Bank of America

Retail Sales Decelerate, Rise 0.1% As Expected; Control Group Disappoints

Perhaps courtesy of the traditional aggressive seasonal adjustments, the Census Bureau announced that retail sales printed largely in line, and above the Bank of America suggested "whisper" decline, rising 0.1% in February, in line with consensus, but below last month's 0.4% growth. Similarly retail sales ex autos rose 0.2%, also on top of expectations, although the rate of increase slowed down from last month's 0.8%.

Economic, Business Confidence Starts To Roll Over

In the latest weekly Gallup survey, 48% of Americans say the economy is getting better, and 45% say it is getting worse. That compares with 54% and 39%, respectively, the prior week. As a result, the economic outlook component of Gallup's index fell to +3 from +15.

JPM: "We See Increasing Risk Of Sell-Off In The Near Term"

First it was Goldman, then Citigroup, now, completing the trifecta of suddenly bearish big banks is JPMorgan, whose US equity strategist Dubravko Lakos-Bujas writes that while the fundamental backdrop remains supporting, the "short-term downside risk" in the S&P is increasing.