Central Banks
2016 Theme #3: The Rise Of Independent (Non-State) Crypto-Currencies
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 20:05 -0500The invention of the blockchain and crypto-currencies such as Bitcoin have opened the door to non-state, non-central-bank currencies - money that is global and independent of any state or central bank, or indeed, any bank. This doesn't just open the possibility of escaping the debt-serfdom of central and private banks - it opens the door to an entire global economy that's free of the inequality and concentration of wealth and power that is the only possible output of central bank created and distributed money.
Trader Psychology Is Reversing, Scotiabank Warns Market Is "Ripe For Volatility Spikes"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 16:40 -0500Market psychology established in recent years is reversing. Market volatility is rising and will remain pervasive for a while as psychology, the change in direction of Fed policy, and the increases in general uncertainties, will all conspire to shape an environment ripe for sharp spikes in volatility which will be further amplified by rickety market liquidity.
China Has A "Colossal Credit Bubble" And No One Knows How It Will Unwind, Marc Faber Warns
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 13:20 -0500"We had a hard landing in the stock market already. We had a hard landing in commodities. [So yes], we could have a hard landing in the economy. China has a colossal credit bubble and no one knows how it's going to unwind."
Revisiting The Greatest Crash In History
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/06/2016 09:50 -0500All we can do is point out the risks, so that people can at least prepare on an individual level. A major lesson everybody should take to heart from the Cyprus experience is this: when the next crisis strikes, do not believe any of the promises uttered by government or central bank officials. You will be lied to in the critical moments, and you could stand to lose a lot if you believe the lies.
What Is Money Printing?
Submitted by Gold Standard Institute on 01/06/2016 02:35 -0500There is a populist idea of money printing. The idea is that banks can just print what they want, enriching themselves... does it really work this way?
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Visualizing How The Global Economy Played Out In 2015
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 22:00 -0500Many people start a new year with renewed optimism. However, "New Year, Same Problems" is the meme of 2016... and recent trading has dashed some of that optimistic 'This time it's different' hope.
Central Bank Money Printing - The Rotten Philosophy That Lies Beneath
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 21:35 -0500Taking away from the government its power of compelling the citizenry to accept money that it monopolistically controls and abuses may serve as an important legal and economic change to force the government and those who live at its spending trough to face the reality of the welfare state’s ideological and fiscal bankruptcy before it is too late to avert a complete collapse of the society.
Nomi Prins' Financial Road Map For 2016: "The Potential For Chaotic Fluctuations Is Greater Than Ever"
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 18:15 -0500- Bernie Sanders
- Bond
- Brazil
- Capital Markets
- Central Banks
- China
- Circuit Breakers
- Corruption
- default
- European Central Bank
- Excess Reserves
- Federal Reserve
- Fitch
- Greece
- Investment Grade
- Iran
- Italy
- Janet Yellen
- Japan
- Mexico
- Monetary Policy
- None
- OPEC
- Portugal
- Recession
- recovery
- Saudi Arabia
- Unemployment
- US Dollar Index
- Volatility
- Yuan
We are currently in a transitional phase of geo-political-monetary power struggles, capital flow decisions, and fundamental economic choices. This remains a period of artisanal (central bank fabricated) money, high volatility, low growth, excessive wealth inequality, extreme speculation, and policies that preserve the appearance of big bank liquidity and concentration at the expense of long-term stability. The potential for chaotic fluctuations in any element of the capital markets is greater than ever. The butterfly effect - the flutter of a wing in one part of the planet altering the course of seemingly unrelated events in another part - is on center stage.
'Still' Safe On The Sidelines - 501 Days And Counting
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 16:25 -0500The S&P 500 first crossed yesterday's levels in August 2014 - that is 501 days ago, confirming our belief that the stock market casino has just begun its descent has only been further reinforced. In terms of the fundamental economic and financial rot now coming to the visible surface, the analysis we presented last week is even more timely now.
Another Bank Throws In The Towel: "After 6 Years Of Outperformance" Citi Cuts US Stocks To Underweight
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/05/2016 10:35 -0500Yesterday JPM, which despite calling for a 2,200 year end price target, paradoxically warned that the regime of "buying dips" is over, and that "we take the view that equities are unlikely to perform well on a 12-24 month horizon" adding that "the regime of buying the dips might be over and selling any rallies might be the new one." So don't buy dips yet somehow the S&P will rise 150 points? Fair enough. Today, it is Citigroup's turn to try to somehow predict both a 12% "gain for global equities in 2016" even as it tells clients to start selling US stocks because "fading EPS momentum and rising Fed funds mean that, after 6 consecutive years of outperformance, we cut the US to Underweight."
Angola's Currency Collapses To Record Low As "Hyperinflation Monster" Looms Over Africa
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 15:20 -0500Just two weeks ago we warned of the looming "hyperinflation monster" in Africa with the continent appearing to be running out of dollars as some of Africa’s largest economies, including Nigeria, Angola, Ethiopia and Mozambique, are restricting access to the greenback to protect dwindling reserves. Specifically we warned of Angola's already-soaring inflation hampering its ability to 'adjust' its currency towards its black market 'reality'. But that did not stop the central bank devaluing Kwanza by 15% over the weekend - the most since 2001 - to record lows as crude prices crush their economy and the flow of USDs.
As Stocks Plunge, Swedish Central Bank Holds Extraordinary Meeting, Says Will "Instantly Intervene" If Necessary
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/04/2016 10:02 -0500Markets have started 2016 with a healty dose of turmoil, and so many were wondering how long - and who - would be the first central bank to intervene in either directly or verbally in markets. Moments ago we go the answer when Sweden's Riksbank announced it has held an extraordinary monetary policy meeting in which it took the decision required to be able to "instantly intervene on the foreign exchange market if necessary, as a complementary monetary policy measure, to safeguard the rise in inflation."
Fed Vice Chair Explains Why The Fed Is Still Obsessing With Negative Interest Rates
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/03/2016 14:52 -0500Another possible step would be to reduce short-term interest rates below zero if needed to provide additional accommodation... Could negative interest rates be a policy response that the Federal Reserve could choose to employ in a future crisis? ... these are transitional problems, but they might be sufficient to make a move to negative rates difficult to implement on short notice.
Bank of America Explains How Central Banks Rigged And Manipulated The Market
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/03/2016 10:51 -0500"Essentially central banks, by unfairly inflating asset prices have compressed risk like a spring to unfairly tight levels. Unfortunately, the market is aware the price of risk is not correct, but they can’t fight it, and everyone is forced to crowd into the same trade. By manipulating markets they have also reduced investors’ inherent conviction by rendering fundamentals less relevant."
- Bank of America
From $500,000 To $170 Million In A Few Months: The Next "Subprime Trade" Emerges
Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/03/2016 09:37 -0500Ever since it started making complicated bets against some leveraged ETFs, Miller’s Catalyst Macro Strategies Funds has since grown from $500,000 in assets at the start of the year to about $170 million. It achieved a more than 50 percent return this year, placing it far ahead of its competitors.



