"The only way to extricate ourselves from the present mountain of debt is to be more productive. Growth is the only way out of debt; you cannot inflate yourself out of debt, even if this is the go-to agenda among policymakers. Ultimately, change will not come because we want it. It will not come because we decide on it. It will come because we need it."
Most financial journalists are not good, and in fact are wedded to a pro-Fed, pro-state ideology that subconsciously permeates everything they write. They are hopelessly unobjective, the naive products of their education and training. The world needs real diversity of thought and opinion, not the fake kind being discussed at the Fed.
Can Trump-economics prevent the asset price inflation now infecting the global economy - with its origins in the radical monetary experiment under the Obama Administration - from moving on to its late deadly phase?
David Malpass, Donald Trump's economic adviser who has been tasked with overseeing the transition for the Treasury Department and economic policy, addressed a group of economists and reporters in Washington discussing everything from the Fed, to the debt ceiling, to infrastructure spending, to NAFTA and Dodd-Frank, providing an insight in Trump's thinking on these key items. This is what he said.
One of the burning questions troubling Wall Street this morning is whether president elect Donald Trump plans on reshuffling the Fed, eliminating its so-called "independent" and perhaps going so far as firing or "requesting" Janet Yellen's resignation. to answer the question whether or not Yellen's role is in jeopardy, we went to the two most authoritative sources available: JPM and Goldman.
Donald Trump's election as next US president has given the gold price a short-term 'uncertainty' trading boost. However, Trump's keen interest in the gold standard is a trend worth watching over the next 4 years.
The failure of elected politicians to act appropriately has turned central banks into the “only game in town.” And this is turning out to be less a boon to their prestige than a threat to their independence. The ECB, especially, is set to face growing pushback against its independent status, regardless of whether it manages to “save” the EMU. After all, it would have to be quite powerful to succeed – too powerful for any democracy to abide.
If governments allow banks to shut down bank accounts of individuals or companies without a fair trial and due legal process, it will create a very dangerous situation indeed. In this environment, buying gold is rational behaviour to even the biggest paper-bugs out there. The current monetary experiment of massive QE is no longer the main concern of prudent investors and institutions, it is now combined with negative interest rates and bail-ins.
"...debt is simply everywhere, at least to the extent we can see and measure it. Corporate and sovereign debt, of both the developed world and emerging market varieties, are at record levels. China’s debts certainly add to that record but who really knows to what extent? It’s the ultimate black box of leverage on Planet Earth... You cannot NOT worry about the Fed in this world...The simple truth is ending reinvestment would bring the bond market to its knees.”
Currently economists and market watchers roughly fall into two camps: Those who believe that the Federal Reserve must begin raising interest rates now so that it will have enough rate cutting firepower to fight the next recession, and those who believe that raising rates now will simply precipitate an immediate recession and force the Fed into battle without the tools it has traditionally used to stimulate growth. Both camps are delusional, but for different reasons.