Australia

Frontrunning: May 24

  • Trump Meets With Pope Francis After Policy Clashes (WSJ)
  • Fed Minutes to Offer Clues on Debate Over Path of Rate Increases (WSJ)
  • Manchester bomber had 'proven' links to Islamic State (Reuters)
  • U.K. Chides U.S. for Leaking Manchester Bombing Probe Details (BBG)
  • China Handed First Moody's Downgrade Since 1989 on Debt Risk (BBG)

S&P Futs Near All Time High On Strong Euro Data; Oil Drops On Trump's SPR Sale Plans

S&P futures rose alongside European stocks as Asian shares posted modest declines. The euro set a new six-month high and European bourses rose as PMI data from Germany and France signaled that the ECB will have to tighten soon as Europe's recovery remains on track, with the German Ifo business confidence printing at the highest level on record, and hinting at a GDP print in the 5% range.

Why The Chinese Yuan Won't Be The World's Reserve Currency

"The desirable goal of reforming the international monetary system, therefore, is to create an international reserve currency that is disconnected from individual nations." Disconnected from the dollar, yes - but not connected to the yuan...

China Imposes Sugar Import Tariffs As High As 95%

China, the world's top importer of sugar, announced it would impose substantial tariffs on sugar imports after lobbying by domestic mills: after Monday's ruling, the total sugar duty will nearly double, with Beijing imposing an additional 45% tax to these imports in the current fiscal year taking the total to 95%.

"Sell In May"... And Buy Bonds?

SocGen's cross-asset strategist Andrew Lapthrone has found a curious seasonally-driven pair trade which may be suitable for the next four months: sell stocks and buy bonds, as "June to September are among the weakest months for equities but the strongest for bonds."

Key Events In The Coming Week: FOMC Minutes, GDP, BOC, OPEC And More

The key economic releases this week are the durable goods report and Q1 GDP revision on Friday. The minutes of the May FOMC statement will be released on Wednesday at 2PM. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week

FX Week Ahead: Highlights Include FOMC, BOC And OPEC

Politics dominate yet again, as focus on Comey testimony set to determine Trump and USD fate.  Fed minutes and OPEC meeting on the same day with the BoC thrown in!  EUR on the front foot and leading the pack as growth and inflation stats heighten tapering expectations, greenback flagging.

Asia Jumps, Europe Stutters As Political Rumblings Return; Oil Nears $51

Global stocks were mixed to start the week, with Asian stocks higher, European stocks initially advancing then fading gains, while S&P futures are little changed after the biggest weekly drop since April (which for those keeping record was -0.4%). European shares, the euro and the pound all stumbled on Monday as rumblings in Spain, Britain and Brussels reminded investors that the region still has plenty of political uncertainty left in the tank.

10 Crazy Conspiracy Theories That Became Conspiracy Facts

Unfortunately, there are those who seek to lie and invent fictions for monetary gain and fame. Disinformation, propaganda, and dishonesty exist at all levels of society. However, sometimes conspiracy theories turn out to be true. Therefore, it’s worth assessing them, even if their claims appear wholly outlandish. Especially if their claims appear wholly outlandish.