Brazil

Frontrunning: March 13

  • Oil touches three-month lows, as U.S. supply swells (Reuters)
  • Oil Steadies Below $49 as U.S. Drilling Threatens Longer Glut (BBG)
  • Traders Brace as Crucial Events Loom for Markets (WSJ)
  • Preet Bharara’s Probes Likely to Continue After His Exit (WSJ)
  • Dollar steadies after three-day fall (Reuters)
  • GOP Health Plan Would Hit Rural Areas Hard (WSJ)

Crude Plunges Below $49, Dragging Markets Lower; All Eyes On Draghi

While trader attention will soon be focused on the ECB and any potential tightening hints from the central bank, a more pressing development as US traders walk in today, will be ongoing collapse in WTI, which after crashing 5.5% yesterday, has tumbled more than 2% this morning, sliding not only below $50 for the first time since December 1, but also dropped under $49, as a near record number of net long spec positions suddenly rushes to unwind their exposure.

Frontrunning: March 8

  • GOP Disagrees on How—and Whether—to Pay for Tax Cuts (WSJ)
  • 'It's like kumbaya:' Trump's genial private meetings with CEOs jar with public attacks (Reuters)
  • New Health Plan Sparks Debate Over Obamacare Comparisons (WSJ)
  • China Grants Preliminary Approval to 38 New Trump Trademarks (BBG)
  • Questions About Loyalty to Trump Stall Treasury Picks (BBG)
  • Women in U.S. plan to stay off the job, rally in anti-Trump protests (Reuters)

OECD Warns There Is A "Disconnect" Between Markets And The Global Economy

"Disconnect between financial markets and fundamentals, potential market volatility, financial vulnerabilities and policy uncertainties could, however, derail the modest recovery. The positive assessment reflected in market valuations appears disconnected from real economy prospects." - OECD

Trump Won't Be Happy: US Records Biggest Trade Deficit In 5 Years

In a report that will be closely scrutinized by the trade-sensitive Trump administration, today the Department of Commerce announced that the January trade deficit surged in January 2017, jumping from $44.3 billion in December (revised) to $48.5 billion in January, as imports increased more than exports.This was the biggest trade deficit going back to early 2012.

All Eyes On Yellen After US Futures, Euro Stocks Rebound On Latest French Polls

World stocks pulled back from all time highs, and European bourses initially followed U.S. futures and Asian shares lower, however both European risk sentiment as well as E-Minis rebounded after an Odoxa poll showed Macron overtaking Le Pen in the 1st round for the first time, and that the addition of Juppe instead of Fillon may see a 2nd round run-off between Macron vs Juppe, leading to a slump in Bund futures to session lows, and a bounce in European stocks.

Is The Tyranny Of A Cashless Society Coming?

The relatively few people who may ultimately control all of the digital wealth of Americans will virtually have control of all the people in a cashless society. This results in a definite loss of freedom and liberty. Digital currency transactions in lieu of cash would allow virtually 100 percent tracking of all Americans, including law-abiding citizens and all that we do.

Millionaire Migrants: Countries That Rich People Are Flocking To

Money may not buy happiness, but it does buy the ultimate flexibility for making financial and lifestyle decisions. For many of the world’s millionaires, money provides a highly effective means to escape their home country when times get tough.

Oil To $70? Or Down To $30?

Oil price forecasts are always all over the map, but the exceptional disparity between some projections for 2017 is pretty stunning.