Bank of America

European Junk: "The Good-Looking Ones Are Always Bad News"

"I understand the attraction to shorting European junk. It’s easy to look dreamily at this chart and imagine spreads doubling to 5% without batting an eye... But there are a couple of problems with this trade..."

Two Stunning Facts About Last Week's VIX Explosion

While the events from last Thursday's volatility explosion may now seem like a distant memory, here are two stunning facts about last week's VIX explosion, and this week's subsequent vol collapse.

"You Could See Panic": PIMCO Joins Gundlach In Loading Up On S&P Puts

"If we see actual military altercation, markets can go a lot lower. And at the same time, volatility has been so low for so long that it doesn’t take much for markets to get worked up.... you will certainly see panic if all of this turns into a sustained military encounter."

The Secret History Of The Banking Crisis

"Accounts of the financial crisis leave out the story of the secretive deals between banks that kept the show on the road. How long can the system be propped up for?"

Zuckerberg's Recent Hires Tell Us A Lot About His Worldview And It's Not Good

"All of this proves that Mark Zuckerberg has absolutely no creativity or genuine insight when it comes to political thinking. He runs straight to the same neoliberal strategists and corporate Democrats that Americans are sick and tired of, and offers nothing new other than a technocratic face on a failed and expired political class. Ten million cross country road trips to Iowa will never alter this reality."

Credit Investors Are Suddenly Extremely Worried About Central Banks

The latest credit investor survey by Bank of America shows a marked change in the Wall of Worry: "Quantitative Failure" by central banks has emerged as investors’ top concern (23%), up materially from June’s reading (6%). Investors say that a backdrop of the ECB ending QE next year, while inflation remains sub-par, "has the potential to rattle the market’s confidence."

Earnings Beat "Fist Pumps" Very Muted This Quarter

"...shares of companies that have reported both better-than-expected profits and sales for the second quarter have barely budged this earnings season. It’s the least fist-bumping investors have done for great quarters in 17 years."

Bears Throw In The Towel: FANG Shorts Hit All Time Low

The FANG bears have capitulated: short interest for the four companies has sunk to a new record low, and collectively the short bets against FANG stocks accounted for just 2% of their traded shares, an all time low.