Canadian Dollar

Global Bond Rout Accelerates Even As Dollar Rally Fizzles

In a continuation of trading patterns observed over the previous two days, on Thursday the global bond rout deepened in the aftermath of the release of President Trump’s tax-cut plan, Janet Yellen's recent hawkish comments and renewed optimism over the health of the U.S. economy.

Loonie Loses All 'Surprise Rate Hike' Gains As Canada's Poloz Gets Cold Feet

The Canadian Dollar is tumbling - erasing all the gains following September's surprise rate-hike - as in his first speech since the, Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz warns there is no “predetermined path for interest rates” and said the central bank will proceed “cautiously” as it assess the performance of the economy from here on.

World Stocks Pull Back Amid Rising Concerns Of A Market Correction

For the first day in three S&P futures have pulled back modestly from record levels as some investors cautioned that gains had gone too far, too fast, European shares are mixed while Asian equities extended their longest rising streak in almost two months as continued gains in Japan and India offset the losses in Hong Kong.

All Eyes On Draghi: Futures Flat, Euro Surges, Dollar Slides; Yuan Breaches 6.50

S&P futures are flat, still spooked by the WSJ's report that Gary Cohn will not be the next Fed chair, while both European stocks and Asian shares gain in a quiet overnight session in which everyone is looking forward to today's main risk event: the ECB meeting. The dollar continued to weaken against all of its peers with the Yuan breaching 6.50 for the first time since May 2016.

Loonie Soars After Bank Of Canada Unexpectedly Hikes Rates By 25 bps

With only 6 of 33 forecasters predicting a rate hike in today's Bank of Canada announcement, it was inevitable: the Bank of Canada surprised a good 75% of the market, and triggered massive stop loss orders in the looni, when moments ago it announced a rate hike of 25bps to 1%, sending the USDCAD lower by nearly 300 pips, the biggest spike in the loonie since March 2016.

The Canadian Cointoss: Bank Of Canada Monetary Policy Decision Preview

The majority expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to leave its overnight rate unchanged at 0.75%. Markets are more aggressive following a strong June retail sales release and impressive Q2 GDP release. Swaps are currently pricing in a 45% chance of a hike this week with an October hike baked into the curve.

Global Stocks Slide As Geopolitical Headwinds, Hurricanes Grow

Global risk sentiment remained gloomy coming into Wednesday, with global European and Asian stocks sliding on growing concerns about North Korea and political inaction in the US, another hurricane bearing down on the US and the American debt ceiling looming.

Global Stocks Rise On "Growth Optimism", Ignore Political Turmoil; Dollar, Oil Creep Higher

S&P futures rose 0.1% on the last trading day of the month, trailing European and Asian markets boosted by China's July Mfg. PMI, which despite declining from from 51.7 to 51.4, and missing expecations  of 51.5, saw the construction index rise to its highest level since December 13, sending Chinese iron ore futures surging and the European commodity sector broadly higher.

Sleepy Overnight Session Interrupted By Chinese Market Turmoil

While it was indeed a generally quiet session (with Japan markets closed), US equity futures continued their run into record territory (ES up 0.1% to 2,458.50), and Europe fractionally lower, the early Monday focus was on the previously discussed turmoil for Chinese markets where despite a solid set of Chinese data small caps tumbled, selling off into the close after further warnings of regulatory scrutiny and deleveraging,

Global Stocks Hit New All Time High After Dovish Yellen, Strong Chinese Trade Data

The hawkish tone and global bond tantrum unleashed by central bankers at the Sintra ECB forum two weeks ago is now a distant memory, and after Janet Yellen surprised markets with an unexpectedly dovish testimony yesterday, overnight global shares hit their fourth all-time high in less than a month as Septmeber and December rate hike odds tumbled, pushing the dollar to the lowest level since September 2016.

Loonie Bulls? Sold To You!

"Sure Poloz is more hawkish, but to a large extent, his policy decisions will be driven by the Canadian economy’s performance. Given the high reliance on real estate, the last thing Canadian dollar bulls should be hoping for is higher rates. Both higher rates and a higher Loonie will sow the seed for its descent."

Loonie Spikes After Bank Of Canada Raises Rates For The First Time Since 2010... As Expected

Heading into today's meeting with a smorgasbord of 'relatively' good data recently, Governor Poloz had the perfect excuse to raise rates (for the first time since 2010) and tamp down the firey bubble in home prices. Not a total surprise, given hawkish comments from BOC officials in recent weeks, but the Loonie is surging on the hike but CAD stocks (which were rallying into the decision) are limping lower.

Frontrunning: July 12

  • Yellen to Address Interest Rates, Balance Sheet (WSJ)
  • Stocks Rebound as Dollar Dips on Trump Revelations (BBG)
  • Trump Jr.'s Russia emails could trigger probe under election law (Reuters)
  • Trump Jr. Emails Fan the Flames of Russia Probe (WSJ)
  • Trump’s Credibility Dealt Blow by His Son’s Emails (BBG)