Canadian Dollar

Global Stocks Rise On "Growth Optimism", Ignore Political Turmoil; Dollar, Oil Creep Higher

S&P futures rose 0.1% on the last trading day of the month, trailing European and Asian markets boosted by China's July Mfg. PMI, which despite declining from from 51.7 to 51.4, and missing expecations  of 51.5, saw the construction index rise to its highest level since December 13, sending Chinese iron ore futures surging and the European commodity sector broadly higher.

Sleepy Overnight Session Interrupted By Chinese Market Turmoil

While it was indeed a generally quiet session (with Japan markets closed), US equity futures continued their run into record territory (ES up 0.1% to 2,458.50), and Europe fractionally lower, the early Monday focus was on the previously discussed turmoil for Chinese markets where despite a solid set of Chinese data small caps tumbled, selling off into the close after further warnings of regulatory scrutiny and deleveraging,

Global Stocks Hit New All Time High After Dovish Yellen, Strong Chinese Trade Data

The hawkish tone and global bond tantrum unleashed by central bankers at the Sintra ECB forum two weeks ago is now a distant memory, and after Janet Yellen surprised markets with an unexpectedly dovish testimony yesterday, overnight global shares hit their fourth all-time high in less than a month as Septmeber and December rate hike odds tumbled, pushing the dollar to the lowest level since September 2016.

Loonie Bulls? Sold To You!

"Sure Poloz is more hawkish, but to a large extent, his policy decisions will be driven by the Canadian economy’s performance. Given the high reliance on real estate, the last thing Canadian dollar bulls should be hoping for is higher rates. Both higher rates and a higher Loonie will sow the seed for its descent."

Loonie Spikes After Bank Of Canada Raises Rates For The First Time Since 2010... As Expected

Heading into today's meeting with a smorgasbord of 'relatively' good data recently, Governor Poloz had the perfect excuse to raise rates (for the first time since 2010) and tamp down the firey bubble in home prices. Not a total surprise, given hawkish comments from BOC officials in recent weeks, but the Loonie is surging on the hike but CAD stocks (which were rallying into the decision) are limping lower.

Frontrunning: July 12

  • Yellen to Address Interest Rates, Balance Sheet (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rebound as Dollar Dips on Trump Revelations (BBG)
  • Trump Jr.'s Russia emails could trigger probe under election law (Reuters)
  • Trump Jr. Emails Fan the Flames of Russia Probe (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Credibility Dealt Blow by His Son’s Emails (BBG)

Bond Selloff Returns As EM Fears Rise; Oil Slides; BOJ Does Not Intervene

U.S. index futures point slightly lower open. Asian shares rose while stocks in Europe fell as energy producers got caught in a downdraft in oil prices and reversed an earlier gain after Goldman unexpectedly warned that WTI could slide below $40 absent "show and awe" from OPEC.

PBOC Hires Blockchain Engineers Who Will Oversee Creation Of The "Digital RMB"

“The People’s Bank of China’s institute of printing science is offering six positions for the design and development of digital currency-related software and hardware framework, a recruitment notice said, adding that candidates with experience in blockchain and Big Data technologies will be preferred."...

Euro Surges, Yields And Stocks Rise As Central Banks Deliver Coordinated Message

The euro soared to the highest level in over a year while bond yields and global shares also climbed, as an ongoing barrage of coordinated hawkish comments from central banks signaled the era of easy money might be coming to an end for more than just the United States. S&P futures were fractionally in the green following the best day for US equities in two months.

Loonie Spikes To 5-Month Highs After Poloz, Patterson Double-Whammy

Following Bank of Canada's Poloz restates his bias for higher rates earlier in Sintra, now BoC deputy Patterson confirmed "the oil shock is largely behind us" and hinted that low rates were no longer needed. This is the biggest spike in the Loonie since March 2016, pushing it back to its strongest against the dollar since early Feb 2017.