Brazil
Global Central Banks Are Facing a Crisis Larger Than 2008... And With Little to No Fire Power Left!
Submitted by Phoenix Capital Research on 01/09/2016 15:25 -0500Central Banks have employed virtually all of their ammunition including policies that would have been considered "nuclear" in 2008. And the debt bubble is $20 trillion larger than it was in 2008!
2016: Oil Limits & The End Of The Debt Supercycle
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 21:30 -0500The problem of reaching limits in a finite world manifests itself in an unexpected way: slowing wage growth for non-elite workers. Lower wages mean that these workers become less able to afford the output of the system. These problems first lead to commodity oversupply and very low commodity prices. Eventually these problems lead to falling asset prices and widespread debt defaults. These problems are the opposite of what many expect, namely oil shortages and high prices. This strange situation exists because the economy is a networked system. Feedback loops in a networked system don’t necessarily work in the way people expect.
It's Official: Bitcoin Was The Top Performing Currency Of 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 20:00 -0500For most investors, the major story of 2015 was the expectation and eventual fulfillment of a rate hike, signalling the start of tightening monetary policy in the United States. This policy is divergent to those of other major central banks, and this has translated into considerable strength and momentum for the U.S. dollar. Despite this strength, the best performing currency in 2015 was not the dollar. In fact, the top currency of 2015 is likely to be considered the furthest thing from the greenback.
Global Stocks Crash After Spiraling Chinese Devaluation Unleashes Worldwide Chaos And Selling
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/07/2016 07:34 -0500- Apple
- Australia
- B+
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Bitcoin
- Bond
- Brazil
- China
- Circuit Breakers
- Consumer Confidence
- Continuing Claims
- Copper
- CPI
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Equity Markets
- fixed
- France
- George Soros
- Germany
- headlines
- High Yield
- Hong Kong
- Initial Jobless Claims
- Italy
- Japan
- KIM
- Kyle Bass
- Kyle Bass
- Market Conditions
- Middle East
- Monetary Policy
- Natural Gas
- Netherlands
- Nikkei
- None
- North Korea
- Oklahoma
- OPEC
- RANSquawk
- San Francisco Fed
- Saudi Arabia
- Shenzhen
- Standard Chartered
- Trade Balance
- Trade Deficit
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Wells Fargo
- World Bank
- Yen
- Yuan
Once China set the Yuan fixing some 0.5% lower, the biggest drop since the August devaluation, all hell broke loose and unleashed a global selling panic after China's stock market was promptly shut down less than 30 minutes into trading, then European shares dropped the most in more than 4 months as Asian equities plunges, as did US stock futures, the dollar weakened against the euro and the yen; crude plunged to fresh 12 year lows. Gold rose.
Brazil's Olympic Stadium Goes Dark Over Unpaid $250,000 Electric Bill
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 19:10 -0500To be sure, there were already a number of concerns about the upcoming Olympic games in Rio. For instance, last summer we learned that thanks to a lack of sanitation infrastructure, Olympic athletes are almost certain to come into contact with disease-causing viruses in the water. In the latest embarrassment, power to the stadium that will host the Olympic track and field events was cut off after a dispute between the government and a soccer club ended in a $250,000 unpaid utility bill.
Global Corporate Debt is Coming Unglued
Submitted by testosteronepit on 01/06/2016 00:52 -0500Default Rate Highest since 2009, US Distress Ratio Soars.
Nomi Prins' Financial Road Map For 2016: "The Potential For Chaotic Fluctuations Is Greater Than Ever"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 18:15 -0500- Bernie Sanders
- Bond
- Brazil
- Capital Markets
- Central Banks
- China
- Circuit Breakers
- Corruption
- default
- European Central Bank
- Excess Reserves
- Federal Reserve
- Fitch
- Greece
- Investment Grade
- Iran
- Italy
- Janet Yellen
- Japan
- Mexico
- Monetary Policy
- None
- OPEC
- Portugal
- Recession
- recovery
- Saudi Arabia
- Unemployment
- US Dollar Index
- Volatility
- Yuan
We are currently in a transitional phase of geo-political-monetary power struggles, capital flow decisions, and fundamental economic choices. This remains a period of artisanal (central bank fabricated) money, high volatility, low growth, excessive wealth inequality, extreme speculation, and policies that preserve the appearance of big bank liquidity and concentration at the expense of long-term stability. The potential for chaotic fluctuations in any element of the capital markets is greater than ever. The butterfly effect - the flutter of a wing in one part of the planet altering the course of seemingly unrelated events in another part - is on center stage.
