Following yesterday's bond rout - which continues today - global bond nvestors have suffered $337 billion in losses on their bond holdings in a single day Wednesday "as Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president sparked concern his plan to boost economic growth will lead to a surge in inflation."
The defendant was “so morally corrupted by pornography, drugs and alcohol, and a general life of debauchery with a huge salary to fund his depravity,” judge Stuart-Moore said. Jutting was considered “a high risk person” and “the repetition of the offence of murder is highly likely if he is given his liberty in the future,” he said.
Overnight, China reported that the PBOC’s FX reserves fell another US$46bn to US$3.121 trillion in October as the central banks struggled to offset the impact of accelerating capital outflows, triple the official September decline of US$19bn (recall that according to Goldman, the true FX outflow in recent months has been far greater), and the biggest drop since January. The October decline brought China's total reserves the lowest amount since 2011.
Global stocks, S&P futures, the Mexican peso, the Korean Won and crude oil all fell as traders were spooked by polls suggesting a tightening race and Trump momentum ahead of next week’s American presidential election. The yen and Swiss franc gained, as did global bond markets and gold as investors flocked to safe haven assets.
As BofA reports in its latest weekly client flow update, the bank's largest, institutional clients have now sold stocks for a record 21 consecutive weeks. The reason: soaring redemption requests as clients continue to shift out of active funds and into cheaper, passive options.
The most recent burst in bitcoin activity, which sent it surging by over $20 overnight, has little to do with any moves in the official Chinese currency, which recently rebounded modestly tracking the recent dip in the dollar, and is likely attributable to a long overdue crackdown on China's Wealth-management products, a key component of China’s "shadow banking" system.
“The best-informed market participants seem unenthusiastic about U.S. stocks at current prices,” said David Santschi, chief executive officer at TrimTabs. “Insider buying is running at the slowest pace for October in the past five years.”
As a result of this projected decline in EPS, Apple is expected to be the largest detractor to expected earnings growth for the S&P 500 Information Technology sector for Q3 2016. The blended earnings growth rate for the Information Technology sector is 4.2%. Excluding Apple, the blended earnings growth rate for the sector would improve to 10.9%.
The latest evidence of the unprecedented scramble for yield and duration came yesterday when it was revealed that Austria would join the rest of the Eurozone in selling ultra-long dated debt in the form of 70 Year bonds. It didn't take long to find willing buyers, and moments ago Bloomberg reported that this offering has just priced to yield 53 bps more than that on the February 2047 security.
15 years after it was part of one historic merger, Time Warner is getting bought again, and while the current deal is roughly half the size of AOL's historic $164 billion acquisition of Time Warner in 2000 it's still a big enough deal that it's drawing attention on the campaign trail from both candidates, and to generate millions in revenues for Wall Street banks eager to sell the $40 billion in debt needed to fund the deal.
David Rosenberg has a modest proposal in mind for the US economy: he says only a massive, multi-trillion stimulus package which includes helicopter money attached to a $2 trillion perpetual bond, massive infrastructure spending and measures to tackle the $1 trillion student debt load, has any hope of kickstarting the US economy.
"Has the bull market in government bonds finally ended... A change in the wind is being felt as governments listen to the central banks’ recent call for fiscal, rather than monetary policy, to do the heavy policy lifting from hereon in. Is the long bull market in bonds now over."