BAC

Tyler Durden's picture

China Is Ending Its "One-Child Policy" - Here Are The Implications





Back in 1978, the Chinese politburo enacted the "one-child policy", whose main purpose was to "alleviate social, economic, and environmental problems" in China as a result of the soaring population. According to estimates, the policy prevented more than 250 million births between 1980 and 2000, and 400 million births from about 1979 to 2011. And while not applicable to everyone, in 2007 approximately 35.9% of China's population was subject to a one-child restriction. Regardless of the numbers, things are about to change: with the Chinese economy now having peaked and suddenly finding itself in rapid deceleration with excess credit growth providing virtually no boost to marginal growth, the Chinese government is forced to reexamine 35 years of social policy in order to extract growth from the one place where for nearly 4 decades it had tried to stifle: demographics.  According to the 21st Business Herald which cited sources close to the National Population and Family Planning Commission, China may relax its one-child policy at end-2013 or early-2014 (read end) by allowing families to have two children if at least one parent is from a one-child family.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 2





  • Low Wages Work Against Jobs Optimism (WSJ)
  • Tourre’s Junior Staff Defense Seen Leading to Trial Loss (BBG)
  • Russia gives Snowden asylum, Obama-Putin summit in doubt (Reuters)
  • Fortress to Blackstone Say Now Is Time to Sell on Surge (BBG)
  • Brazil backs IMF aid for Greece and recalls representative (FT), previously Brazil refused to back new IMF aid for Greece, says billions at risk (Reuters)
  • Google unveils latest challenger to iPhone (FT)
  • Swaps Probe Finds Banks Manipulated Rate at Expense of Retirees (BBG)
  • Academics square up in fight for Fed (FT)
  • Potash Turmoil Threatens England’s First Mine in Forty Years (BBG)
  • Dell Deal Close but Not Final (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 1





  • Headlines only idiots, Schrodinger and Goebbels could love:
    • China Manufacturing Gauge Shows Unexpected Strength (WSJ)
    • China's factory activity shrank for a third straight month in July to its lowest level in nearly a year as new orders fell (Reuters)
  • For nuns and analysts alike, bank commodity earnings are a mystery (Reuters)
  • US spying comes under fresh attack (FT)
  • Summers Backed Yellen for Fed Before Rivals Now Prove More Alike (BBG)
  • Good Luck Leaving Your Wireless Phone Plan (WSJ)
  • Spain's Rajoy says he was wrong to trust treasurer in party funding scandal (Reuters)
  • Shell's Profit Falls on Shale Write-Down (WSJ)
  • Why Rand Paul and Chris Christie went to war  (Politico)
  • Sony Returns to Profit Aided by TV Business (WSJ)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: July 29





  • More Doctors Steer Clear of Medicare (WSJ)
  • Syrian Looters in Bulldozers Seek Treasure Amid Chaos (BBG)
  • Siemens CEO Peter Löscher Is Set to Leave His Post After Series of Earnings Misses (WSJ)
  • Silver Vault for 200 Tons Starts in Singapore as Wealthy Buy (BBG)
  • Omincom and Publicis merger shows that advertising is now firmly in the business of Big Data: collecting and selling the personal information of millions of consumers (NYT)
  • Apple supplier accused of labour violations (FT)
  • 'BarCap was the Wild Wild West – that’s what we called it’ (Telegraph)
  • P&G chief seizes opportunity in era of three-day stubble (FT)
  • Federal Reserve 'Doves' Beat 'Hawks' in Economic Prognosticating (WSJ) - LOL: Fed "hawks"
 
Tyler Durden's picture

No One Buys Retail Anymore





When is the last time you got a stock tip from a cab driver or chatty not-in-the-business neighbor?  It’s probably been the better part of a decade, if not longer.  Yes, that’s probably the most bullish argument for owning stocks just now, but, as ConvergEx's Nick Colas notes, it also raises a question.  What investments are retail investors considering, exactly?  Various online tools and resources provide some answers.  From Yahoo! Finance’s analysis of number of requested price quotes last week: AAPL, BAC, TSLA, INTC and CALL.  From Google Trends: AAPL, GOOG, and YHOO.  And from one very popular online brokerage for today’s volume: AAPL, F, BRCM, BAC, and NUGT.  Whether this interest indicates a top or a crowded momentum trade is in the eye of the beholder, of course.  But in a light volume period like summer, Nick notes, tracking individual investor attention can be an important piece of the day-to-day trading puzzle.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: July 22





  • Earthquake Sends Kiwis Screaming From Wellington Buildings (BBG)
  • China quake death toll more than doubles to 54, hundreds hurt (Reuters)
  • In 2011, Michigan Gov. Snyder said bankruptcy wasn't an option for Detroit. Two years later, he changed his mind (WSJ)
  • GlaxoSmithKline says Chinese laws might have been violated (FT)
  • SEC Tries Last Ditch Move to Put SAC’s Cohen Out of Business (BBG)
  • Detroit’s Bankruptcy Reveals Dysfunction Common in Cities (BBG)
  • Obama to start new offensive on economy (FT)
  • As WTI and Brent reunite, Gulf of Mexico faces squeeze, not glut (Reuters)
  • Extended Stay Files for Public Offering (WSJ)
  • Apple Developer Website Hacked: Developer Names, Addresses May Have Been Taken (MacRumors)
  • Treasuries Not Safe Enough as Foreign Purchase Pace Slows (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: July 18





