BLS

The October Payrolls Report: What Wall Street Expects

While the October payrolls report, due out at 8:30am on Friday, has taken on a secondary importance in light of the market's near certainty that the Fed will hike rates in December (absent a Trump victory and/or a market crash), analysts and traders will surely be concerned any prominent outlier prints that deviate too far from the consensus estimate of 175K. So, in preview of tomorrow's biggest economic update, here is a snapshot of what Wall Street expects.

Amazon Plunges After Missing Earnings, Guides Below Expectations

After several quarters of smashing expectations, moments ago Amazon tumbled as much as 9% after reporting EPS of $0.52, far below the $0.85 expected, on revenue of $32.7 billion, in line with estimates, and up 29% from a year earlier.  Operating income also missed, printing at $575 million, below the $690.5 million expected.

The Standard Of Living Of The Irredeemables Continues To Plunge As 'Not So Hidden' Inflation Soars

With real wages stagnant below 1.5%, rising energy costs, soaring medical costs due to Obamacare, record high home prices and rent expense due to the Fed, the average new car price at a record $34,000, and food prices rising steadily, the standard of living of the irredeemables continues to plunge. But at least our taxes will be going up if Hillary and the establishment have sufficiently rigged the election to insure her victory. Sit back and enjoy our journey to third world status.

Black Worker Wages Rise The Most On Record

Who says there is no wage growth? Certainly not the Labor Department, at least when it comes to black workers. In a release on Thursday, the DOL reported that seven years after the "end" of the recession, median wages for full-time black workers jumped by 9.8% in the Q3 - the biggest quarterly jump since record began in 2000.

Producer Prices Rise Most Since 2014 After Jump In Gasoline, Investment Advisory Costs

Following the unexpectedly hot Chinese inflation data, where PPI posted its first annual increase since March 2012, moments ago the BLS reported that like in China, US wholesale prices also rose more than the 0.2% expected, up 0.3% in September, following an unchanged print the prior month.  On an annual basis, the final demand index increased 0.7% in September from a year ago, the largest 12-month rise since advancing 0.9% in December 2014.

President Obama's Premature Victory Lap

Before President Obama takes his final victory lap with claims of creating the most robust employment recovery since the 1990’s, the data clearly suggests otherwise. Of course, if you ask the 37% that are no longer counted as part of the labor force, they will tell you the same thing.

Fed Minutes Expose Hawkish Fed Fearful Of "Losing Credibility", No Hike Was "Close Call"

With three dissenters and no good reason (based on their own data) to stay on hold in September, The Fed chickened out, but jawboned the hawkish tilt afterwards. With Nov odds at 19% and Dec at 66%, the USD and Treasury yields were falling dovishly into the Minutes, this is what the Fed said “Several participants expressed concern that continuing to delay an increase in the target range implied a further divergence from policy benchmarks based on the committee’s past behavior or risked eroding its credibility” especially because recent data supported the committee’s outlook, the minutes stated.

Hillary: Deceit, Debt, & Delusions (Part 2)

Here’s the game being played behind the curtain, never to be revealed by Hillary, Yellen, the captured dying legacy media, or anyone beholden to the establishment for their paycheck or bribe...

Payrolls Rise 156K, Missing Expectations, Unemployment Rate Rises To 5.0%

With Wall Street all bulled up on the economy, expecting a print of 175K while the whipser number was decidedly higher, and closer to 200K thanks to Goldman's optimism, moments ago the BLS reported that in September the US created only 156K jobs, missing expectations, and down from the upward revised 167K in August, leaving the question of whether the Fed will hike imminently, unanswered.