Seen by Probe Convict as Latest Abusive Tactic (BBG)

Frontrunning: December 26

  • Late Surge in Web Buying Blindsides UPS, Retailers, Some Christmas Packages Aren't Delivered (WSJ)
  • Yen Slides as Turkish Stocks Drop, U.S. Futures Rise (BBG)
  • Turkish lira drops to record low against dollar, as Turkey’s Erdogan replaces 10 ministers (FT)
  • Egypt designates Muslim Brotherhood as terrorist group (Reuters)
  • Thai elections in doubt after political violence (AFP)
  • Batista Cedes Oil Unit Control in $5.8 Billion Debt Deal (BBG)
  • China celebrates Mao's birthday, but events scaled back (Reuters)
  • First-class stamps to cost 49 cents as of Jan. 26 (AP)
  • Obamacare Hits Snag in States as U.S. Site Finds Footing (BBG)
  • NSA Struggles to Make Sense of Flood of Surveillance Data (WSJ)

Frontrunning: October 8

  • Hilsenrath: Tense Negotiations Inside the Fed Produced Muddled Signals to Markets (WSJ)
  • Biggest US Foreign Creditors Show Concern on Default Risk (BBG)
  • Shutdown Costs at $1.6 Billion With $160 Million Each Day (BBG)
  • What default? Republicans downplay impact of U.S. debt limit (Reuters)
  • Top Bankers Warn on U.S. Debt Proposal (WSJ)
  • India to stick with austerity despite looming election (Reuters)
  • Japan's Current-Account Surplus Plunges (WSJ)
  • Amazon Wins Ruling for $600 Million CIA Cloud Contract (BBG)
  • German Factory Orders Unexpectedly Fall on Weak Recovery (BBG)
  • Britain's Higgs, Belgium's Englert win 2013 physics Nobel prize (Reuters)
  • Supreme Owner Made a Billionaire Feeding U.S. War Machine (BBG)

Frontrunning: July 18

  • MSM always "ahead" of the curve: Fed’s Messages Raise Volatility in Threat to Profits (BBG)
  • Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves (WSJ)
  • Draghi to Carney Face Test Backing Guidance on Rates (BBG)
  • House Republicans Vote to Delay Obamcare Mandates (Reuters)
  • China media accuses Japan PM of dangerous politics (Reuters)
  • China will replace America as the leading superpower, global attitudes survey finds (SCMP)
  • Nonqualified mortgages make up as much as $1.5 trillion of the $10 trillion home-loan market (BBG)
  • Dell $24.4 Billion Buyout Plan Is a Nail-Biter as Vote Looms (BBG)
  • Republicans could see more bruising Senate primaries (Reuters)
  • GM delays Chevy Cruze debut by a year (Reuters)
  • Peltz needs support for PepsiCo restructuring dealsa (FT)
  • Sweaty Wall Streeters Skip Booze for Spin-Class Meetings (BBG)

Frontrunning: March 14

  • Dimon’s ‘Harpooned’ Whale Resurfaces With Senate Findings (BBG)
  • Greece and lenders fall out over firings (FT) - as predicted 48 hours ago
  • Dallas Fed Cap Seen Shrinking U.S. Banking Units by Half (BBG) - which is why it will never happen
  • Xi elected Chinese president (Xinhua)
  • Russia Bond Auction Bombs as ING Awaits Central Bank Clarity (BBG)
  • U.S. and U.K. in Tussle Over Libor-manipulating Trader (WSJ)
  • Chinese firm puts millions into U.S. natural gas stations (Reuters)
  • In Rare Move, Apple Goes on the Defensive Against Samsung (WSJ)
  • Berlin Airport Fiasco Shows Chinks in German Engineering Armor (BBG)
  • Ex-PIMCO executive sues firm, says was fired for reporting misdeeds (Reuters)
  • Bank of Italy Tells Banks in the Red Not to Pay Bonuses, Dividends (Reuters)

Be Careful What You Hope For - Buy-Back Mountain

We noted yesterday the apparent perfect (ill)-market-timing of increases in corporate buybacks and nowhere is this more evident than across Europe. The following chart might just make all those activist shareholder mom-and-pops, demanding CEOs 'use' their cash hordes, think twice... it appears the CEOs really don't have better crystal balls than the rest of us...