Bear Stearns

Keep Calm & Carry On

“Before long, we will all begin to find out the extent to which Brexit is a gentle stroll along a smooth path to a land of cake and consumption...”

One Trader Urges "Extreme Caution"

"As to the central bank put, it’s true--in the big picture of things. They are paying close attention to price action, but their reaction function to step in isn’t as hair trigger. How many times do they have to signal that change?..."

NY Fed President Bill Dudley Retiring

Late on Saturday evening, CNBC's Steve Liesman reported that Fed vice chairman Bill Dudley, a former Goldman managing director and chief economist, not to mention a key figure in "the unprecedented government response to the financial crisis", is expected to announce his retirement as soon as next week. 

Bitcoin, Blockchain, And Bank Of America

"The growing pile of public debt in the US is why price stability will never be part of the mix... and is why dollar-alternatives like bitcoin, imperfect and even fraudulent as they may be, will continue to capture the attention of those seeking to escape the economic tyranny of fiat paper money..."

"The End Of The QE Trade": Why Bank of America Expects An Imminent Market Correction

... In short, correction late-17 driven by “as good as it gets” narrative; magnitude dependent on CNY, MOVE, tax reform & degree of “forced selling” by ETFs & quant (7 ETFs accounted for 41% of volume of the top 20 most actively traded US issues in 2017; quant hedge funds & CTAs = $1.3tn AUM = 40% of industry total); right now feels more likely single- than double-digit.

Kass: "Sell The FANGs"

"TV folks say the market is healthy without the FANG names. Of course, they said it was healthy when it was just the FANGs..."

Government By Goldman

"...now Cohn’s in charge of the economy and talking about eliminating financial reform and basically putting the country back to where it was in 2005, as if 2008 didn’t happen. I’ve started the countdown clock to the next financial crash, which will make the last one look mild."

The Great Disconnect: Markets Vs. Economy

"While the Fed keeps promising with each passing year the economy will come roaring back to life, the reality has been that all the stimulus and financial support can’t put the broken financial transmission system back together again. Eventually, the current disconnect between the economy and the markets will merge. My bet is that such a convergence is not likely to be a pleasant one."