Book Value

US Stocks Are Now The Most Over-Priced Since The 2000 Crash

The single most important characteristic of any investment is the price when you buy it. It doesn’t matter how spectacular your investment is. If you overpay for it, you have no margin of safety. And as the market affirmed yesterday, US stock prices can be expressed in a single word: expensive.

Doug Casey: "Sell All Your Bonds"

Let the hoi polloi cast a meaningless vote, so they have the illusion of being in control. Instead of seeing themselves as subjects, they’ll think they’re “we the people,” who actually have some say in what happens. That way they’ll pay their taxes willingly, enthusiastically sign on to aggressive wars on the other side of the world against people they know nothing about, and generally do as they’re told. Because it’s supposed to be patriotic. “Democracy” is a much more effective scam for controlling the plebs than kingship or dictatorship.

Chinese Reserves Tumble By $69 Billion, Biggest Drop Since January

Overnigt China disclosed that, as expected, FX reserve liquidation has spiked with reserves falling by nearly $70 billion last month as the country’s central bank burned through more of its reserves in the fight to defend the renminbi from greater depreciation on the back of accelerating capital outflows. This was the largest decline since January.

Buffett Wins Again: Berkshire To Get $29 Billion Boost Under Trump Tax Plan

Something curious happened as Trump was "draining the swamp" - the man who by some accounts owns the swamp, Hillary Clinton's billionaire backer Warren Buffett, may be about to get an "unexpected" windfall thanks to Trump's tax-rate cut policies which would boost the book value of Berkshire by as much as $29 billion.

Brace For A Year Of "Peak Everything, Big Rotations" - Here Is BofA's Guide How To Trade It

1) Peak Liquidity: era of excess liquidity is over; 2) Peak Inequality: more fiscal stimulus to address inequality; 3) Peak Globalization: free movement of trade, labor, capital ending; FX wars starting; 4) Peak Deflation: low point in bond yields now behind us; 5) Trough Volatility: era of “flash volatility” and “pain trades” continues; 6) Peak Passive: active investors to outperform passive; 7) Transforming World: robotics, eCommerce constrain inflation upside

Monte Paschi Begins Bondholder "Bail-In": Will Equitize Over €4 Billion In Junior Bonds

Following the Monte Paschi board meeting, Italy's third largest bank apporved the start of a "voluntary" debt-to-equity swap offer which will target subordinated bonds for total outstanding amount of 4.289 billion euros. The bank is also considering possibility of launching conversion into equity of 1 billion euros of Fresh 2008 bonds. Monte Paschi will offer between 20-100 percent of nominal value in bond swap offer.

Chinese Capital Outflows Send FX Reserves To Lowest Since 2011

Overnight, China reported that the PBOC’s FX reserves fell another US$46bn to US$3.121 trillion in October as the central banks struggled to offset the impact of accelerating capital outflows, triple the official September decline of US$19bn (recall that according to Goldman, the true FX outflow in recent months has been far greater), and the biggest drop since January. The October decline brought China's total reserves the lowest amount since 2011.

Barclays Warns The Party Is Almost Over As Payouts Exceed Cash Flow By $115 Billion

Corporate buybacks plus dividends will surpass $1 trillion in 2016, for the first time ever, according to Barclays calculations. This means that payouts to shareholders will surpass total S&P500 cash flow by a whopping $115 billion. And with corporate balance sheets increasing encumbered, Barclays believes that the rate of payouts, rising at 20% in recent years, is about to grind to a halt, meaning that for stocks, the "party is almost over."