Following Friday's plunge in bond and bullion prices, dollar weakness (on Trump's comments), Brexit uncertainty, and looming inauguration appear to have sent a ripple of anxiety through capital markets sending Treasury yields tumbling (6-8bps lower across the curve), gold prices soaring (above $1215), and stocks tumbling (Small Caps back in the red for 2017)...
Having plunged to flash-crash lows on Sunday night following leaks of UK PM Theresa May's Brexit speech, cable is soaring this morning as she delivered the speech confirming that both houses of Parliament will vote on the final Brexit deal.
European shares rose as Fiat rebounded on hopes concerns about parallel to Volkswagen are overblown, Asian stocks were little as Chinese shares fell to the lowest level of 2017 after poor export data, and U.S. equity-index futures rose ahead of a deluge of bank earnings. The dollar is headed for a weekly loss and gold trades at the highest price in almost two months.
"In our estimation the investment climate for risk assets after the election looks a lot like the environment before the election: risky. And while there are many valid reasons to cheer a change in tax policy, saving the U.S. and global economy from its past excesses is not one of them."
Oil prices have risen over 20% since the OPEC production cut agreement at the end of November. While concerns abound on quota cheating and increased production from Libya, Nigeria and US shale, the incoming US administration could change the market completely through strategic oil sales and new import taxes.
As of January 16th, 2017, British Columbia (B.C) residents will have access to some “free money”. In effect, what this is doing is further inflating the already over heated housing bubble, and exacerbating its imminent pop!
In the realm of investing, an example of “fake news” is the claim by some market participants that a “great rotation” will take place from bonds to stocks. Despite a sharp rise in interest rates during the past six months and a drop in the market value of debt holdings, we expect minimal asset rotation away from debt and into equities during 2017.
With the dust settling on the December FOMC Minutes, the one recurring theme, even though he wasn't explicitly named, was Donald Trump and specifically the still "uncertain" impact his fiscal policies will have on the economy.
It's official. As previewed earlier this morning, when we reported that according to media reports, Sullivan & Cromwell lawyer Jay Clayton, a long-time favorite of Wall Street and especially Goldman Sachs, has been nominated to lead the Securities and Exchange Commission.
European stocks were panic-bid at the open overnight as hungover New Year's Eve revelers (absent Brits and Swiss who were still on holiday) bought Italian banks, German utilities, and Spanish industrials following the better than expected manufacturing PMIs across most nations. EuroStoxx 50 gained 0.6% - thanks to a spike near the open - for the best open to a year since 2013.
Chinese demand for bitcoin overnight finally proved too great, and US markets had no choice but to arb the difference. So with Bitcoin trading in China at an implied price of over $1,050 at this moment, the digital currency finally soared above $1,000 in the US as well, trading just around $1,024 on Coinbase as of this moment.
The eighth anniversary of Zero Hedge is just around the corner, and so, for the eighth year in a row we continue our tradition of summarizing what our readers found to be the most relevant, exciting, and actionable news of the year. We bring you the articles that you, dear reader, found to be the most interesting in the past 365 days.