Central Banks

"Vol Be Crazy": Deutsche Wants To Know When The Insanity Will End

"one of the main themes this year has been the fall in vol. We argued three months ago that FX vol looked cheap given elevated policy uncertainty, but a pick-up was unlikely while the global growth pulse remained strong. Vol has since collapsed further."

RBC Asks (& Answers) "What In The Market Most Concerns You?"

"Central banks are pivoting ‘tighter’ which affects ‘financial conditions’ which affects ‘inflation’ and ‘risk assets’... but the data is holding firm, companies are making money, and rates are still extraordinarily low which incentivizes yield-seeking behavior from asset allocators. "

Don't Show Jim Bullard This Chart

St. Louis President James Bullard said that "though equity valuations are high"... "we are not in anything like what we saw with the housing bubble.” He is right: on a Price-to-Sales ratio, we are much higher...

Is North Korea The Excuse China Needs To Launch Monetary Armageddon?

If the politburo decides that there is no other way (and easier timing for a scapegoat) than now as to suddenly devalue the currency and put a world of financial hurt squarely on the West (and the U.S. in-particular) while simultaneously using all the turmoil as to hasten the pace (and possibly secure the position for more SDR influence) the table for such a move has probably never been set so neatly, so perfectly, and so probable as it is today.

Doug Casey On The End Of Western Civilization

"Many of the words you hear, especially from the media, are confused, conflated, or completely misused; and this is corrupting the language. As George Orwell liked to point out, to control language is to control thought. The corruption of language is adding to the corruption of civilization itself. This is not a trivial factor in the degradation of Western Civilization."

A Problem Emerges: Central Banks Injected A Record $1 Trillion In 2017... It's Not Enough

Having accelerated for four straight quarters from 2015q4 to a local peak of +5.0 percent in 20167q4, q1 saw the first slowing in global liquidity to a year over year growth rate of just 2.23 percent. In absolute terms it was $29.5 trillion, almost unchanged from 2016q3. This means that even a record $1 trillion in central bank liquidity is no longer enough.

"Mystery" Central Bank Buyer Revealed, Goes On Q1 Buying Spree

While traders and investors were struck by the perplexing price action in the market in the first few months of the year, where on one hand institutions were dumping stocks at a near-record pace even as the S&P was making fresh all time highs, one central bank was quietly buying everything in sight....