Brazil
Frontrunning: October 6
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2014 06:39 -0500- American International Group
- Barclays
- Ben Bernanke
- Ben Bernanke
- Bitcoin
- Bond
- Brazil
- China
- Corporate Finance
- Credit Suisse
- Creditors
- Deutsche Bank
- Evercore
- Federal Reserve
- Fitch
- France
- goldman sachs
- Goldman Sachs
- Hong Kong
- Ireland
- JPMorgan Chase
- Keefe
- Kuwait
- Lloyds
- Markit
- Morgan Stanley
- Nomura
- Raymond James
- Reuters
- Time Warner
- Turkey
- Wall Street Journal
- Wells Fargo
- Ebola Patient Fights for Life as Contacts are Monitored (BBG)
- GPIF Unlikely To Announce New Portfolio Until November: Delay Could Rattle Investors Hoping Fund Will Invest More in Stocks (WSJ)
- High risk Ebola could reach France and UK by end-October, scientists calculate (Reuters)
- Neves to Face Rousseff in Brazil in Surprise Comeback (BBG)
- Hong Kong democracy protests fade, face test of stamina (Reuters); A Hong Kong Protest Run on Fumes and Instant Noodles (WSJ)
- Putin Clans Said Gridlocked Over Arrest as Sanctions Bite (BBG)
- Surging dollar may be triple whammy for U.S. earnings (Reuters)
- Lloyds Said to Cut Thousands of Jobs as CEO Cuts Costs (BBG)
Futures Rise On Hewlett-Packard Split; Dollar Eases As Abe Warns "Will Take Measures On Weak Yen"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 10/06/2014 05:30 -0500- Australia
- Bank of Japan
- Bill Gross
- Blackrock
- Bond
- Brazil
- CDS
- China
- Consumer Credit
- Copper
- Creditors
- Crude
- Federal Reserve
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- headlines
- Hong Kong
- Italy
- Japan
- Jim Reid
- KIM
- Monetary Policy
- Nikkei
- Nomura
- PIMCO
- POMO
- POMO
- Portugal
- Precious Metals
- Price Action
- RANSquawk
- Recession
- Volatility
- Wholesale Inventories
- World Bank
- World Economic Outlook
- Yen
While the biggest micro news of the weekend is certainly the report that Hewlett-Packard has finally thrown in the towel on organic growth (all those thousands laid off over the past ten years can finally breathe easily - they were not fired in vain), and has proceeded to do what so many said was its only real option: splitting into two separate companies, a personal-computer and printer business, and corporate hardware and services operations (which will certainly lead to even more stock buybacks only not at one but two companies) which in turn has sent its stock and futures higher, perhaps the most notable development in the macro world is Japan's realization finally that the weaker Yen is crushing domestic businesses, which has resulted in the USDJPY sliding to lows last seen at Friday's jobs report print, and also generally leading to across the board wekness for the dollar, whose relentless surge in the past 3 months is strongly reminiscent of the euphoria following the Plaza Accord, only in the other direction (and making some wonder if the Plaza Hotel caterer are about to see a rerun of September 22, 1985 in the coming weeks).
Is the U.S. Secretly Egging On Hong Kong Protesters?
Submitted by George Washington on 10/01/2014 00:49 -0500There Might Be Some Truth to China's Accusation that the U.S. is Doing Its Best to Stir Up Hong Kong
Brazil Crashes As Rousseff Regains Lead
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/29/2014 08:33 -0500Having rallied exuberantly on the back of hopes a reform-hungry hot-money-flow-encouraging Silva would take the Presidency in Brazil, a new poll this morning shows encumbent Rousseff back in the lead... and Brazilian markets are rapidly unwinding their exuberance. The Ibovespa is down 5% - its biggest drop in over 3 years. Brazil swap rates have spiked over 50bps and bonds bleeding as USDBRL jumps over 3 handles (to weakest since 2008). It appears just 48 hours after a strong rally on Friday, as markets 'efficiently' knew everything was great, Rousseff has realised a few well-placed, well-executed poll results and everything changes.
