Census Bureau

Jackson Hole Looms: The Main Events In The Coming Week

The key economic releases this week are new home sales on Tuesday and durable goods on Thursday. However, the main event in what is one of the slowest summer weeks, will be the Jackson Hole symposium starting this Friday, where focus will be on Yellen's speech who will be scrutinized to see if she can bring the Fed's message back on track after several conflicting statements by Fed speakers in recent weeks.

The 10 Worst Places In America To Start A Business

Anywhere you start a business, it's going to be a gamble. More new businesses fail than succeed, according to the Kauffman Foundation. So it's important to set up in an area where the odds are in your favor. Some cities are more hospitable to business formation than others. Regulatory hurdles, tax rates, ease and cost of hiring, and cost of real estate are just some of the factors. Cities across the country are also dealing with demographic challenges, including population growth, an aging workforce and economic stagnation. Here are the worst 10 cities...

Core Retail Sales Tumble Most Since January

Despite this week's Macy's-driven retail sales exuberance - following BofA's suggestion that all was not well - the official retail sales print shows July was ugly... Retail Sales (ex Autos/Gas) fell 0.1% MoM (missing expectations of +0.3%) to the weakest since January. The headline data was flat MoM (dramatically missing the +0.4% expectations). The drop was driven by weakness in gas station and sporting goods sales (along with department stores... apart from Macy's?). Perhaps most worrying hjowever is the mere 2.3% YoY growth in headline retail sales - a level that has signaled recessionary conditions in the past.

Rising Recession Risks & The Tears In America's Economic Fabric

Stock market “bulls” should pray that interest rates don’t rise. Don’t blame those poor consumers for not spending – they are spending everything they have and then some. Just one word describes the outcome of that event given the current excessively leveraged consumption based economy of today – disaster.

Did US Consumers Finally Tap Out? BofA Internal Card Data Shows Significant July Spending Slowdown

According to Bank of America's internal aggregated credit and debit card data, consumer spending slowed in July, with retail sales ex-autos down 0.3% mom on a seasonally adjusted basis. As the bank concludes, "In our view, this sets up for a softer Census Bureau retail sales report on  Friday – we would not be surprised to see either disappointing July sales and/or a downward revision to June."

Atlanta Fed Sees Dramatic Surge In Economy, Pegs Q3 GDP At 3.8%

Dear Janet, you have a problem! With jobs surging, stocks at record highs, volatility near record lows, China stable, and Brexit behind us, today's shocking upgrade of the US economy by The Atlanta Fed (to +3.8% growth) leaves The Fed with little to no excuse for hiking rates at least once if not twice this year...

Don't Show Jack Welch This Chart...

In a miraculous case of deja vu all over again, after cratering for the first 5 months of the year (confirming an 'opposition' narrative of the economic weakness underlying a record high stock market), the jobs market has suddenly surged... now where have we seen this before?

Barack Obama Will Be The Only President In History To Never Have A Year Of 3% GDP Growth

Q2's US GDP growth data just crushed President Obama's 'fiction-peddling' that everything is awesome and those doom-and-gloom reality-pushers are cynical skeptics. Simply put, average annual growth rate during the current 'Obamanomics' business cycle remains the weakest of any expansion since at least 1949 leaving the orator-in-chief on track to be the only President in U.S. history to never have a single year when the economy grew by at least 3%.

US Futures Rise With All Eyes On Kuroda As Global Stocks Tread Water

Following yesterday's Fed decision and ahead of tonight's far more important BOJ announcement, European stocks have posted modest declines, Asian shares rise toward 9-month highs, while U.S. equity index futures are fractionally in the green in the aftermath of Facebook's blowout earnings. The dollar has extended on losses after Yellen reiterated a gradual approach to raising interest rates, and was down 0.5% in early trading.