BOE

Frontrunning: March 21

  • Gorsuch Strives to Present Himself as Above Political Fray (WSJ)
  • Investigation Could Hurt Trump’s Clout in Congress (WSJ)
  • U.S. to Ban Laptops and Tablets in Cabins of Some Mideast Flights (BBG)
  • Tillerson no-show at NATO renews European disquiet about Trump (Reuters)
  • Don’t Blame Your Social Media Feed for the Growing Political Divide (BBG)
  • High-Frequency Traders Fall on Hard Times (WSJ)

Key Events In The Coming Week

The key economic releases this week are the new home sales report on Thursday and the durable goods report on Friday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week, including a speech by Chair Yellen on Thursday.

FX Week Ahead

This week has not been one to savor for USD bulls, with the FOMC rate hike accompanied by a statement which failed to generate the fresh wave of hawkish sentiment markets had positioned for. Fresh US data will therefore be required to drive fresh direction...

Gold Surges Most Since Brexit After 'Dovish' Fed Hike

With the focus overnight on the Rutte 'win' despite the surge in populist angst, and headlines from The Fed, PBOC, BoJ, and BoE sending global stocks to record highs, one might be forgiven for not noticing that Gold is surging (most since Brexit) following Janet's decision to raise rates for the 3rd time in 11 years - far outperforming other assets classes.

Global Stocks Soar To Record Highs On "Dovish" Fed, Dutch Vote

World stock indexes surged to record highs on Thursday while the dollar traded close to a one-month low after the Federal Reserve hiked U.S. interest rates but signaled no pick-up in the pace of tightening, while the Dutch elections were broadly interpreted as a drop in support for Europe's anti-establishment powers.

Global Stocks Drop Ahead Of Fed Rate Decision; Dollar Rises As Sterling Tumbles

European stocks declined for first session in five ahead of Wednesday's Dutch elections and Fed rate hike announcement. Fed concerns also dragged down Asian shares and S&P futures, while the dollar rose. Crude oil has ended its six-day drop. The pound tumbled 0.8% to the lowest since mid-January in a delayed reaction after Theresa May won permission to trigger the country’s departure from the EU.

BOE Deputy Governor Resigns After Failing To Disclose Her Brother Works For Barclays

The Bank of England's new deputy governor of markets and banking, Charlotte Hogg, has resigned after less than five week in her post, after an MP report concluded she "fell short of the very high standards required" for the position as a result of failing to disclose that her brother works at Barclays, a bank which the BOE regulates.

A Critical Week For Markets Begins: Preview Of The Main Events

A pivotal, catalyst-filled week for global markets is now underway as investors brace for the second US interest rate hike in 2 quarter, a Dutch election, the expiration of the US debt ceiling deal, the imminent invoking of Article 50 by Theresa May, the first G20 finance ministers' meeting of the Trump era and perhaps the disclosure of Trump's proposed budget.

Global Stocks Rise, S&P Futs Flat As Dollar Rebounds Ahead Of Critical Week For Markets

European bourses advance and Asian share rose led by a surge in Hong Kong stocks which rose the most in three months as Japan hit 15 month highs. U.S. futures are little changed along while the dollar rebounded from session lows after Friday's selloff. Crude oil has continued its retreat, down 0.2% and sliding for a 6th straight day after breifly dropping below $48 in overnight trading.

Speculative Blow-Offs In Stock Markets - Part 2

"...the lagged effects of previous money supply growth excesses are still playing out, just as money supply and credit expansion seems to be coming under pressure. This is combined with a fantasy that is so unlikely, people apparently just cannot bring themselves to doubt its veracity – after all, why would anyone tell such a preposterous story if it were not true?"

Key Events In The Coming Week: All Eyes On Payrolls

The key economic release this week is the employment report on Friday, which as Janet Yellen noted in her speech on Friday, is the only economic event (together perhaps with the CPI report on April 15), that could potentially derail a now practically guaranteed rate hike.