Aussie

Tyler Durden's picture

Aussie Dollar Tests Long-Term Trendline As China Contagion Spreads





Last week, we asked "Is Australia the next Greece?" It appears, judging bu the collapse in the Aussie Dollar, that some - if not all - are starting to believe it's possible after last night's 15-month low in China Manufacturing PMI. As UBS previously noted, China's real GDP growth cycles have become an increasingly important driver of Australia's nominal GDP growth this last decade. With iron ore and coal prices plumbing new record lows, a Chinese (real) economy firing on perhaps 1 cyclinder, and equity investors reeling from China's collapse; perhaps the situation facing Australia is more like Greece than many want to admit.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Bulls in Charge, but Stretched Technicals May Test Conviction





The dollar made new multi-year highs against the dollar-bloc and is bid against most major and em currncies.  Why?  

 
GoldCore's picture

Global Precious Metal Roundtable – Greece, China, Manipulation, Interest Rates and Outlook





The latest ‘Global Precious Metal Roundtable’ was recorded Wednesday and featured Jordan Eliseo of ABC Bullion,  Bron Suchecki of the Perth Mint and Ron Stoeferle of Incrementum and Mark O’Byrne of GoldCore.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Collective Sigh of Relief may Weigh on the Greenback





Non-bombastic look at the price action and speculative positioning, with the hope of anticipating next week's developments.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Central Banks Scramble To Stabilize Crashing Markets: China Fails, Switzerland Succeeds (For Now)





At the open, Europe looked in the abyss, and with no help coming from China, it did not like what it saw: And then the answer came from the Swiss National Bank, which stepped in to prevent the collapse just as Europe was opening. Because seemingly out of nowhere, a tremendous bid came in to life the EURCHF, buying Euros (against the CHF and the USD) and selling Europe's last left safety currency. We now know that it was the SNB, the same central bank which is the proud owner of well over $1 billion in Apple stock.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Psychology ahead of Key Events in Greece and US Jobs Data





A look at the psycholgoy of traders as reflected in the price action ahead the new week which promises to be eventful.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

The "Global Macro Investor" - An Interview With Raoul Pal





"We have a problem with this, and that is central bank hubris. They now think that they are omnipotent, because, essentially the government has said we are going to pass over all control of the economy to the central banks, they say to everybody else including financial market participants that “you don’t know, you don’t understand, we have our models and they are right”. And that kind of hubristic approach is when you sow the seeds of your own destruction."

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Tone Heavy; Can FOMC Lift It?





No follow through dollar buying against euro, yen and sterling after data showing US economyis recovering from weak Q1.  What is happening?  What is the outlook?

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Aussie Central Bank Admits, Property Prices "Have Gone Crazy"





With The Philly Fed admitting QE has been the driver of inequality in the USA and the Kiwis slashing rates unexpectedly, the fact that Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Glenn Stevens uttered the following is even more crucial. "I think it's a social problem," Stevens told the Economic Society of Australia, adding ominously, "I think some of what's happening is crazy," specifically pointing to Sydney property prices as an example. No matter where we look around the world, Central Bankers appear to be exercising their honesty glands about the impact of their policies. However Stevens can't help himself at the end, noting "we remain open to the possibility of further policy easing."

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Outlook





Grit your teeth if you have to.  Cry if you want to.  US labor market is improving and the dollar is strengthening.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bond Crash Continues - Aussie & Japan Yields Burst Higher





The carnage in Europe and US bonds is echoing on around the world as Aussie 10Y yields jump 15bps at the open (to 3.04% - the highest in 6 months) and the biggest 2-day spike in 2 years.  JGBs are also jumping, breaking to new 6-month highs above 50bps once again raising the spectre of VAR-Shock-driven vicious cycles...

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Blues





Dollar downmove still seems corrective in nature.  Fed hike in September still seems most likely scenario.  Taalk of US recession is over the top when unemployment, broadly measured is falling and weekly initial jobless claims are at new cyclical lows.  

 
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