Bank of England

US Futures, European Stocks Rebound, Bonds Fall Ahead Of US Data Deluge

The overnight session started with more weakness out of Asia, where chatter that the BOJ may end up doing nothing despite all the trial balloons (as we hinted yesterday), sent the USDJPY sliding, pushing the Nikkei lower, leading to a 7th consecutive decline in the Topix, the longest such stretch since 2014 even though the BOJ is now actively buying a record amount of ETFs. However, the modest dip in S&P futures and European stocks proved too much for BTFD algos, and risk promptly rebounded.

Frontrunning: September 14

  • Bayer wins over Monsanto with improved $66 billion bid (Reuters)
  • Yen trims gains as doubts creep in over BOJ easing (Reuters)
  • BOJ to make negative rates centerpiece of future easing: sources (Reuters)
  • Stocks Halt Selloff in Europe as Commodities Gains Lift Miners (BBG)
  • Donald Trump, New Team Recast His TV Image (WSJ)
  • Hanjin Brings One of World's Busiest Shipping Terminals Close to Standstill (BBG)

Dow 100,000? Marc Faber Warns: Central Banks "Will Monetize Everything... Introduce Socialism"

"...the madness in the present time may go on. In a manipulated market, it won’t end well... They could essentially monetize everything, and then you have state ownership. And through the central banking system, you introduce socialism and communism, which is state ownership of production and consumption. You would have that, yes, that they can do...I don’t think the central bankers are intelligent and smart enough to understand the consequences of their monetary policies at present."

Frontrunning: September 13

  • IEA Changes View on Oil Glut, Sees Surplus Enduring in 2017 (BBG)
  • Futures dip with oil as investors assess rate hike chances (Reuters)
  • Hilsenrath - Divided Federal Reserve Is Inclined to Stand Pat (WSJ)
  • 'I didn't think it was a big deal,' Clinton says of pneumonia bout (Reuters)
  • Clinton's Lead Narrows Among Independents, Voters Nationally (NBC)
  • Libor’s Reaching Point of Pain for Companies With Big Debt Loads (BBG)

"Global Market Rout" - Bond Selloff Snowballs Into Stock Liquidations On "Stimulus Pullback" Fears

With traders in the US arriving at their desks, the global selling appears to be accelerating and as Bloomberg notes, "a selloff in fixed income is starting to snowball into a global market rout" driven by what Reuters dubbed "growing concerns that global central banks' commitment to the post-crisis orthodoxy of super-low interest rates and asset purchase programs may be waning."

The Disturbing Signs Of Global Conflict Continue To Gather Pace

The signs are ominous, the rhetoric constant. Whichever way you look at it, the world is slowly descending into an ever greater spiral of conflict. We all know that the current wars raging in the Middle East have the potential to go catastrophically wrong and pull the super-powers into something much bigger. You also know things are not good when the so-called ‘conspiracy theories’ from alternative media outlets eventually go mainstream...

Frontrunning: September 8

  • Stock futures flat ahead of economic data, ECB meeting (Reuters)
  • Trump in TV event with Clinton, says Putin better leader than Obama (Reuters)
  • 5 takeaways from Trump and Clinton's military forum (The Hill)
  • Matt Lauer Fields Storm of Criticism Over Clinton-Trump Forum (NYT)
  • Vladimir Putin Just Wants to Be Friends (BBG)
  • Hanjin Shipping’s Troubles Leave $14 Billion in Cargo Stranded at Sea (WSJ)

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 2: "Closing The Escape Routes"

History teaches us that central authorities dislike escape routes, at least for the majority, and are therefore prone to closing them, so that control of a limited money supply can remain in the hands of the very few. The existence of escape routes for capital preservation undermines the viability of the banking system, which is already over-extended, over-leveraged and extremely fragile. In the 1930s, gold was the escape route, so gold was confiscated. This time cash serves that role...

Negative Rates & The War On Cash, Part 1: "There Is Nowhere To Go But Down"

As momentum builds in the developing deflationary spiral, we are seeing increasingly desperate measures to keep the global credit ponzi scheme from its inevitable conclusion. Credit bubbles are dynamic - they must grow continually or implode - hence they require ever more money to be lent into existence. As the peak of a credit bubble is reached, all these necessary factors first become problematic and then cease to be available at all. Past a certain point, there are hard limits to financial expansions, and the global economy is set to hit one imminently.

Global Stocks Rise, Metals Jump On Strong Chinese Data; Pound Surges On Record UK Mfg Spike

After a muted end to August, September started off on the strong foot overnight following a surprising beat in China's official manufacturing PMI print, which rose above 50 to the highest level in almost two years. That, together with a record rebound in the UK PMI, bolstered investor confidence, fueling gains in stocks and industrial metals. The dollar advanced against most of its peers while bonds retreated before Friday’s payrolls report.

"All Eyes On Central Banks" In September, But "No Reason To Smile"

September will be quite a busy month for investors since there are around 30 major central banks meetings scheduled. Since the Bank of England’s last policy announcement, the total monthly amount in global official quantitative easing has reached almost $200 billion, which corresponds, for the purpose of comparison, to Portugal’s annual GDP in 2015. Long-rumoured and oft-discussed, QE infinity is now a reality.

What Really Happened Among The Ja'ss Holes?

“We still have plenty of tools,” remarked a spokesperson: “Janet Yellen, Mark Carney, Andy Haldane, Mario Draghi – does any remote, unelected bureaucracy anywhere in the world have a bigger set of tools?”