Bank of England

Frontrunning: August 17

  • Futures flat ahead of Fed minutes (Reuters)
  • Trump shakes up campaign staff (Reuters)
  • Univision Wins Bankruptcy Auction for Gawker Media for $135 Million (WSJ)
  • Congress receives FBI material on Hillary Clinton emails (CBS)
  • Traders Brace for More Turmoil in World’s Worst Stock Market (BBG)

Europe Has Two Options: Revolution Or Elections

European leaders have responded to new challenges in this post-war era with old solutions. Chief among them is the forced integration of Europe into a single political and economic construct. There are two options when an “unelected mafia” has seized control: elections and revolution. The Brits opted for an election. What if Italy, Portugal, and/or the Netherlands do the same, with the same outcome?

Tumbling Dollar Sends USDJPY Under 100, Oil Over $46 As Gold Spikes; Futures Flat

Overnight, John Williams' latest uberdovish paper "Monetary Policy in a Low R-star World", which we profiled yesterday, and which suggests lower rates for far longer, made the rounds and has led to a steep 0.8% drop in the Bloomberg Dollar spot Index, which sank to its weakest since June while the yen strengthened 1.2 percent, slipping briefly below 100 against the greenback for the first time since June 24, pushing oil and gold higher, and Asian shares lower.

Peter Schiff Explains How Central Banks Are Choking Productivity

If the cost of money is high, people think carefully about where they want to put their money. They select only the best investments. This helps everyone. When money is cheap, they throw darts against a wall. This is not the best use of societies' scarce resources. Is it any wonder productivity is down?

"It’s Surreal" - Negative Yielding Debt Rises To Record $13.4 Trillion

“It’s surreal,” said Gregory Peters, senior investment officer at Prudential Fixed Income "Regarding negative yields he added that “It’s clear that central banks are dominating markets. There’s a race to the bottom. Central banks are the main drivers of this, it’s not fundamental."

"Nothing Adds Up"

There’s a new feature to the Anything-Goes-and-Nothing-Matters economy: Nothing-Adds-Up... The fecklessness and stupidity of the elites has been epic, sacrificing everything to maintain the illusion of normality.

Global Stocks Rise, US Futures Near All Time Highs As Flood Into Emerging Markets Continues

European shares advanced, with gains in automakers  helping Germany’s benchmark DAX Index turn positive for the year for the first time. Stocks rose around the world, led by emerging-markets, as oil climbed further after its best week since April and traders pushed back bets on higher U.S. interest rates. S&P futures advance and Asian stocks little changed as rising oil prices bolstered investor sentiment.

Connect Just Two Dots, See All The Rest

Dealers, the bedrock of the global monetary system, are hoarding collateral and it shows. That, however, doesn’t fit within the recovery narrative, so the media resorts to the easy and absurd to obscure what “should” not be happening...

Futures Rise, Global Stocks Flat After Ugly Chinese Economic Data

One day after all three US indexes hit record highs for the first time since December 31, 1999, US equity index futures, European stocks and Asian equities are little changed after the Nikkei jumped on the back of a Yen weakness, while China reported disappointing economic data and the PBOC suggested that the flood of new debt is slowing which pushed Chinese stocks higher by 1.6% on hopes of more stimulus.

Frontrunning: August 11

  • Stocks choppy, Kiwi soars after rate cut (Reuters)
  • Putin discusses Crimea security after alleged Ukrainian incursions (Reuters)
  • IEA Sees Oil Glut Easing (BBG)
  • Meanwhile: more oil - Iraq, oil companies agree to restart investment, boost output (Reuters)
  • U.S. Drillers Need $60 Oil to Stage Real Comeback, IEA Say (BBG)