Australia

Preview Of Key Events In The Coming Week

The coming week brings multiple macro data releases for July, including inflation, trade data, retail sales, IP, credit and money supply. A relatively light US data calendar next week with retail sales the main release on Friday but also import and producer prices and Michigan sentiment coming up. Retail sales will be closely watched to assess consumer spending growth for 3Q.

Frontrunning: August 8

  • Global stocks, dollar gain as payrolls fuel risk-on trades (Reuters)
  • Suicide bomber kills at least 50 at Pakistan hospital (Reuters)
  • Waiting Forever for Fed Model Bull Case on Stocks to Come True (BBG)
  • Oil Rises Despite Supply Glut (WSJ)
  • Fed's Powell urges patience on U.S. rates, citing growth risks (Reuters)
  • Trump to Propose Moratorium on New Financial Regulations (BBG)

America's Dangerous Game Of Intrigue Inside International Organizations

There is a bull in the china shop of international diplomacy and it wears the ugly and discredited attire of Uncle Sam. The Obama administration has decided that the halls, offices, and conference rooms of international organizations are acceptable battlefields to wage propaganda and sanctions wars.

Ahead Of Tomorrow's Jobs Number, A Big Red Flag: Tax Withholdings Slump

Individual tax/withholding receipts for the month of July – those tax and withholding payments that come straight from wage earner pay stubs – are down 1.0% year over year. YTD non-withheld tax receipts (such as those that come from “Gig economy” workers) are down 6.5%, and July’s comp is 15% lower than a year ago. Last, corporate tax receipts are down 11% YTD, and if the current pace of these payments holds it will be the first negative comp since 2011.

S&P Futures Flat As Europe, Asia Lifted By Banks, Yen; All Eyes On The Bank Of England

In a mostly quiet session, European and Asian stocks rose, pushed higher by financial stocks and the USDJPY which initially dipped on some hawkish comments by BOJ deputy governor Iwata, only to rebound later in the session, lifting the Nikkei 1.1%, while the Stoxx 600 rose 0.4% led higher by the banking sector. S&P futures are unchnaged after yesterday's last hour ramp. The key event is the BOE decision due in half an hour.

What Will Hillary Do? Goldman Ranks Russia 'Best Olympian' Nation Ever (Over #2 USA)

While exceptional USA is heralded as savior of the world and "greatest nation ever in the history of earth," by Hillary Clinton, it appears Goldman Sachs disagrees... when it comes to The Olympics. From an 'efficiency' perspective,  controlling for how populous, rich (income per capita), and 'efficient' they are, Russia is the greatest olympic sporting nation (and ironically Greece is worst)...

World Stocks Drop For Third Day On Growing Concerns About Central Bank Policy, Tumbling Oil

After 7 consecutive drops in the Dow Jones, the Industrial average is set for an 8th decline with US equity futures modestly lower in the premarket as risk-averse sentiment persists overnight. Oil’s continued slide and recent plunge into a bear market, despite some stabilization this morning just south of $40, has finally rekindled global growth concerns, and is keeping a lid on bullishness. European stocks are little changed, while Asian stocks and S&P futures fall.

D-Day For Australia's Real Estate Bubble?

This rotting shack in Sydney and its tiny plot of land sold for nearly $1 million in May of 2014 – more than two years ago. Since then, house prices in Australia have increased even further. Yes, it is an insane bubble, no doubt about it... and now, it appears, the banks are finally realizing, and are pulling back.

Frontrunning: August 2

  • European shares hit two-week lows, yen rises as Japan backs stimulus (Reuters)
  • Australia Rejoins Global Disinflation Fight With Record Low Rate (BBG)
  • Japan Cabinet Approves $274 Billion Stimulus Package (WSJ)
  • Yen Surges to Three-Week High as Japan Stimulus Underwhelms (BBG)
  • Warren Buffett Takes On Donald Trump at Hillary Clinton Rally in Nebraska (WSJ)

Preview Of Key Events In The Coming Week

After last week's central bank and GDP fireworks, we have another busy week on deck culminating with Friday's jobs report, the 100% priced in BOE rate cut, as well as a possible easing by the RBA.Here is the full breakdown.