Albert Edwards

Schaeuble: "The Britons Were Endlessly Lied To And Deceived" On Brexit

Schaeuble said that British people were "endlessly lied to and deceived" in last year's Brexit referendum campaign. The finance minister, speaking on the first anniversary of the Brexit vote, was scathing about the "leave" campaigners who persuaded a majority of voters to opt to quit the European Union.

Albert Edwards: "Citizens Will Soon Turn Their Rage Towards Central Bankers"

"In an age of “radical uncertainty” how long will it be before angry citizens tire of blaming an impotent political system for their ills and turn on the main culprits for their poverty – unelected and virtually unaccountable central bankers? I expect central bank independence will be (and should be) the next casualty of the current political turmoil."

Albert Edwards: "What On Earth Is Going On With US Wages"

"What on earth is going on with US average hourly earnings (AHE)? Three consecutive Employment Reports have seen this key measure of wage inflation surprise by its weakness. I feel especially foolish as I had written that wages were set to accelerate sharply" - Albert Edwards

"Sell In May"... And Buy Bonds?

SocGen's cross-asset strategist Andrew Lapthrone has found a curious seasonally-driven pair trade which may be suitable for the next four months: sell stocks and buy bonds, as "June to September are among the weakest months for equities but the strongest for bonds."

Albert Edwards Is Puzzled: "Where Is The Wage Inflation?"

"To be honest I am a little surprised that US nominal wages are not showing more of an acceleration given surging headline inflation has crushed real wage growth over the last year. Falling US real wages are already resulting in slower consumption growth, but workers have not yet pushed up nominal wage inflation..."

Albert Edwards: This Is The Reason Why The Market Doesn't Believe The Fed Any More

"One reason why the market doesn't believe the Fed dots is that investors cannot conceive of Fed tightening to the point that it causes the stockmarket any serious damage. Time and time again over both this and previous cycles the Fed has backed off rate hikes as soon as the going got tough. Maybe that is why the S&P trades at such a huge PE premium to the rest of the world."

Japan Begins QE Tapering: BOJ Hints It May Purchase 18% Less Bonds Than Planned

Japan appears to have quietly commenced its own monteary tightening because, as Bloomberg calculates looking at the BOJ's latest bond-purchase plan, the central bank is on track to miss an annual target, by a substantial margin, prompting investor concerns that the BOJ has commenced its own "stealth tapering."