Beige Book

Jail, Drugs And Video Games: Why Millennial Men Are Disappearing From The Labor Force

Prime-working age men - particularly Millennials - have failed to return to the labor force while women have reentered. While this partially reflects a growing skill mismatch, a far more troubling explanation includes greater drug abuse, rising incarceration rates and more men "dedicating" themselves to playing video games. BofA explains...

Global Markets Shaken By Sudden Equity Sell-Off: Hong Kong Crashes, VIX Surges

Global markets have been shaken by a sudden wave of overnight equity selling as worst case scenario for Spain finally materialized, while a slide in Apple stock has spiked the VIX, which coupled with a plunge in the Hang Seng and several other notable macro events may have finally woken up from their comatose state.

Beige Book Signals Inflation & Healthcare Concerns Amid Modest Growth

Despite major disruptions from Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, all 12 Federal Reserve Districts indicated that economic activity increased in September through early October. Several Districts noted increased manufacturing input costs, citing storm impacts (with 58 mentions of the word Hurricane) and labor constraints (employers were having difficulty finding qualified workers), but The Fed notes healthcare service prodviders were less upbeat.

Dow Futures Over 23,000: Dollar, Global Stocks Jump As China Congress Begins

World stocks stayed near peaks and currencies moved in tight ranges on Wednesday as China’s 19th Communist Party Congress opened while focus in Europe turned to speeches from top euro zone central bankers before next week’s key policy meeting, as well as Catalonia's ultimatum due on Thursday.

All Eyes On Draghi: Futures Flat, Euro Surges, Dollar Slides; Yuan Breaches 6.50

S&P futures are flat, still spooked by the WSJ's report that Gary Cohn will not be the next Fed chair, while both European stocks and Asian shares gain in a quiet overnight session in which everyone is looking forward to today's main risk event: the ECB meeting. The dollar continued to weaken against all of its peers with the Yuan breaching 6.50 for the first time since May 2016.

Global Stocks Slide As Geopolitical Headwinds, Hurricanes Grow

Global risk sentiment remained gloomy coming into Wednesday, with global European and Asian stocks sliding on growing concerns about North Korea and political inaction in the US, another hurricane bearing down on the US and the American debt ceiling looming.

The Week's Key Events: All Eyes On The ECB

With the US markets closed today, market events this week will be dominated by G10 central bank meetings, among which the ECB stands out. In the US, the key economic release this week is ISM non-manufacturing on Wednesday, while several Fed officials are scheduled to speak this week.

US Workers' Wage Expectations Unexpectedly Collapse

According to a brand new Fed survey, US workers and job-seekers are so disenchanted with the labor situation, and harbor so little hope for higher paychecks, that even as they increasingly search for new jobs, they not only expect fewer job offers but now expect the lowest "new" paycheck in over two years.