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"China's Next Time Bomb" - A Look Inside The Insane World Of China's Bitcoin Traders

Ding Wen, 34, had built up a personal fortune of more than two million yuan after years of hard work at an internet company in Nanjing. But he saw most of that wealth go up in smoke on January 5, when China’s bitcoin market crashed, sending the price of the virtual currency plunging 40% in just a few hours after lunch. Welcome to the insane world of China's bitcoin traders.

The Path To $10,000 Bitcoin

We're accustomed to "rotation," the nice little game where bonds can be sold and the capital invested in real estate or stocks, or vice versa. We're less accustomed to all the conventional asset classes toppling like dominoes. Where do the fleeing trillions go when stocks, bonds and real estate are all going down in a chaotic sell-off?

To "Prevent Public Panic", Beijing Orders Banks To Keep Capital Controls Secret

"You must control your forex deficit, but you can't say that SAFE is controlling capital outflows," a high-ranking government official told Chinese bankers. The banks were told to "manage sentiment" to prevent public panic, the banker said, and the banks' research analysts should not broadcast any negative views on the yuan.

Frontrunning: January 10

  • Immigration in focus as U.S. Senate confronts Trump nominees (Reuters)
  • Jeff Sessions to Be Grilled on Race in First of Hearings (WSJ)
  • Libya Ramps Up Oil Production, Threatening OPEC Plans (WSJ)
  • Valeant to sell assets for $2.12 billion to ease debt load (Reuters)
  • Industry Lobbyists Champ at the Bit, Awaiting Business-Friendly Policies (WSJ)
  • Yahoo to be named Altaba, Mayer to leave board after Verizon deal (Reuters)

Why Don't The Dollar And Bitcoin Drop To Their Tangible Value (Zero)?

If we refuse to recognize the high utility value of USD and its global ease of flow, then we will continue to misunderstand the demand for the dollar and its appreciation. Bitcoin is quite different from the USD but it, too, has unique characteristics that drive its demand and thus its valuation.

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2016 Past is 2017 Prologue

We believe that many of the themes and risks of 2016 continue in 2017 and that they are likely to impact markets in the coming months - especially the precious metal markets

Frontrunning: January 9

  • European shares dip, sterling falls on Brexit comments (Reuters)
  • Pound Falls to 10-Week Low as May Hints at Single-Market Exit (BBG)
  • Offshore Yuan Falls for Second Day as Bears Reload After Squeeze (BBG)
  • Trump's choices for top Cabinet posts face big tests this week (Reuters)
  • Nine Trump Nominees Who’ll Face Extreme Vetting by Democrats (BBG)
  • Meet the Mercers: New Power Brokers in Trump’s Washington (WSJ)

Is A Bitcoin "As Good As Gold"?

The price of Bitcoin seems to have briefly exceeded the price of gold for the first time this week; however, this comparison is completely arbitrary. Gold remains the only true global money with a size and volatility comparable to that of fiat currency.

The Case Against Fed Reform

Instead of a Fed reform, we need Fed competition: eliminate legal tender laws, remove the burdensome taxes placed on gold, Bitcoin and other potential currencies, and give Americans a true alternative to Federal Reserve notes for those who want it.

Bitcoin Tumbles After China Urges Investors To Be "Rational"

After warning about cracking down on 'virtual' capital outflows earlier in the week, Chinese officials have come out more directly against Bitcoin this morning with the country's central bank urging China's institutional and individual investors should take a rational approach to investing in virtual currencies. Bitcoin in China has legged lower on the news.