Alan Greenspan

"It's Not Some Barbarous Relic" - Trump Adviser Urges Return To Gold Standard

".. we need a fundamental reassessment of the global monetary order... in terms of gold being involved, I see it as a sophisticated, forward-looking approach because gold is neutral, it’s universal, and it’s a well-accepted monetary surrogate that transcends borders and time. If you look at the foreign reserves of the most important countries, they keep them mostly in gold. I don’t want to read too much into it, but it proves that gold is not some barbarous relic."

The Fear Economy: It Couldn't Possibly Happen Here But It Did

In the late 1990’s, economists attempted to get reacquainted with something that they previously believed was an artifact of long ago history. The plight of Japan during that decade had revived fears of deflation and depression. Some economists, those daring enough to challenge entrenched notions, began even to contemplate whether or not it could happen here.

What? Me Worry? Volatility & The Election

2016 is an anomaly. Going into one of the more unpredictable elections, implied volatility is trading at a discount to realized volatility. Strangely, the equity markets trade as if the election results, be it a Clinton or Trump victory, are inconsequential for share prices. That stance is greatly at odds with what many of us think, as well as the palpable anxiety voiced by many traditional and social media outlets.

US Productivity Plunges For 3rd Quarter In A Row - Longest Losing Streak Since 1979

Following the Q2 GDP print, the slowing in aggregate weekly hours suggested a modest pickup QoQ in non-farm productivity, but it plunged 0.6% - dramatically missing the +0.4% exp in this preliminary Q2 report. This is the 3rd quarterly decline in a row - the first time that has happened since 1979. This three quarter plunge is the biggest drop in productivity since 1993, and this is the first YoY drop (-0.4%) since Q2 2013. All in all... a disaster!

The Warren Buffett Economy: How Central-Bank-Enabled Financialization Divided America

Needless to say, the above outlandish graph does not capture capitalism at work. Nor did the speculators who surfed upon this $45 trillion bubble harvest their monumental windfalls owing to investment genius. Instead, it is the perverted fruit of Bubble Finance, and there is no better illustration of this bubble surfer syndrome than the sainted Warren Buffett.

Central Banks Are In A Lose-Lose Situation: Low-Rate-Policy "Has Rendered The System Profoundly Fragile"

"...abandoning the low interest rate policy would likely trigger a severe recession... but, continuing this policy would distort and corrode the economic structure even more, which would jeopardize the business model of pension funds, insurers and banks, and further inflate the real estate and stock market bubbles. The low interest rate policy has rendered the system profoundly fragile, with central banks virtually in a lose-lose situation."

The Good, The Bad, & The Great Of Donald Trump's Candidacy

"Donald Trump’s overwhelming virtue is that he is not Hillary Clinton and does not carry a bulging 30-year old bag of bad ideas. Hillary’s ideas—–and those of the establishment for which she shills——about how to fix the coming economic and foreign policy crises, in fact, are so unequivocally and irremediably bad that it is not possible that there is anything worse."

What Alan Greenspan Is Most Worried About

"... it's very difficult to see where the next step is except what I'm concerned about mostly, is stag-flation, meaning I think we're seeing the very early signs of inflation beginning finally to pick up as the issue of deflation fades.... we're in a situation now where looking at the interest rate levels that we're looking at and the inflation rates we're looking at, it's very clear that we're going to be moving reasonably shortly into a wholly different phase."

The Essence Of Trump's Appeal To The Flyover Zone: "We Are Not Winning Anymore"

...Massive debts, no good jobs, faltering productivity, soaring entitlements, declining net investment and drastically shrinking household incomes add up to an unprecedented assault on America’s vaunted middle class. In fact, the middle class is shrinking markedly as an empirical matter and fading rapidly as an aspirational possibility. It is profoundly misguided Wall Street/Washington policy regime that has given rise to this massive economic failure. For more than three decades they have sown the wind. Trump is the whirlwind they are now reaping...

The 'Fed Model' For Stocks Is Just "Another 90s Gimmick To Justify The Unjustifiable"

Stocks trading on very shaky ground at already high multiples (and greater uncertainty that it will all be corrected naturally by the any-day-now thriving economy), means efforts to justify increasingly outlying earnings multiples are over-reaching... "There is just nothing to suggest interest rates are related to PE’s or EP’s, and thus the “Fed model” was but another 1990’s gimmick to justify the unjustifiable."