Tyler Durden's picture

Summarizing The "Black Monday" Carnage So Far

We warned on Friday, after last week's China rout, that the market is getting ahead of itself with its expectation of a RRR-cut by China as large as 100 bps. "The risk is that there isn't one." We were spot on, because not only was there no RRR cut, but Chinese stocks plunged, with the composite tumbling as much a 9% at one point, the most since 1996 when it dropped 9.4% in a single session. The session, as profile overnight was brutal, with about 2000 stocks trading by the -10% limit down, and other markets not doing any better: CSI 300 -8.8%, ChiNext -8.1%, Shenzhen Composite -7.7%. This was the biggest Chinese rout since 2007.

Marc To Market's picture

Short Covering Lifts Euro and Yen; More to Come?

Steep losses in the dollar, stocks and commodities, for sure, but does it really signal a systemic crisis? 

Tyler Durden's picture

UK Stock Market Tumbles Into 10% 'Correction' - Gone Nowhere Since Feb 2013

Just as The BoE starts to hint at raising rates sometimes, maybe, possibly, never... The FTSE 100 tumbles into yet another correction - down 10% from its record highs set shortly after Draghi unleashed Q€. At current levels, the UK stock market has seen no appreciation since Feb 2013...

Tyler Durden's picture

Financial Pop Quiz

Think you know finance? Test your skills with this quick pop quiz.

Pivotfarm's picture

Aug 19 - PBOC injects $48bn into China Development Bank

The central bank has injected new capital into the China Development Bank (CDB), which provides medium and long term financing to major national projects, in a bid to reinforce its capital adequacy.

Tyler Durden's picture

China Stocks Crash, More Than Half Of Market Halted Limit Down; PBOC Loss Of Control Spooks Global Assets

Just hours after the PBOC announced a modestly "revalued" fixing in the CNY, which curiously led to weaker trading in the onshore Yuan for most of the day before a forceful last minute intervention by the central bank pushed it back down to 6.39 it was the local stock market spinning plate - which had been relatively stable during the entire FX devaluation process - that China lost control over, and after 7 days of margin debt increases the Shanghai Composite plunged by 6.2% in late trade, tumbling 245 points to 3748, just 240 points above its recent trough on July 8, a closing level some 27% off its June peak.

RANSquawk Video's picture

RANSQUAWK WEEK AHEAD VIDEO - 17th August - Markets remain concerned about China, key releases include US CPI and FOMC Minutes


  • Markets will be keeping a close an eye on what action/if any the PBoC take to try and keep Chinese growth prospects on course.
  • Main releases this week come in the form of US and UK CPI reports and the FOMC minutes release


Tyler Durden's picture

Frontrunning: August 17

  • Oil moves nearer six-year low on Japan data, oversupply (Reuters)
  • Commodity Slide Spurs Treasuries as Emerging Markets Extend Drop (BBG)
  • Because 7 years is "just right" - BOE Official Says Don’t Wait Too Long on Rates (WSJ)
  • How Medicare Rewards Copious Nursing-Home Therapy (WSJ)
  • Millennials Are Developing Parents’ Taste for Jaguars, Cadillacs (BBG) ... and even more debt
  • Mexican Billionaire’s Firms Swept Up in U.S. Probe of Citigroup (BBG)
Tyler Durden's picture

Futures Flat As Oil Drops To Fresh 6 Year Low; EM Currencies Crumble Under Continuing FX War

It was a relatively quiet weekend out of China, where FX warfare has taken a back seat to evaluating the full damage from the Tianjin explosion which as we reported on Saturday has prompted the evacuation of a 3 km radius around the blast zone, and instead it was Japan that featured prominently in Sunday's headlines after its Q2 GDP tumbled by 1.6% (a number which would have been far worse had Japan used a correct deflator), and is now halfway to its fifth recession in the past 6 year, underscoring Abenomics complete success in desrtoying Japan's economy just to get a few rich people richer. Of course, economic disintegration is great news for stocks, and courtesy of the latest Yen collapse driven by the bad GDP data which has raised the likelihood of even more Japanese QE, the Nikkei closed 100 points, or 0.5% higher. 

Marc To Market's picture

Observations about the Dollar and the Week Ahead

A look at next week's data in the somewhat larger context, and a look at interest rate differentials

Marc To Market's picture

Is the Dollar Going on Summer Vacation?

Near-term dollar outlook, with some views on oil, Treasuries and S&P 500 thrown in for extra measure.  

Tyler Durden's picture

Gibson's Paradox: The Consequences For Gold

A rising interest rate trend would, according to Gibson, encourage prices to rise towards and likely through the Fed's 2% target inflation rate. This is not how financial traders see it, nor does the Fed. They expect the exact opposite, believing that rising interest rates are bad for demand and commodity prices, which is why the decision has been deferred for so long. The evidence tells us this view is mistaken and that rising interest rates will be accompanied by rising commodity prices.

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