Central Banks

Life After 11/9 - Governing The Ungovernable

Europe truly is a continent full of powder kegs. Even before you add refugees. However, the US and UK are first in line when it comes to the risk of being rendered ungovernable. Partly simply because of timing, and partly because the differences between various ‘groups’ and movements are as pronounced as they are already today. Both countries are running out of carpet to sweep their dirt under.

Cashless Society - Is The War On Cash Set To Benefit Gold?

If governments allow banks to shut down bank accounts of individuals or companies without a fair trial and due legal process, it will create a very dangerous situation indeed. In this environment, buying gold is rational behaviour to even the biggest paper-bugs out there. The current monetary experiment of massive QE is no longer the main concern of prudent investors and institutions, it is now combined with negative interest rates and bail-ins.

"Fiat Money Quantity" & $11,000 Gold

If gold (priced in dollars today) bore the same relationship to the quantity of dollars in existence some eighty years ago, the price range in today’s dollars would be between $4,000 and $11,640...

Weekend Reading: Time To Be A Contrarian?

Currently, there is little argument the “bullish trend” remains intact. As such the mainstream analysis, if you can actually call it that, continues to the tout the inherent benefits of low cost, passive indexing and the ultimate “chase for yield.” However, it is here the real danger lies. Much of the monetary flows into passive indexes is actually NOT PASSIVE. When the eventual reversion comes, and it will, the pain inflicted on individuals, as is always the case, will turn “passive indexers” in “panicked sellers.”

World Economy Wobbles As Deep-State-Shill Distracts

...but if China can’t sell its products, it can’t afford to buy resources... resource prices plunge... and consumer prices follow, aggravating weak demand with lower prices, falling money velocity... gloom, doom... recession, depression... and worldwide deflation. Then, as the world’s attention is fixed on the sordid business of the U.S. election, with its contest between reality-TV Big Shot Donald Trump vs. Deep State Shill Hillary Clinton, the world economy wobbles.

"Prepare For More Volatility As Yield 'Hunger Games' Comes To An End"

Many ill-informed pundits have taken the recent absence of volatility to mean that it is gone for good. But many smart investors, like Tepper and Gundlach and Druckenmiller, who are paid to protect their clients’ money against large drawdowns are forgoing returns today in order to protect against an anticipated pickup in extreme events in the future.