Brazil

Policy Makers - Like Generals - Are Busy Fighting The Last War

It's long overdue to acknowledge we face a future absent net growth and likely a future with fewer consumers, fewer homebuyers, fewer taxpayers, fewer employees.  We face a battle where higher productivity leads to ever more being done by ever fewer people... and if we aren't thoughtful, honest, and creative in how we adapt to this new reality... terrible consequences could await us.

Brazilians Stunned By Death Of Supreme Court Justice Ahead Of "Explosive Testimony"

The death of Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Teori Zavascki who had presided over the sprawling "Carwash" corruption scandal, and who died yesterday in a freak airplane crash has sent shockwaves both around the globe and in Brazil, because while few in polite company will discuss it, it has opened the possibility of political assassinations as a means of "quieting" legal proceedings.

S&P Futures, Dollar Rise As World Awaits Trump Inauguration Speech

"All eyes will be on the content and style of Trump's inauguration speech," Morgan Stanley's Hans Redeker wrote in a note.  "The more 'Presidential' this speech comes across, the better the outcome for markets." And as BonY added, "If Trump ramps up the rhetoric the market will be concerned about building long dollar positions."

Socialism, Not Oil, Is The Cause Of Venezuela's Problems

Venezuela’s economy has collapsed. Unfortunately, most people mistakenly believe Venezuela’s policies created a successful economy prior to the collapse in oil prices. The truth is that Venezuela’s socialist policies held back its economy during the oil boom and are the direct cause of its economic collapse today.

Frontrunning: January 17

  • Theresa May pledges clean Brexit break (FT); May Pledges Vote on Brexit Taking U.K Out Of EU’s Single Market (BBG)
  • Donald Trump Warns on House Republican Tax Plan (WSJ)
  • Trump, Fed Headed for Clash Amid Dollar Surge, Economists Say (BBG)
  • China’s Xi Warns Against Trade War in Defense of Globalization (BBG)
  • Morgan Stanley Profit Rises on Surge in Bond-Trading Revenue (BBG)
  • Germany says NATO concerned about Trump 'obsolete' remark (Reuters)

IMF Downplays Trump Stimulus Effect; Slashes Saudi, Mexico Growth In Latest World Economic Outlook

As the world's elite gather in Davos to decide for the minions what the world should look like, The IMF has taken a far dimmer view of global (and by that we mean Trumpian) economic growth than markets appear to be. In addition to slashing Brazilian, Mexican, and Saudi Arabian economic growth forecasts, Lagarde's lackeys are taking a cautious stance toward the policies of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump, who takes office this week, assuming only a modest boost to the U.S. economy from his promise of fiscal stimulus.

The Number One Concern For US Citizens Is... Terrorism!?

Mission 'accomplished' fear-mongers!! The most worrying issue in the US is terrorism. Isn’t that a hoot? How many in the US have died from terrorism? How much terrorism has the US sponsored in other nations, including its own drone policy?

Jeff Gundlach's Forecast For 2017

Investors will confront excessive debt, high P/E levels and political uncertainty as they enter the Trump presidential era. In response, according to Jeffrey Gundlach, U.S.-centric portfolios should diversify globally.

Chanos Fears Trump's "Unmet Expectations", Warns Investors To "Rethink Almost Everything In Your Life"

"If we’re in one of those periods now, if 2016 is like 1932 or 1979 - then you not only have to change your portfolio, you have to change your lifestyle. That’s one of the things we’ve been telling clients. If this is a major shift to populism, nationalism, greater state involvement, and less globalism, then you really have to rethink almost everything in your life."