Capital Markets

Trump's Trillion-Dollar Loser - What Happens Next?

In the weeks since Donad Trump was elected president, US financial stocks (and energy companies) have soared with all eyes on Dow 20k. However, across the world's capital markets, investors have lost a combined $1.2 trillion in debt and equity values, as the bond losses have outweighed stock gains dramatically (especially post-Fed). The question is - what happens next?

2016 Year In Review

We started this year with the economy deteriorating and finished it with the second interest rate increase in ten years. There were a lot of ups and downs along the way, but ultimately 2016 was defined by three key story-lines:  1) Brexit 2) The Presidential Election 3) Fed Policy. The first two events were votes that shocked the world. The stock market’s reaction to each was arguably even more shocking. 

China Halts Trading In Bond Futures After Record Bond Market Crash

Chinese authorities halted trading in key bond futures for the first time on Thursday, as panicky investors sold the securities on concern that a long, credit-fueled bull market was coming to an end amid slowing growth, capital outflows and heightened government concern about asset bubbles.

Goldman Appoints Harvey Schwartz, David Solomon As Co-COO Replacements For Gary Cohn

As the WSJ reported last night, this morning Goldman Sachs confirmed it has promoted Chief Financial Officer Harvey Schwartz and investment-bank co-head David Solomon to the role of co-COOs and co-presidents to replace Gary Cohn, who’s leaving to take a job in the Trump administration, and said Martin Chavez will succeed Schwartz as CFO.

Barron's Cover: "Get Ready For Dow 20,000"

With The Dow just one good day away from the nirvana of 20,000 - proving once and for all that the fiction-peddling naysayers are wrong about the US economy - Barron's unleashes its magazine cover curse to do all it can to end the party.

Breaking The Correlation Curse

The “Curse of Correlation” may have finally met its match. The President-Elect’s proposed policies break so completely with the last 8 post-Crisis years that investors are re-evaluating everything from the trajectory of long term interest rates to which sectors stand to benefit the most under a Trump presidency.

 

Presenting SocGen's "Most Frightening Credit Chart"

"I sometimes feel like ‘The Grim Reaper’, scouring the research savannah in a ghoulish quest to harvest bad news with a forceful sweep of my scythe. Imagine then my perverse delight when our credit team produced what is one of the scariest charts I have seen for a very long time." = Albert Edwards

Deutsche Bank Pays $60 Million To Settle Gold-Manipulation Lawsuit

Two months after paying $38 million to settle a silver price-fixing case, on Friday Deutsche Bank agreed to pay $60 million to settle private U.S. antitrust litigation by traders and other investors who accused the German bank of conspiring to manipulate gold prices at their expense.

"Metals Traders On Red Alert" - Chinese Commodity Bubble 2.0 Just Imploded

Industrial metals commodity prices plunged by the most since March in the last 2 days as China’s exchanges (once again) clamped down on speculation by tightening trading rules. As Bloomberg reports, for the second time this year, trading has exploded on the nation’s exchanges, pushing prices of everything from zinc to coal to multi-year highs and sending authorities scrambling to deflate the bubble before it bursts.