The Rise In Volatility
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/26/2014 14:04 -0500First it was the foreign exchange markets, then commodities, followed by fixed income markets. Now it’s the equity markets. Wherever we look, volatility has been creeping higher. To some extent, this is not surprising. At the end of the US Federal Reserve’s first round of quantitative easing, and at the end of QE2, the markets wobbled. So with QE3 now winding to a close (and with the European Central Bank (ECB) still behind the curve), a period of uncertainty and frazzled nerves should probably have been expected.
Frontrunning: September 26
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/26/2014 06:39 -0500- Apple
- Aussie
- B+
- Boeing
- Brazil
- Carlyle
- China
- Chrysler
- Citigroup
- Consumer Confidence
- Crude
- Crude Oil
- Deutsche Bank
- European Union
- France
- Germany
- Iraq
- Keefe
- KIM
- Lloyds
- Meltdown
- Michigan
- Morgan Stanley
- People's Bank Of China
- Personal Consumption
- Private Equity
- Real estate
- Recession
- recovery
- Reuters
- Sears
- Securities and Exchange Commission
- Shadow Banking
- Textron
- Ukraine
- University Of Michigan
- Yen
- Mystery Man Who Moves Japanese Markets Made More Than 1 Million Trades (BBG)
- Draghi’s Trillion-Euro Pump Finds Blockage in Spain: Euro Credit (BBG)
- Apple plays defense on iPhone 6 bending, software concerns (Reuters)
- U.S. to Shield Military From High-Interest Debt (WSJ)
- U.S. Outgunned by Extremists on Social Media Battlefield (BBG)
- Yen Weakens on Pension Fund Reform; Aussie Drops to 7-Month Low (BBG)
- Secretive Russian oil giant has no fear of sanctions (Reuters)
- Ride-Sharing Services Face Legal Threat From San Francisco, Los Angeles (WSJ)
- Putin’s Sell-Treasuries-for-BRICS Bonds Plan Has Limits (BBG)
Equity Futures Unchanged As Dollar Surges To Fresh 4 Year Highs
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/25/2014 06:18 -0500It has been a relatively subdued session, with not much action in either stocks or bonds - European stocks rise for the second day on US market momentum from yesterday; Asian stocks are mixed advance while metals decline with Brent, WTI crude, U.S. equity index futures. The biggest highlight in overnight action, however, was once again the Dollar whick climbed to a fresh 4-year high, on pace to strengthen for 2 straight months for first time since March. The reason: ongoing sentiment that there will be a major dispersion between central banks, with the USD tightening just as other central banks join the liquidity fray. To wit, ECB data showed that lending decline in Europe slowed to -1.5% y/y in Aug. vs -1.6% in July and the latest statement from Draghi who said in Lithuania that economic reform possible without devaluing currency.
Paul Craig Roberts: "A Rigged Gold Price Distorts Perception Of Economic Reality"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/24/2014 19:43 -0500The US economy and financial system are in worse condition than the Fed and Treasury claim and the financial media reports. Gold serves as a warning for aware people that financial and economic trouble are brewing. In the 21st century, US debt and money creation has not been matched by an increase in real goods and services. The implication of this mismatch is inflation. Without the price-rigging by the bullion banks, gold and silver would be reflecting these inflation expectations.
The Fed Kills Emerging Markets For Profit
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/23/2014 19:10 -0500The Fed, by raising its rates and relinquishing its downward pressure on the US dollar, is about to kill off most of the emerging markets. That’s a whole lot of misery in one pen stroke. That’s a whole lot of millions of people who will see their dreams of better lives shattered, just as they were beginning to think they had a chance. It’s how the game is played. The weak must be sacrificed so the strong be stronger.
