Bank of England

US Futures Rise With All Eyes On Kuroda As Global Stocks Tread Water

Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, and was down 0.5% in early trading.

RBS Warns Clients May Face Negative Interest Rates

In another reminder that monetary unorthodoxy in the face of NIRP is coming to a savings account near you, overnight the RBS banking group warned 1.3 million customers they could be charged negative interest rates if the Bank of England cuts base rates below zero. As seen in the letter posted below, the bank warned that: "Global interest rates remain at very low levels and in some markets are currently negative. Dependent on future market conditions, this could result in us charging on credit balances."

Celebrating 45 Years Of Phony Money

In the pre-1971 economy, it was Main Street that produced wealth and accumulated real dollars. After 1971, it was Wall Street that controlled access to the new counterfeit money – and made sure it captured much of it. The new system gave the feds the “flexibility” they were looking for. But it completely changed the nature of our money and our economy.

 

EURUSD Plunges To Post-Brexit Lows

Following disappoingly un-dovish commentary from Bank of England and ECB, it appears a dearth of monetary exuberance (over and above the current insanity) is prompting capital flight from Europe. EURUSD tumbled to a 1.09 handle this morning, near post-Brexit lows...

Pound Plummets On Renewed Recession Fears As PMI Shows Fastest Contraction Since 2009

Sterling plummeted nearly 200 pips this morning, after rising in early trade to just shy of 1.33, when the latest July Markit flash PMI surveys suggested the UK is heading for a quick recession in the form of a 0.4% GDP contraction in the third quarter. As Markit reported, "July saw a dramatic deterioration in the economy, with business activity slumping at the fastest rate since the height of the global financial crisis in early-2009."

Frontrunning: July 22

  • Global stocks fall, UK PMIs flash Brexit recession warning (Reuters)
  • Trump's greatest hits, all in one speech (Reuters)
  • Donald Trump Accepts GOP Nomination, Promises to Fix America (WSJ)
  • Trump's America Grows More Ominous Over 13-Month Run (BBG)
  • Hillary Clinton: unwitting star of the Republican convention (FT)
  • Clinton faces pressure to pick VP who is tough on trade, Wall Street (Reuters)

US Futures Rebound Despite Global Stock Weakness As USDJPY Ramps HIgher

After breaking a multi-year stretch of 9 daily record highs in the Dow Jones, overnight global markets saw some early weakness with Asian stocks retreating after BOJ chief Kuroda dashed hopes for so-called helicopter money, triggering yen’s steepest rally in a month and pulling the Nikkei lower by 1.1%. This however did not last long, and around the European open the traditional ramp in the USDJPY helped European equities shrug off early downside, while US equity futures have already recovered half of yesterday's losses.

Frontrunning: July 19

  • Turkey's Erdogan recounts night of coup, mulls death penalty (AP)
  • Dissidents Silenced, GOP Convention Turns Attacks on Clinton (WSJ)
  • U.S. police deaths build momentum for law to treat attacks as hate crimes (Reuters)
  • Police across US patrolling in pairs after ambush attacks (AP)
  • UK will not invoke EU Article 50 this year, government lawyer says (Reuters)

Frontrunning: July 18

  • Global stocks rise on SoftBank bid for ARM, dollar up vs yen after Turkey crushes coup (Reuters)
  • U.S. backs justice for coup plotters but urges Turkey to keep rule of law (Reuters)
  • Law and Order Will Be a Big Republican Convention Them (WSJ)
  • SoftBank to buy UK chip designer ARM in $32 billion cash deal (Reuters)
  • Rate-starved U.S. banks happily gobble mortgage business (Reuters)

Global Stock Rally Halted In Aftermath Of Latest French Terror Attack

The tremendous rally of the past 4 days that has sent global stocks soaring in recent days has finally been capped and European shares, S&P futures are all modestly lower following a deadly terror attack in Nice, France. Meanwhile Asian stocks rose as Chinese economic data beat estimates, with Q2 GDP rising by 0.1% more than the estimated 6.6% on the back of stronger housing data.