Black Swan

Citi: "A Clinton Presidency Will Be Marked By Near-Continuous Investigations, Impeachment Risk"

"Mr Trump ‎may be heading for defeat but the prevalence of low trust, identity politics and demographic divides across the developed world suggests that he will not be the last non-mainstream candidate to come close to power.  Moreover, a Clinton presidency is highly likely to be marked by near-continuous investigations as well as the risk of impeachment." - Citi

"The Frightening Thing Is People Don't Know They're Selling Insurance" - An Interview With An Ex-Canyon CDS Trader

“the world has now shifted completely in the opposite direction, that people are selling that insurance over and over and over again, not recognizing what they're actually selling, and not necessarily conducting an evaluation of, are there cheaper ways to sell that-- or more expensive ways to sell that same insurance, effectively capturing more premium for doing the same thing.

Citi: The FBI's Blockbuster Announcement "Could Have A Meaningful Impact On The Presidential Race"

"We have warned throughout the campaign that Black Swan risks are extraordinarily high, and hence have been less bullish for a Clinton victory than consensus. These developments do constitute an "October Surprise" that could have a meaningful impact on the race. We emphasize the potential for more Black Swan events emerging making things more complicated for forecasters and pollsters" - Citi

"Pounded" - How Not To Manage A Fiat Currency

The Bank of England’s inept monetary policies under Mark Carney’s governorship seem certain to expose the fragility of fiat sterling to wider public attention and skepticism. If the consequences weren’t so serious, we might thank him for unwittingly toppling the status quo. But the inevitable crisis, many times worse than that faced in 1975, cannot be embraced even by the most extreme financial masochist. This is why people in Britain and America will increasingly find solace in gold.

Beware Central Banks' "Illusion Of Control"; Spitznagel Warns "If The Fed Hikes, Markets Will Go Down Very, Very Hard"

"There is this sort of collective psychology that says that the Fed can keep this going, that the Fed is in control. But, in fact, central banks are not in control... Central bank balance sheets are twenty-trillion, the whole global securities and derivatives market is a half-a-quadrillion. So, in fact, central banks are miniscule compared to that. The only thing they have going for them is this collective psychology. It’s an illusion of control."