  • MSM always "ahead" of the curve: Fed’s Messages Raise Volatility in Threat to Profits (BBG)
  • Bernanke Plays Down Link Between Jobless Rate, Fed Moves (WSJ)
  • Draghi to Carney Face Test Backing Guidance on Rates (BBG)
  • House Republicans Vote to Delay Obamcare Mandates (Reuters)
  • China media accuses Japan PM of dangerous politics (Reuters)
  • China will replace America as the leading superpower, global attitudes survey finds (SCMP)
  • Nonqualified mortgages make up as much as $1.5 trillion of the $10 trillion home-loan market (BBG)
  • Dell $24.4 Billion Buyout Plan Is a Nail-Biter as Vote Looms (BBG)
  • Republicans could see more bruising Senate primaries (Reuters)
  • GM delays Chevy Cruze debut by a year (Reuters)
  • Peltz needs support for PepsiCo restructuring dealsa (FT)
  • Sweaty Wall Streeters Skip Booze for Spin-Class Meetings (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bank Of America: From Loss To Profit Thanks To Mark-To-Unicorn





Page 5 of BAC's Financial Supplement lays it out for all to see: the "Net change In available-for-sale debt and marketable equity securities" in Q2 was $4.233 billion. How does this compare to the firm's reported Net Income of $4 billion? It compares as follows: absent Mark-To-Unicorn, Bank of America's "Net Income" of $4 billion would have been a loss of $200 million. Which, incidentally, is what BAC reveals is its Comprehensive Income at ($209)MM. Of course, since every other firm is in the same boat of hiding epic losses the second the market stop acting according to every whim of the central planners, nobody cares and certainly nobody wants to bring attention to this little fact.

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Bank Of America Beats Helped By $0.9 Billion Loan Loss Reserve Release





Moments ago Bank of America was the last TBTF bank to report earnings, which came in at $4 billion or $0.32 per diluted share compared to expectations of a $0.26 print. Revenue was $22.9 billion net of interest expense which was just a fraction above the $22.7 billion expected. The immediate reason for the beat: the usual accounting fudge to net interest losses which came in at $1.2 thanks to yet another $900 Million (well above the $804MM in Q1 and the same as Q4 2012) loan loss reserve reduction to the total net charge off number of $2.1 billion. And with $21.2 billion in credit loss "buffer" allowance still left on the books from those torrid days of 2008, expect the accounting fudges to continue for a long time.

 
rcwhalen's picture

Q2 2013 Financials Earnings: The Cost of Quantitative Easing





By pursuing QE too long, the FOMC has engineered a repeat of the periods of market losses and negative accrual that nearly crushed the banking industry in the 1970s and 1980s, only worse. 

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: July 3





  • Portuguese bond yields soar amid political turmoil (FT)
  • Portugal Resignation Rocks European Markets (WSJ)
  • Portugal, Greece risk reawakening euro zone beast (Reuters)
  • Egypt’s military chiefs hold crisis meeting as Mursi snubs ultimatum (Al Arabiya)
  • Egypt Crisis Deepens as Mursi Refuses to Step Down (BBG)
  • Hidden microphone found in London embassy: Ecuador (AFP)
  • Health Law Penalties Delayed (WSJ)
  • Rise in mortgage rates cut into homebuyer demand last week (Reuters)
  • Bolivia angered by search of president's plane, no sign of Snowden (Reuters)
  • Olympus ex-chairman gets suspended sentence (FT)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: July 2





  • Egypt on the edge after Mursi rebuffs army ultimatum (Reuters)
  • Inside China's Bank-Rate Missteps (WSJ)
  • Obama Urges Morsi to Respond to Protesters' Concerns (WSJ)
  • How Fed’s 7% Jobless Avoids Deterring Bondholders Is Mystery (BBG)
  • Obama Joins With Political Foe Bush at End of Africa Trip (BBG)
  • China may introduce deposit insurance by year-end (China Daily)
  • China’s Slowdown Could Slam Hong Kong (BBG)
  • Government 'to ask Rothschild to advise on RBS split' (Telegraph)
  • Martin Feldstein: The Fed Should Start to 'Taper' Now (WSJ)
 
williambanzai7's picture

NSA STooGeS...





Amerikan Gulag...

 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: June 28





  • Fashionable 'Risk Parity' Funds Hit Hard (WSJ)
  • No 1997 Asian Crisis Return as China Trembles (BBG)
  • Greece Faces Collapse of Second Key Privatization (FT)
  • China Bad-Loan Alarm Sounded by Record Bank Spread Jump (BBG)
  • Iranian official signals no scaling back in nuclear activity (Reuters)
  • Asmussen Says Any QE Discussions at ECB Not Policy Relevant (BBG)
  • Flat Japanese consumer prices aid Kuroda (FT)
  • Vietnam Devalues Dong for First Time Since ’11 to Boost Reserves (BBG)
  • World Bank Sees ‘Vulnerable’ Food System on Climate Change (BBG)
  • Fed big-hitters seek to quash QE fears (FT)
  • EU Leaders Set to Slow Support for Ailing Banks (BBG)
 
Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: June 24





  • Stocks Fall With China in Bear Market as Bonds Decline (BBG)
  • Russia defiant as U.S. raises pressure over Snowden (Reuters) ...
  • and sure enough: Kerry Warns Hong Kong and Russia on Snowden  (WSJ)
  • Slow-Motion U.S. Recovery Searches for Second Gear (WSJ)
  • PBOC Sees ‘Reasonable’ Liquidity in China’s Financial System (BBG)
  • Italy's Berlusconi faces verdict in underage sex trial (Reuters)
  • Fed Monetary Course Difficult for a Bernanke Successor to Alter (BBG)
  • Another China central bank worry; companies push into lending (Reuters)
  • Gold Miner Writedowns at $17 Billion After Newcrest Fallout (BBG)
  • Snowden Faces Often-Posed U.S. Fugitive Question: Where to Run? (BBG)
 
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