BOE

FX Week Ahead - Fast Money Algos Stretch The Limits Again, Time For Redress

A common feature of the currency markets these days is to push the established themes and narratives as far they can be, and at a time when the USD is suffering on all fronts, fast money accounts are using thin market conditions to their advantage. Friday's price action emphasised this completely, as all it took was the absence of policy talk from Fed chair Yellen at Jackson Hole to set off another hit on the USD.

Goldman "Unexpectedly" Exempt From Venezuela Bond Trading Ban

"That was somewhat surprising," said Francisco Rodriguez, chief economist at Torino Capital. "I guess the logic is that those bonds are already in the hands of bondholders, so you wouldn’t be really blocking new financing." That, or the "logic" was to exempt Goldman from the trading ban until the bank can sell them without incuring a major loss...

FX Week Ahead: Jackson Hole, And A Chance For Yellen To Fend Off Some USD Bashing

Coming off a mixed week for the USD, traders focus their attention on the Jackson Hole symposium which starts on Thursday, running through to Saturday.  Within this, Friday's address by the Fed chair will take centre stage, and for all the 'will she, won't she' talk about monetary policy, the market will be hanging on Janet Yellen's words, as the third rate hike for 2017 remains in the balance. 

Global Stocks Rise Amid Unexpected ECB "Trial Balloon"; Dollar Flat Ahead Of Fed Minutes

European markets continued their risk-on trend in early trading, rising to the highest in over a week and rallying from the open led by mining stocks as industrial metals spike higher after zinc forwards hit highest level since 2007. The EUR sold off sharply, boosting local bond and risk prices after the previously discussed Reuters "trial balloon" report that Draghi's speech at Jackson Hole would not announce the start of the ECB's taper.

The Billionaire Bears Club

"The next crisis won’t start in the equity market, or even the high yield bond market. The next crisis will occur when Central Banks lose control of sovereign bond markets. I know that is exactly the opposite advice that the Billionaire Bears Club boys are giving you, but I don’t mind being on the other side of their trade... Economic weakness will just mean more printing, it is economic strength that should worry the equity bulls."

VIX Tumbles, Global Stocks And Dollar Rally As Korea Tensions Ease

Global stocks and US futures are up for a second day, with the VIX sliding 0.58 vols to 11.75 (-4.7%) and haven assets dropping, after a KCNA report report suggested North Korea had pulled back its threat to attack Guam after days of increasingly bellicose "fire and fury" rhetoric with President Trump, and hours after China took its toughest steps to support U.N. sanctions against Pyongyang.

FX Week Ahead: Myopic Markets Hit USD On Inflation Miss

Once again, sluggish inflation takes a hammer to currency and we saw the USD turn back from a tentative recovery, which many still see as corrective against some of its major counterparts.  In comparative terms, we still feel the numbers out on Friday were not as bad as the pundits and markets perceived, but liquidity in the summer is not at its best.

What's Next For The VIX? RBC Explains

"From a ‘vol control’ fund deleveraging perspective, we still aren’t likely to have seen heavy de-risking flows from the masses yet (many targets at 8 or 10), as SPX realized vol—even of the short-term 20d varietal—remains painfully low at 6.5.  So, in order to ‘trigger’ it would either require another violent jump in vol, or a few more days further in this 15-16-17 vols level to ‘drag up’ the trailing number."

Steve H. Hanke's picture

Why was international financial officialdom so eager to raise banks’ capital-asset ratios? The starting point for the global bank capital obsession is found in Britain and its infamous Northern Rock affair. Indeed, this was the true beginning of the Great Financial Crisis and the Great Recession.

"None Of It Was True": 103 Years Later, The FT Admits It Lied And Colluded With The Bank of England

On 23 November 1914, the Financial Times colluded with the Bank of England to cover up a failed bond sale, claiming that the UK government’s War Loan was "oversubscribed", with applications "pouring in." The FT described the auction as an "amazing result" that “proves how strong is the financial position of the British nation”. 103 years later we learn that it was all a lie.

World Stocks Hit Another All-Time High As Crude, Treasurys Drop

World stocks hit a new record high on Monday, as U.S. index futures followed Asian stocks on better-than-expected company earnings and strong US jobs data deflected attention from the rising geopolitical tension over North Korea's nuclear program. European stocks traded near session lows while Crude oil prices fall. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index was little changed.