Central Banks

El-Erian Warns "Investors Are Underestimating Sudden Policy Shifts"

"...the more central banks persist in erring on the side of too much stimulus rather than too little, amid changing economic and fiscal conditions, the greater the potential need for a sudden shift in monetary policy that, while economically warranted, could be quite jarring for markets... and investors may be underestimating as judged by market metrics, including measures of implied volatility."

Policy Makers - Like Generals - Are Busy Fighting The Last War

It's long overdue to acknowledge we face a future absent net growth and likely a future with fewer consumers, fewer homebuyers, fewer taxpayers, fewer employees.  We face a battle where higher productivity leads to ever more being done by ever fewer people... and if we aren't thoughtful, honest, and creative in how we adapt to this new reality... terrible consequences could await us.

One Big, Fat, Ugly Bubble

The establishment will get its revenge on Trump. The Federal Reserve is its weapon of choice.

Visualizing The Global War On Cash

There is a global push by lawmakers to eliminate the use of physical cash around the world. This movement is often referred to as “The War on Cash”, and there are three major players involved...

Why A Bitcoin ETF May Not Be Coming Any Time Soon

When it comes to the future of bitcoin, the "holy grail" has emerged as becoming the first to have a bitcoin ETF approved by the SEC. Unfortunately for the bitcoin faithful, one may not be coming any time soon.

Inequality Doesn't Create Poverty

Oxfam, the leftwing NGO devoted to poverty relief has released a new report blaming poverty in wealth inequality. The "solution" to the alleged problem, which should surprise no one, is a so-called "anonymous wealth tax." These taxes, we are told, will put an end to the poverty-causing inequality that now is a global crisis. But there's a problem for Oxfam in this data.

US Financial Markets - Alarm Bells Are Ringing

If any unexpected fundamental news should emerge that throw doubt on the beliefs so widely held by market participants of late, a sizable surge in market volatility is likely to ensue.

Donald And The Dollar

John Connally, President Nixon’s Secretary of the Treasury, once remarked to the consternation of Europe’s financial elites over America’s inflationary monetary policy, that the dollar “is our currency, but your problem.”  Times have certainly changed and it now appears that the dollar has become an American problem.

Declassified CIA Memos Reveal Probes Into Gold Market Manipulation

he CIA recently released a series of declassified 1970s memos relating to the gold market and the newly created SDR. These memos give new insight how the CIA viewed the gold market, the perceived manipulation of gold and the potential for the SDR to become a gold substitute in the international monetary system.

Will The Fed Start Reducing Its Balance Sheet? Here Is Goldman's Answer

"We would be very surprised to see a discussion of asset sales under Chair Yellen’s leadership, but a shift to more active management of the maturity of new Treasury purchases could be an option; shortening the duration of new purchases would quicken portfolio runoff once it begins." - Goldman Sachs

Martin Armstrong Rages: Ken Rogoff Is "An Elitist Who Has No Respect For The People"

"[Rogoff] has the audacity to say that people should not look at their short-term personal losses, but rather look at the long-term vision of the central banks. He is such an elitist. I cannot find words appropriate to describe how this academic, who has zero experience in the real world, is incapable of comprehending that his Marxist style intervention is creating the next crisis."