Australian Dollar

Marc To Market's picture

Technical Overview Ahead of Next Week's Key Events





Simple review of technical condition of the capital markets.  Light on polemical zeal, and heavy on technical analysis.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Bulls in Drivers Seat





The euro has fallen an unprecedented eight weeks in a row.  The dollar set new five year highs against the yen before the weekend.  Here is an overview of the near-term technical outlook.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Busy Week Ahead, ECB Meeting Stands Out





Dispassionate look at the week ahead, without the hysterics of the sky is falling or the mother of all crises is around the corner.  

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar is Stretched, but will it Correct?





Overview of the technical outlook for the major currencies, bonds, Treasuries, stocks, CRB and oil.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 21





  • FTW: Europe Stocks Rise as Data Signals Need for Stimulus (BBG)
  • More de-escalation: Dozens die in Ukraine in street battles, Donetsk shelling (Reuters)
  • Calm largely holds in Missouri after grand jury opens shooting investigation (Reuters)
  • Attorney General Eric Holder Vows Thorough Probe of Ferguson Shooting (WSJ)
  • World’s Biggest Wealth Fund Slows Emerging Market Investment (BBG)
  • Market Chilly to Argentine Debt Proposal (WSJ)
  • Israeli air strike kills three Hamas commanders in Gaza (Reuters)
  • Retooled Hamas Bloodies Israel With Help From Hezbollah (BBG)
  • Investors Pour Into Vanguard, Eschewing Stock Pickers (WSJ)
  • Fed Debates Early Rate Increases (WSJ)
 
Marc To Market's picture

Beware of Corrective Forces





Overview of the price action in various currencies, S&P 500, Treasuries and the CRB Index

 
Marc To Market's picture

Fade the Break?





Near-term outlook for the dollar, without resorting to inflammatory and unproven claims.

 
Marc To Market's picture

Dollar Technicals not as Strong as Fundamentals





Dispassionate overview of the price action in the foreign exchange market in the context of the funamental developments.    

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Flat Equity Futures Prepare For Big Move Following Econ Data Avalanche





Once again, US equity futures are roughly unchanged (while Treasurys have seen a surprising overnight bid coming out of Asia) ahead of an avalanche of macroeconomic news both in Europe, where the ECB will deliver its monthly message, and in the US where we will shortly get jobless claims, ISM non-manufacturing, trade balance, nonfarm payrolls, unemployment, average earnings, Markit U.S. composite PMI, Markit U.S. services PMI due later. Of course the most important number is the June NFP payrolls and to a lesser extent the unemployment rate, which consensus expects at 215K and 6.3%, although the whisper number is about 30K higher following yesterday's massive ADP outlier. Nonetheless, keep in mind that a) ADP is a horrible predictor of NFP, with a 40K average absolute error rate and b) in December the initial ADP print was 151K higher than the nonfarms. Those watching inflation will be far more focused on hourly earnings, expected to rise 0.2% M/M and 1.9% Y/Y. Should wages continue to stagnate and decline on a real basis, expect to hear the "stagflation" word much more often in the coming weeks.

 
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