Futures Slide As Overnight Bad News Is Actually Bad News
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/23/2014 06:18 -0500- Blackrock
- Bond
- Bovespa
- Brazil
- CDS
- Central Banks
- China
- Copper
- Crude
- default
- Equity Markets
- Eurozone
- fixed
- France
- Germany
- Greece
- headlines
- Housing Market
- Israel
- Jim Reid
- Markit
- Middle East
- Monetary Policy
- Nikkei
- OPEC
- POMO
- POMO
- Precious Metals
- Raiffeisen
- Reality
- recovery
- Richmond Fed
- Shenzhen
- Sovereign Debt
- Treasury Department
- Volatility
European stocks, U.S. equity index futures fall after Euro area PMI for Aug. missed ests., while bond yields for German, Spanish, U.K. debt fall. Copper rises with positive Chinese PMI data, while oil gains as OPEC discusses output cut. European health care stocks among largest underperformers as U.S. plans tighter rules on tax inversion M&A.
The Geopolitical Situation In Europe
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/22/2014 17:23 -0500After the end of the cold war, the United States dominated world affairs for nearly twenty years. However, the situation of a unipolar world has changed since the financial crisis of 2008 to a now multipolar world that includes China, Russia, India, Brazil and South Africa. These powers are influencing and manipulating the conflict zones we have today to their advantage. By analysing and dissecting the issues concerning the major conflict zones on our world map, as well as illustrating the parties involved, this article will explain what political and strategic interests are at play and how the development in major hotspots shape the big picture. This will identify the geopolitical forces that affect the European continent and what future concerns and worries await us.
Key Events In The Coming Week
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/22/2014 07:42 -0500- 8.5%
- Australia
- Bank of America
- Bank of America
- Brazil
- China
- Consumer Confidence
- Continuing Claims
- CPI
- Czech
- Deutsche Bank
- Eurozone
- France
- Germany
- Hong Kong
- Housing Market
- Hungary
- Israel
- Italy
- Japan
- Market Conditions
- Markit
- Mexico
- Michigan
- Monetary Policy
- Money Supply
- New Home Sales
- New Zealand
- Norway
- Personal Consumption
- Poland
- recovery
- Richmond Fed
- Trade Balance
- Turkey
- Unemployment
- Yield Curve
With the snoozer of an FOMC meeting in the rearview mirror, as well as Scotland's predetermined independence referndum, last week's key events: the BABA IPO and the iPhone 6 release, are now history, which means the near-term catalysts are gone and the coming week will be far more relaxed, if hardly boring. Here is what to expect.
Russia FinMin Calls For Shift Away From US Treasurys Into BRIC Bonds, Settlement In Non-Dollar Currencies
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/20/2014 20:43 -0500it was Russia's finance minister Anton Siluanov who was the designated "bad guy", and as the WSJ reported, Russia is considering diversifying its debt portfolio away from countries that have imposed sanctions on Moscow and into the papers of its BRICS partners. Speaking on the sidelines of an annual investment forum in the Black Sea town of Sochi, Mr. Siluanov said the Finance Ministry wants to diversify its investment basket, and is looking for higher yields without too much risks. He said the ministry will consider buying papers issued by Brazil, India, China and South Africa, which along with Russia are known collectively as the Brics countries. "[We would like to] walk away from investing in papers of the countries that impose sanctions against us," Mr. Siluanov said, adding that the reshuffle would be carried out gradually. He didn't elaborate on when the first purchases of Brics debt may take place.
Why King Coal Will Keep Its Crown
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/17/2014 10:24 -0500For climate change activists and those hoping for an energy future dominated by renewables or even less-polluting natural gas, the death of coal cannot come quickly enough. But with coal still the dominant form of cheap electricity throughout the world, it is unlikely the bogeyman of climate change will disappear anytime soon.
How Financial Bubbles Fester And Burst - Even As The Fed Says Not To Worry
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 09/16/2014 14:16 -0500The starting point in comprehending the dynamics of modern "markets' is to recognize that once they gain a head of steam, financial bubbles tend to envelope virtually every nook and cranny of the economy, creating terrible distortions and destructive excesses as they rumble forward. In this instance, Wolf Richter explains how Silicon Valley has once again (like 1999-2000) been transformed into a rollicking capital “burn rate” machine that has spawned a whole economy based on striving for bigger losses, not better profits. Even the leading venture capitalists now recognize that the insanity of the dotcom era has re-emerged. One of these days, even the monetary politburo may notice. But by then it will be too late. Again.



