Capital Markets

Is Public Equity A Broken Concept?

At its core, the social compact between public equity markets and society is simple: over time, any investor should have access to the equity of important enterprises created by that society.  If that isn’t happening by virtue of some misalignment of incentives, then those need to be fixed.  The alternative – that the winners stay private but the losers are public – is untenable.  Investors will choose to hoard cash and capital will slowly stop circulating to its best possible use.

In Ominous Sign For Banks, Equity Trading Revenues Continue To Drop

As the first quarter wraps up, bankers say the weakness in equity trading revenues experienced last year is continuing. That is prompting questions about whether banks should be preparing for a longer-lasting decline in the business, rather than a cyclical dip.

Why Is Loan Growth Collapsing: Goldman Has An Answer

"we believe the current C&I slowdown reflects payback from credit facility usage by commodities firms, many of which began drawing upon credit lines in late 2015 as financial conditions tightened and the debt issuance window closed" - Goldman

Global Stocks, S&P Futures Little Changed On Brexit Day

Brexit day has finally arrived, and despite this major "risk event", European and Asian stocks are trading mixed, while S&P futures are just fractionally lower as a bounce on optimism over the American economy appears to have fizzled and President Trump continues to struggle to pass his legislative agenda. The pound first dipped then rose as the U.K. is set to begin its life outside the EU. 

Key Events In The Coming Week

The key economic releases this week are the consumer confidence report on Tuesday, the third estimate of Q4 GDP on Thursday, and the PCE report as well as Personal Income & Spending data on Friday. In addition, there are several scheduled speaking engagements by Fed officials this week.

100 Years Ago, Russian Stocks Had A Very Bad Day

Just as stocks had doubled after a trading pause lasting the duration of World War I, and the sky seemed the limit for Russian investors.... something very unpleasant happened.

"Alexa... Should I Buy Stocks?"

Are retail investors buttressing US stocks at current (and elevated) levels? A variety of indicators say "Yes". Our primary concern: fund flows can be quite seasonal, with Q1-to-early Q2 a peak period due to retirement account flows. After mid-April, this diminishes considerably. Then, we will need a reliable stream of positive headlines to keep retail investors in the game.

Why China Unexpectedly Hiked Rates 10 Hours After The Fed

The PBOC stressed that its interbank rate hikes simply followed the market's development, thus are not "true" policy rate hikes. Nevertheless, it also listed four classical rate-hike reasons for the interbank rate changes: the economic recovery, rising inflation (particularly that of housing), strong credit growth and Fed's rate hikes.