Bullion Banking is fractional reserve gold banking. The proliferation of unallocated gold credits has created a system in which very little physical gold backs up huge amount of claims on that same gold.
The giant stock market bubble will now crash. The stock-price obsessed C-suites of corporate America will now panic and begin pitching inventory and workers overboard. We will be in an official recession within 6 months. The Federal budget will plunge back into trillion dollar annual deficits very soon.
If governments allow banks to shut down bank accounts of individuals or companies without a fair trial and due legal process, it will create a very dangerous situation indeed. In this environment, buying gold is rational behaviour to even the biggest paper-bugs out there. The current monetary experiment of massive QE is no longer the main concern of prudent investors and institutions, it is now combined with negative interest rates and bail-ins.
"From a growth rate perspective, the speed of credit expansion is alarming. The current pace of credit growth in China is realistically in a range between 19% and 20%, well above the reported official TSF growth of 12.4% and new loan growth of 13.0% in September. Relative to GDP, China’s credit-to-GDP ratio currently in a range from 260% to 275% of GDP as of September 2016" - Barclays
Most people think of the money they deposit into the bank as a personal asset they own. But that’s not true.People in Cyprus had to find this out the hard way in early 2013... and the Italians are next to find out.
"So for what it’s worth however the ECB decides to navigate their latest challenge we are less inclined to embrace the classic financial sector meltdown led risk off trade that forces core rates significantly lower. Or at least it would need a spectacular display of policy incompetence first. (On second thoughts..?!)"
"In our opinion it is not so much funding issues but rather derivatives exposures that more likely to trouble markets going forward if Deutsche Bank concerns continue. This is especially true if these concerns propagate into a confidence crisis inducing more rapid unwinding of derivative contracts."
Angela Merkel cannot afford to bail out Deutsche Bank given the hard line Berlin has taken against state aid in other European nations and the risk of a political backlash at home, a German media chorus blasted on Saturday.
Following today's Deutsche Bank fireworks, Goldman reports that "crisis” questions are being asked: “is there risk of a financial crisis re-run” and “can a large European bank face a liquidity event”? To answer these questions we look at the total liquidity accessible to Deutsche Bank, and what are the options facing the bank next.
"Our bank has become subject to speculation. Ongoing rumours are causing significant swings in our stock price. ... Trust is the foundation of banking. Some forces in the markets are currently trying to damage this trust."
It's all about Deutsche Bank this morning again, where after last night's vigorous denial by CEO John Cryan, who told Bild that the troubled German lender is not seeking a government bailout and that it's balance sheet is solid, earlier this morning Germany's Zeit reported that the German government is working on a contingency plan for Deutsche Bank. The German outlet writes that possible scenarios apply in case Deutsche Bank AG needed capital injection to cover litigation costs and include the option of German government taking a stake.
It is never a good thing when official sources either named or unnamed are quoted in the media as denying bailout discussions. For any bank such rumors and denials are harmful because, obviously, they are a reflection of common perception. Furthermore, most people know all-too-well the true nature of any denials, thus reinforcing only that much more the troubling perceptions in the first place.