Capital Markets

Buffett, Boomers, & The End Of A Bygone Era

"Baby Boomers are blithely unaware or unconcerned about the gutting of production-based wealth creation and the unsustainability of the financially-based global economy they built... "

Why Economic Data No Longer Matters

"The relevance of data is declining. Policymakers around the world are trying to make crystal clear that they’ll ignore that which doesn’t fit their narrative. Many financial commentators have failed to make the transition and are incorrectly transfixed by each data release."

S&P Downgrades China To A+ From AA- Due To Soaring Debt Growth

"The downgrade reflects our assessment that a prolonged period of strong credit growth has increased China's economic and financial risks. Since 2009, claims by depository institutions on the resident nongovernment sector have increased rapidly. The increases have often been above the rate of income growth."

The Dangers Of Performance-Chasing

"From the current levels of over valuation, excess extension and extreme bullishness which currently exists, the coming reversion 'beyond' the mean will wipe out the majority of any gains made over the last several years. Such is the case with all reversions throughout history. Worrying about 'missing out' on the current bull market should probably not be at the top of your list."

Global Stocks Storm To New Record High Ahead Of Historic Fed Announcement

Last week's bullish sentiment that sent the S&P not only to a new all time highs, but a burst of last-second buying pushed above 2,500 for the first time ever, has carried through to the new week, with European and Asian shares rallying across the board, US futures again the green, and world stocks hitting a new record high on Monday ahead of a historic Fed meeting.

BIS Finds Global Debt May Be Underreported By $14 Trillion

"Contracts worth tens of trillions of dollars stand open and trillions change hands daily. And yet one cannot find these amounts on balance sheets. This debt is, in effect, missing" the BIS finds in its latest quarterly assessment, which is a concerning as "the missing debt amounts to some $13-14 trillion."

Goldman Is Turning Increasingly Bearish On Junk Bonds

"Shifting to a more defensive HY rating allocation: Overweight BBs vs. Bs and CCCs n We upgrade BBs to overweight from neutral, downgrade Bs to underweight from overweight, and maintain our underweight recommendation in CCCs."