Australia

One Belt, One Road, And One Debt Hangover

"In the end, China is attempting to create a geopolitical sphere of influence of even greater scope than the Japanese Empire prior to World War II. As with its other policies, China will turn liquid assets into illiquid assets in order to pursue its ambitions. This could make sense if nothing goes wrong. But, things will go wrong."

Qatar Crashes In Escalating Gulf Crisis; Oil Fails To Rebound As Global Stocks Dip

S&P futures point to a slightly lower open ahead of today's US non-mfg ISM and Service PMI data. European shares fall, while Asian shares are little changed. Several European countries are closed for Whit Monday leading to subdued trading. Following the latest unexpected Gulf Crisis overnight, in which Gulf nations cut all diplomatic relations with Qatar amid stunning allegations of funding terrorism, oil spiked but has since pared almost all gains.

Global Stocks Rise As Oil Rebounds; Yuan Soars

S&P futures are little changed this morning, while Asian shares rise and European stocks (+0.5%) are poised to snap a five-day losing streak amid a broad-based rally. The pound declined as better-than-expected manufacturing data failed to offset political risk before the impending election, while crude oil gained.

Here Are The Seven "Black Swans" SocGen Believes Could Shock Global Markets

"policy is the main potential source of both upside and downside risk, be it with respect to fiscal expansion, trade policies, wage outcomes, euro area reform or monetary policy. As China tightens policy, what happens next in the US has become critical, we look for modest US tax cuts but believe that, Trumpflation insufficient to offset fading Xiflation." - SocGen