BLS

April Payrolls Preview: "It Better Be Good"

After the abysmal March labor report, all we - and the Fed - can say is that April better be good, or else Yellen's claim of "transitory weakness" will simply be the latest nail in the coffin of Fed credibility. Here is the consensus for the key numbers the BLS will report at 8:30am ET on Friday morning.

Economic Depression And Denial: "We Want To Believe We Aren't Japan"

"And so the longer it goes on, people seem to believe the greater the chance that something just has to go right. It is a happy a comforting thought, aided in emotional manipulation by the constant mainstream optimism. In that belief, every minor uptick is extrapolated far beyond its true significance as that thing that will surely restore positive balance and order."

These Are The 10 Worst (And Best) Jobs In America

The latest annual survey of the best and worst jobs in the country has again found that being a newspaper reporter (blogger may or may not fall under the umbrella) is the worst career one can be pursue.

Busting The "Free College" Myth

A new program just passed by New York’s state government promises “free tuition” for middle-class students to attend a public college or university in the state. While there are similar programs elsewhere in the US, this is the first to include four-year schools. All of the headlines include some variation of the term free college, which makes this a great opportunity to discuss what actually happens when a government provides something for “free.”

Meet The Robots That Will Build Your Next House

The U.S. residential construction industry employs 100's of thousands of people each year in various skilled trades that earn hourly pay rates ranging from minimum wage to $100 per hour, or more.  Of course, just like the auto industry, many of those jobs can be done at a fraction of the cost and with much greater precision by industrial robots.

Traders "Swoop" On Stocks, Oil Rises For 8th Day But Bonds Still Don't Buy It

S&P futures are unchanged and Asian stocks closed mixed, however European stocks rebounded for first time this week, led by auto stocks after Daimler’s quarterly profit, as a break in alarming political news prompted traders to "swoop" - as Reuters puts it - on equities, cooling a safe-haven rally that saw the yen and gold at five-month highs and bond yields to drop their lowest this year.

Labor Market JOLTed: Rate Of Hiring Suffers Biggest Drop In 4 Years

Is there US labor market suddenly sick: not only did the rate of hiring not rise over the past year, but in February it declined by 3.6% relative to last year. This was the biggest decline in the annual rate of hiring in over four years, going back to March 2013.

Optimist's Burden Of Proof - Are Bonds "Distracted" Or "Depressed"?

Having seen through these statistics for what they really are, the treasury as well as eurodollar market reflects considerable and legitimate economic doubt drawn from realizing what money is (a whole lot more than bank reserves) and what it certainly wasn’t (QE). It is the optimists who share the burden of proof that this time is any different. The longer that evidence remains missing, the greater that burden.

Where The March Jobs Were: Plunging Retail Workers Offset By Doormen Hiring Surge

While most job sectors performed in line with recent trends, there were three major outliers: growth in the Education and Health jobs category tumbled from +66K to +16K; Construction jobs dropped from +59K to +6K, while the big detractor was Retail Trade, where for the second month in a row, 30K jobs were lost.

March Payrolls Crumble: Only 98K Jobs Added Despite Slide In Unemployment Rate

As we cautioned previously in our payrolls preview, the big risk to today's payrolls report was to the downside, mostly as a result of the unseasonably cold March weather, and moments ago the BLS confirmed that indeed something snapped in March when only 98K jobs were added, roughly half of the 180K expected. This was the lowest monthly jobs number since May of 2016.

Stupid Is As Stupid Does

If you prefer fake news, fake data, and a fake narrative about an improving economy and stock market headed to 30,000, don’t read this fact based, reality check article.

These Are The Best And Worst U.S. Cities To Own A House

At the top, with annual price increases of 10% or more, we find the usual west coast (and thus closest to China) suspects: Seattle and Portland, followed close behind by Denver and Dallas, which appears to be enjoying the recent revival in shale.

Steve 'Big Short' Eisman: Smart, Lucky, Abrasive (& Now One Of Them)

"In the movie he was portrayed as the moral compass. After hearing his praise for the awesome job Paulson did by saving the criminal Wall Street banks with taxpayer money, I think the justice and righteousness stuff is overdone. Earlier in his talk he said banks existed to “fuck you” – his exact words. Then later he says we had to save them or the world would have ended."