Bear Market

Investing Wisdoms... Spot What's Missing

"Experience is an expensive commodity to acquire, which is why it is always cheaper to learn from the mistakes of others... not one of the investing greats in history ever had "buy and hold" as a rule."

The Bubble That Could Break The World

The key to bubble analysis is to look at what’s causing the bubble. If you get the hidden dynamics right, your ability to collect huge profits or avoid losses is greatly improved. Based on data going back to the 1929 crash, this current bubble looks like a particular kind that can produce large, sudden losses for investors. The market right now is especially susceptible to a sharp correction, or worse.

Crispin Odey: "Why Do I Remain Stubbornly Bearish?"

"When it comes to markets, we have to watch for ‘the Minsky moment’. Minsky argued that periods of low volatility, presaged crises because they encouraged excessive risk taking. Well, we are into the risk taking. But this fund truly does not demand that the end of the world comes tomorrow."

Warnings From The Market's Mount Vesuvius

Whatever you make of it, you’d be well advised to heed Wednesday’s warning.  In fact, if you bend your ear just right, you can hear the cries of the ancients from 79 A.D. Pompeii.  “Get out while you still can,” they shriek.  “This is your final chance!”

5 Universal Laws Of Human (Investment) Stupidity

In 1976, a professor of economic history at the University of California, Berkeley published an essay outlining the fundamental laws of a force he perceived as humanity’s greatest existential threat: Stupidity.

China Reserves Jump Most In Three Years; Hedge Fund Asks "Is This The End Of The Yuan Bear Market?"

In all the drama surrounding the French elections, few noticed the PBOC's announcement that China’s FX reserves rose for the third straight month in April, increasing by $20.45 billion to $3.03 trillion, more than the $11 billion expected and the single biggest monthly increase in three years going back to April 2014, on the back of a weaker dollar and increasingly more draconian capital controls on outflows.