Bank of America

This Recovery Isn't All That Resilient, Here's Why

Most economists today applaud the resilience of the current recovery, which has stretched into its eighth year, the third-longest in postwar history. Resilience and rising household defaults, though, don’t tend to go hand in hand.

Euro Surges To 2-Year High In "Bipolar" Draghi Reaction; Futures Flat

"Draghi tried to talk the Euro down, even going so far as to suggest that ECB’s quantitative easing could be increased and prolonged," said Swissquote Bank's Yann Quelenn. "But the currency markets were not buying Draghi’s line, and neither are we. Available bonds are too scarce, and turn to a taper is too clear to disguise."

Treasury Volatility Crashes To Record Lows

Another day, another record low for volatility gauges, with Bank of America’s MOVE Index (considered Treasury Market 'VIX') falling to an unprecedented 48.26.

"ECB Or Not To Be": A Preview Of What Mario Draghi Will Say

Questions on possible exit scenarios will dominate the press conference. While acknowledging the strength of the economy, Draghi is likely to counter any ideas of an imminent and rapid path towards ending QE, instead urging patience with the still-subdued inflation outlook.

What Bond Traders Are Most Worried About Right Now

The latest BofA credit investor survey finds that while geopolitical risk remains credit investors' top concern not surprisingly oil prices moved into second place, while - with the rally in financial markets - asset bubbles jumped into third position.

What The Senate's Healthcare Fiasco Means For Trump Policies: Goldman Explains

Looking at last night's Senate fiasco, Goldman writes that while Congress may still pass a health bill, "it just won't be this one" and notes that the "enactment of much more narrowly-focused health legislation is still possible this year, in light of problems facing the individual insurance market for 2018." And in terms of near-term catalysts, all eyes now turn to the debt ceiling debate due in September...

BofA Beats Despite 14% Slump In FICC Revenue; Interest Income Unexpectedly Declines

Echoing the trend set by JPM and Wells Fargo last Friday, moments ago Bank of America reported revenue and earnings that modestly beat expectations, with Q2 revenue of $22.8bn, above the $21.8bn expected, generating net income of $5.3 billion up 10% Y/Y, and EPS of $0.46, above the $0.43 estimate, and 12% higher than Q2 2016.

Dollar Tumbles, Euro Soars After Obamacare Repeal Dies; China Intervenes To Halt Rout

The Bloomberg Dollar Index tumbled to a fresh 10-month low after two more Republican defections on Monday night doomed the proposed GOP healthcare plan in the Senate. And while Treasuries rose on concerns about inflationary pressures and the viability of the Trump stimulus agenda, S&P futures rebounded gingerly from session lows, and were up 0.1%

Key Events In The Coming Week: The Summer Doldrums Arrive

With little on the US economic docket in the coming days, this week's focus is on the ECB and BoJ meeting along with minutes from the RBA and the Riksbank. In the US The key economic release this week is housing starts on Thursday. There are no scheduled Fed speaking engagements this week.