'Still' Safe On The Sidelines - 501 Days And Counting
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 16:25 -0500The S&P 500 first crossed yesterday's levels in August 2014 - that is 501 days ago, confirming our belief that the stock market casino has just begun its descent has only been further reinforced. In terms of the fundamental economic and financial rot now coming to the visible surface, the analysis we presented last week is even more timely now.
Visualizing Brazil's Economic Decline In One "Straight-Line" Chart
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 15:53 -0500From EM darling to depression, it's been a rough ride for the "B" in BRICS. As we kick off 2016, analysts are growing increasingly concerned that Brazil's economic downturn could well be deeper and longer than anyone expected. The market's collapsing expectations are summarized in one stunning chart.
Byron Wien's Reveals Top 10 Predictions: Expects Stocks To Decline After Predicting 15% Rise In 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 12:53 -0500"The United States equity market has a down year. Stocks suffer from weak earnings, margin pressure (higher wages and no pricing power) and a price- earnings ratio contraction. Investors keeping large cash balances because of global instability is another reason for the disappointing performance."
Saudi Default, Devaluation Odds Spike As Mid-East Careens Into Chaos
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 11:31 -0500On the heels of a tumultuous weekend that saw Saudi Arabia cut diplomatic ties with Iran after the Saudi embassy was torched by protesters angry at the execution of a prominent Shiite cleric, CDS spreads for the kingdom have blown out to six-year wides while the implied odds of the riyal peg finally breaking are hitting new record highs.
What Really Happened In 2015, And What Is Coming In 2016...
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 10:36 -0500A lot of people were expecting some really great things to happen in 2015, but most of them did not happen. But what did happen? A global financial crisis began during the second half of 2015 threatens to greatly accelerate as we enter 2016. This is what the early stages of a financial crisis look like, and the worst is yet to come.
The Best And Worst Performing Assets Of 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 08:46 -0500With markets wrapped up for 2015 now, reviewing the performance of asset classes last year shows that it was one where negative asset class returns were aplenty, while those finishing in positive territory were few and far between. Indeed, of the 42 assets we monitor in Figure 5, just 9 finished with a positive return in Dollar-adjusted terms over the full year. At the other end of the scale there were some notable losers.
Frontrunning: January 4
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 07:37 -0500- China stocks tank, triggers circuit breaker (Reuters)
- Stocks Slump Across Europe and Asia Following Shanghai's 7% Crash (BBG)
- China Halts Stock Trading After 7% Rout Triggers Circuit Breaker (BBG)
- Iran says Riyadh thrives on tension after relations cut (Reuters)
- Saudis and Bahrain Face Off With Iran in Worst Clash Since 1980s (BBG)
- Syrian rebel group backs Saudi move to cut ties with Iran (Reuters)
2015 Year In Review: "Terminal Phase" Excess & Peak Cognitive Dissonance
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/02/2016 19:20 -0500- Bank of Japan
- Bear Market
- Bond
- Brazil
- Central Banks
- China
- Cognitive Dissonance
- Commercial Real Estate
- Copper
- Corporate America
- CPI
- Crude
- Currency Peg
- Deutsche Bank
- Donald Trump
- Eastern Europe
- ETC
- Global Economy
- Hong Kong
- Japan
- Mexico
- Middle East
- Morningstar
- Real estate
- Renaissance
- Shadow Banking
- Sovereign Debt
- Sovereigns
- Swiss National Bank
- Turkey
- Unemployment
- Volatility
- Wall Street Journal
- Yuan
Important pillars of the bull case evaporated throughout 2015. Global price pressures weakened, the global Credit backdrop deteriorated and the global economy decelerated. The huge bets on central bank policies left markets at high risk for abrupt reversals and trade unwinds – 2015 The Year of the Erratic Crowded Trade. Indeed, a global bear market commenced yet most remain bullish. Serious and objective analysts would view this ominously.




