AIG

This Is How Much Liquidity Deutsche Bank Has At This Moment, And What Happens Next

Following today's Deutsche Bank fireworks, Goldman reports that "crisis” questions are being asked: “is there risk of a financial crisis re-run” and “can a large European bank face a liquidity event”? To answer these questions we look at the total liquidity accessible to Deutsche Bank, and what are the options facing the bank next.

It's Not Really About Deutsche Bank

It is never a good thing when official sources either named or unnamed are quoted in the media as denying bailout discussions. For any bank such rumors and denials are harmful because, obviously, they are a reflection of common perception. Furthermore, most people know all-too-well the true nature of any denials, thus reinforcing only that much more the troubling perceptions in the first place.

"Clinton Foundation Is Charity Fraud Of Epic Proportions", Analyst Charges In Stunning Takedown

"The Clinton Foundation appears to be a rogue charity that has neither been organized nor operated lawfully from inception to date-as you will grow to realize, it is a case study in international charity fraud, of mammoth proportions...  Foundation entities are part of a network that has defrauded donors and created illegal private gains of approximately $100 billion in combined magnitude since 1997."

Frontrunning: August 16

  • World stocks edge away from one-year peak, dollar on defensive (Reuters)
  • Central Banks Could Be This Market’s Pets.com (WSJ)
  • Clinton announces transition leadership should she win in November (Reuters)
  • Oil Trades Near $46 a Barrel as Nigeria Sees OPEC Cuts Unlikely (BBG)
  • BHP Billiton Reports Worst-Ever Annual Loss (WSJ)

What Hedge Funds Bought And Sold In Q2: The Full 13-F Summary

Today is the deadline for hedge funds to submit their Q2 13-F filings. Among the more notable changes was the previously reported 55% increase in Warren Buffett's Apple shares, offset by the cut in his Wal-Mart stake; Elliott's addition to stakes in security firms Qualys, Fortinet, CyberArk; ValueAct's new stakes in Morgan Stanley, Seagate; Tiger's exit of Netflix; Jana addition of Time Inc, and Soros' cut of his gold miner positions.

How Long Can Economic Reality Be Ignored?

Real economists, if there were any, looking at the real economic picture would see an economy collapsing into widespread debt deflation and impoverishment. Debt deflation is when consumers after they service their debts have no discretionary income left with which to drive the economy with purchases. The reason that Americans have no income from their savings is that public authorities put the welfare of a handful of “banks too big to fail” above the welfare of the American people. The enormous liquidity created by the Federal Reserve has gone into the financial system where it has driven up the prices of financial instruments. There has been a stock market recovery but not an economic recovery.

Buffett Exits Entire Credit Default Swap Exposure, As Citi's Appetite For Derivative Destruction Surges

It was considered one of the bigger paradoxes for years. Back in 2003, Warren Buffett famously dubbed derivatives “financial weapons of mass destruction” and yet over the next several years went ahead and entered a number of the contracts, including both equities and credit, ostensibly by selling CDS to collect up monthly premiums. However, at least when it comes to CDS, after several years of Berkshire trimming its credit derivative exposure, it is now completely out. Meanwhile, Citi is loading up on any CDS it can find...

Musical Chairs

Economics is a bit like musical chairs. In a recession, the economy takes a hit and there are some casualties. Some players fail to get a chair in time and are out of the game. The game then goes on without them. The economy eventually recovers. But a depression is a different game entirely...

World Stocks Drop For Third Day On Growing Concerns About Central Bank Policy, Tumbling Oil

After 7 consecutive drops in the Dow Jones, the Industrial average is set for an 8th decline with US equity futures modestly lower in the premarket as risk-averse sentiment persists overnight. Oil’s continued slide and recent plunge into a bear market, despite some stabilization this morning just south of $40, has finally rekindled global growth concerns, and is keeping a lid on bullishness. European stocks are little changed, while Asian stocks and S&P futures fall.