BLS

Conspiracy Or Chaos?

“The main thing that I learned about conspiracy theory is that conspiracy theorists believe in a conspiracy because that is more comforting. The truth of the world is that it is actually chaotic. The truth is that it is not The Iluminati, or The Jewish Banking Conspiracy, or the Gray Alien Theory. The truth is far more frightening – Nobody is in control. The world is rudderless.

"It's The Economy, Stupid... Not Drugs & Demographics"

"Unless oil prices really break higher, then the bond market gives far more weight to what the FOMC members would all rather never consider – the problem really is money and economy rather than drugs and demographics."

Weekend Reading - Are Stocks Really The Great "Wealth" Equalizer?

"Just recently, the New York Post a very interesting article entitled “Millennials should start taking stocks seriously.” While I am sure the author is well-intentioned, it is a very misguided article in its assumptions... the stock market is not, and never has been, the “solution” to building wealth. If you look around the world, there might be a very small handful that have actually built a fortune by investing alone. That is the exception, not the rule."

Payrolls Beat: 209K Jobs Added In July, Solid Wage Growth, Unemployment Drops

And now the dovish Fed has another problem: the BLS reports that in July the US added 209K jobs, beating consensus expectations of a 180K print, while June was revised higher to 231K. Average hourly earnings rose 2.5% Y/Y, more than expected, while the unemployment rate dipped back to a cycle low 4.3% as the participation rate rose to 62.9%.

July Payrolls Preview: Smooth Sailing But Watch Out For Cars

At 8:30am on Friday, the BLS is expected to announce that in July the US created 180K jobs, down from 222K in June though still in line with the 6-month average of 180K, with the biggest downside risk a slowdown in durable manufacturing payrolls as auto production slumped.

Geopolitical Tensions Are Designed To Distract The Public From Economic Decline

"...there will come a time, probably sooner rather than later, when the piper will have to be paid and someone will have to take the blame for our fiscal non-recovery...I do not see the timing of heightened geopolitical tensions in 2017 as coincidental. It appears to me that these events are perfectly organized with maximum distraction in mind as we hit the top of perhaps the most massive stock and bond bubbles in modern history."

A Primer On The "Global Sharing Economy" In 20 Charts

It's the $6 trillion opportunity that everyone is talking about and investing in. Here, in 20 charts, is a quick primer on what the "global sharing economy" means for markets, consumers and investors.